Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 11/7

Meet Stats: 306- 987 / $1754.50 (-$219.50)
Best Bets: 51 - 87 / $166.40 (-$7.60)
Spot Plays: 14 - 89 / $116.40 (-$60.20)
Best Bet: NICKLE BAG (2ND)
Spot Play: SOLSBURY HILL (7TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,2,9/1/7,8/2,3,4/2,5,6 = $10.80
Late Pick 5: 3,6/2,5/3/2,5,7/4,5,10 = $7.20
Early Pick 4: 2,3,4/2,5,6/3,6/2,5 = $36
Late Pick 4: 2,5,7/4,5,10/1,2,6/3,8 = $54

Race 1: SBOA ELIMINATION 3YO FILLIES **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(9) SONADORA DEO was getting really good at the end of the sires stakes season now she returns from a short break in a spot where she should do well despite drawing widest; top call. (2) INTENSE JUSTICE has been lights out winning two straight and she should be a big threat here starting from a good post. (1) LMC BUMBLE BEE is another coming into this race on a roll having won in open company twice now she faces fillies only and she's in with a shot here. (4) PRINCESSPARTYPANTS is capable of better and she could show it now that she got a clean line out of the way; consider for the exotics.

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Race 2: NW $8,000 L5 or $16,000 L10

(1) NICKLE BAG takes a big drop here and Hudon is likely to make an early move to the front. He will be hard to catch racing against these. (9) MONGOLIAN HERO N drops again and he may deploy a stalking trip here which might result in a better placing. (5) MC PAT was woken up by Roy last time making two moves to get the win vs. lesser. I can see him making it into the Tri tonight. (3) AWESOMENESS should be passing many of these late to take another share.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: SBOA ELIMINATION 3YO FILLIES

(8) SUSIES LADY's consistency tips me her way for the top spot in a race with no standouts. (7) WARRAWEE VICKY surprisingly stopped suddenly in the lane last week, perhaps needing that race leading up to this stakes event. She has shown that she is capable of better and she's on my Pick 5 ticket. (4) MODERN MASS is another who can show more in this spot, perhaps needing that race last week; using underneath. (3) JULA SHES MAGIC was one of the best two-year-old trotting fillies last year. Perhaps the barn change can wake her up here; using on the bottom.

Race 4: NW $11,000 L5 or $23,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000 - Pick 4

(4) EASY LOVER HANOVER begins a winter campaign at a reduced level here and he should handle these if he is sharp enough coming off a break. (3) EXIT SMILING has raced tough first-over in his past two starts. He has upset potential if he can find a live helmet to follow this time. (2) HOMEY JOE has reached peak form in his past couple of starts and he should find his way into the Tri again. (9) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER comes off a sharp win but from out there he is likely to take only a small share this time.

Race 5: NW $19,000 L5 or $30,000 L10 or NW 8 or $120,000 LT AE: $45,000

(5) PERSIMMON A gets to face easier here but he also comes off a sick scratch. I'll give him a slight nod in a tough race. (2) POINTOMYGRANSON has won three of the last four times Roy drove and he should offer a square price here stepping up in class; using. (6) ROCKIN N TALKIN was flying late last week. He is another sharp contender that could win this with a trip. (4) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN fits this class well and he should improve this week; using underneath.

Race 6: SBOA ELIMINATION 3YO FILLIES - Pick 5

(6) LAURAS LOVE gets regular pilot McClure back for this after getting a tightener in last week. She should recapture her best form here and she gets top call. (3) KARMA SEELSTER finished ahead of the choice last week in what should be a perfect tightener for her, too, and she should be the main danger. (1) SO DELIGHTFUL raced okay against tough older mares last time and she is a good one to use on the bottom of the exotics at a price here. (4) MACH MY KISS has gone some tough trips recently and she is another who should hit the ticket in this spot.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 7: NW 4 (F&M5) or $42,000 (F&M $50,000)

(5) SOLSBURY HILL gets critical post relief and a notable driver change here and I'll give her the call to upset. (2) NIMBUS DEO has been powering through her conditions. She's the obvious one to beat and she is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (10) NEVER MIND N produced a big effort last week first time Vanderkemp drove and he should be in the mix again if he minds his manners starting from the second tier. (6) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER should be put into play leaving the gate and he may sneak into the Super again at a price.

Race 8: SBOA ELIMINATION 3YO FILLIES

(3) ALICORN was conservatively driven last week in what should be a good tightener and she should be much more aggressive in this stakes elimination. She will be tough to beat in this spot if she ever sees the front. (6) QUESO RELLENO has been racing well against some tough older mares at Flamboro and she's worth a look in this spot. (2) PREEMINENCE similarly has been battling salty older mares here at Mohawk park and performing well. She should be in this Tri. (4) ALL DAY SUNSHINE is capable of better and Macdonald will likely have her on cover turning for home; using on the bottom.

Race 9: PREFERRED - Pick 4

(5) MATTICULOUS GB was used hard most of the way last week and he paid the price late. You don't often see that much action in one of these races so he may get a much easier trip tonight; slight nod. (7) SO MUCH MORE is so good right now that she beats all comers, but she was the beneficiary of a thoroughly contested pace last time. She is an obvious contender but I wouldn't take less than 2 to 1. (2) ROCKME ROLLME seems to get better results when he comes from off the pace and he will likely be in closer mode this time so he is on my late multi-race tickets. (9) POINTS NORTH is right there every week from any post and he is tough to leave off Super tickets.

Race 10: F&M NW $8,000 L5 or $16,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000

(4) DON'T STOP BELIEVIN drops to the level where she gets the best results and she will no doubt get aggressive early; top call. (5) SASKATOON raced big racing uncovered last week and she has strung wins together before; using. (10) SYLPH HANOVER showed last week that she fits this class well and she can contend here if she gets a decent start (likely following the #2 off the gate). (6) CATCH A SECRET should be good for another small share in this spot.

Race 11: 5YO and Younger NW5 or $85,000 LT

(2) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES was right there vs. tougher last week and he has a big shot in this spot. (1) THE WILD CARD was picked off late by a rival that sat a perfect trip on his helmet along the inside the whole way and came out late to surge up for the win. He is a viable contender in this spot. (6) POSEIDON SEELSTER draws better here which should help promote his potent late kick. He is another in with a decent chance here. (8) SIDDHARTHA is on a roll but these are tougher and I'll use him underneath in this spot.

Race 12: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $50,000 LT

(8) ECLAT DE RIRE goes to Moreau and picks up Filion here coming off a strong effort where he set a wicked early pace and hung on well, considering. He gets the nod here. (3) MENLO PARK made several moves contesting/setting big fractions and he stopped. He can do better here with an expected more conservative approach. (9) BETTOR AT HIGHTIDE is in tremendous form and he should be good for a share despite drawing the worst post. (6) ILLGETMYOWN THANKS should be passing horses late again to make it into the Super. (1) HP I GOT TOPLAY is capable of better and he should get a good following trip here; using underneath.