Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 11/6

Meet Stats: 331 - 976 / $1,763.10 (-$188.90)

Best Bets: 50 - 88 / $171.00 (-$6.00)

Spot Plays: 25 - 90 / $173.10 (-$4.00)

Best Bet: LYONS TILT HANOVER (4TH)

Spot Play: FABRIZIO N (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,10/4,5,6/1,9/5/2,3,6 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 5,6,7/5,6,8,10/1/6,7,8/2,5,10 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 5/2,3,6/5,6,7/5,6,8,10 = $36

Late Pick 4: 1/6,7,8/2,5,10/1,2,7 = $27

Race 1: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) DESTINY BLUE CHIP always looked loaded in the pocket last week and he went on to an easy score racing one level below this. Off that strong win, I'll give him the nod to repeat. (10) ITSTIMETOGOHOME is on such a roll right now that the 10-hole might not even stop him. He's hard to leave out. (2) POWERFUL SPIRIT raced well vs. NW5 and he is the one to fear in this spot. (8) HARRY has a big late kick but he is often the victim of pace and trip. I see him closing for a small share here.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW5 or $90,000

(5) CENTURY HEINEKEN did all the heavy lifting only to be picked off late by the pocket sitter very late. He should be the one to catch here again and he gets a slight nod in a race with several possibilities. (4) MAPPOS LION was driven less aggressively last time and he closed well but he was perhaps too far back early. He remains a viable option. (6) CHIEFS BEACH was large racing in the slop off the Marfisi claim. He would need to be faster tonight to beat the top two choices, but it's not out of the realm of possibility. (1) FOREFATHER got hung out when trying a backstretch blast to the front last week. I see Macdonald tripping him out for a share tonight.

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Race 3: NW $11,000 L5 or $25,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(9) FABRIZIO N takes what appears to be a slight drop on paper, but Points North, who beat him last week, would be 3 to 5 if he faced this group. I like this gelding's chances vs. these despite his wide post draw. (1) RESPECT OUR FLAG is sharp and his barn has been doing well lately. He should be the main danger. (8) MONTY MONO continues to roll but this is a much tougher field tonight; small share predicted. (5) FOOT SOLDIER can improve in this second start back; consider for the exotics.

Race 4: F&M NW $10,500 L5 or $18,000 L9 AE: OPT CLM $25,000 - Pick 4

(5) LYONS TILT HANOVER dominated easier last week in a good effort and this is a field she should handle when she is on her game; call to repeat. (9) ITTY BITTY also steps up off a sharp win and she should be the one to catch here; Exacta factor. (3) MIA CULPA can work her way into the exotics with Roy back in the bike tonight. (7) TWIN B TIPSTER is a good one to use on the bottom of the exotics here as she will likely be passing a few mares late.

Race 5: NW $5,100 L5 or $10,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000

(2) RYDGEMONT SON N gets post relief here which should equate to an easier trip and he gets the nod vs. these. (3) SERENITY CRUISE didn't show much racing in the slop, but she was close vs. better two starts back and she should be a threat tonight; using. (6) ANGRY EYES got too far back last week but she closed like a rocket and she can be a factor here despite stepping up one class level. (7) SUPERLATIVE raced okay for Jamieson two starts ack and he returns here; small share predicted.

Race 6: NW $30,000 L5 or $180,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $80,000 - Pick 5

(6) SWEET DEISEL is sharp as a tack and he gets McNair back for this. He steered him to his last win three starts back; top call. (7) BETTORBUCKLEUP was in the place photo with the choice last week and he figures to be right there tonight. I'll use these two only on multi-race tickets. (5) BEYOND BETTER gets McClure back for this and he should be closer, but he might be closing too late to catch both top choices. (4) EAST END should be good for a share in this field.

Race 7: 3YO FILLIES

(8) BET ON BECKY gets Macdonald back here and she is in with only sophomores after showing little in the slop vs. elders. Sharp improvement at a price is possible; slight nod. (10) WESTERN WISH seems to have no problem with outer posts. She is sharp and dangerous; using. (5) GAME OF SHADOWS gets Roy back and she can improve here; using underneath. (6) VOELZ DELIGHT will likely take action here but she has missed time and is probably best used underneath. .

Race 8: F&M NW5 or $65,000 LT - Pick 4

(1) UP AND READY has missed some time since dominating in the OSS Gold Superfinal, but that didn't seem to bother her in that race when she had 19 days between starts. She looks best here. (5) IGLARE AM was a good 2nd racing in mixed age company last week and her good form should be respected. (2) MAGIC CAPE produced a huge effort last week to beat easier and she is worth a look for the exotics here. (3) MAGIC WANDA should sit a trip and sneak into the Tri or Super.

Race 9: F&M PREFERRED HANDICAP

(7) LIT DE ROSE came close to beating males two starts back then she broke in the slop. She gets regular driver Roy back tonight and she gets my nod. (6) KENDALL SEELSTER is also back with her own gender and she is an obvious threat vs. these. (8) KARMA SEELSTER is obviously fast enough to go with these and she qualified nicely for this. She isn't out of this. (4) SNOW SHARK likely appears on the scene late to round out the Tri or Super.

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Race 10: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(5) HP NAPOLEON was beaten by the pocket sitter who was racing off the claim last week and returning to the same level gives him every chance to convert; top call. (2) SIDDHARTHA was third behind the choice last time and if he is closer to the early pace tonight, he could do in here; using. (10) PAT MCGARRY A doesn't look out of place vs. these and he picks up the leading driver. Give him a price look for the late multis. (4) JM JACK OF HEARTS should be good for at least a share racing at this level.

Race 11: NW $8,600 L5 or NW $17,400 L10

(7) RAYS KREDIT might have been a little over his head last week. Dropping one level gives him a better chance and he gets my nod. (2) HES SWIFT should take plenty of action dropping a few class levels tonight and he is likely the one to beat. (1) PRICELESS BEACH drops and he gets Macdonald back. He wants to beat you. (3) CAPTAIN VIDEO was overbet last week but he did close late for 2nd; small share predicted. (6) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT is a good fit at this level. He should take at least a share.