Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 11/28

Meet Stats: 343 - 1107 / $1968.50 (-$245.50)
Best Bets: 53 – 98 / $173.20 (-$22.80)
Spot Plays: 19 - 101 / $165.80 (-$36.20)
Best Bet: LYONS TILT HANOVER (7TH)
Spot Play: SPORTSLINE (1ST)
Early Pick 5: 8,9/4,5,7/2,3,4/2,8/1,2,3,4 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 2,5,6/5/3,6,8/1,3,7/1,4,5,7 = $21.60
Early Pick 4: 2,8/1,2,3,4/2,5,6/5 = $24
Late Pick 4: 3,6,8/1,3,7/1,4,5,7/5,6 = $72
Race 1: NW $9,000 L5 or $16,500 L10 **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**
(8) SPORTSLINE gets a major barn change here and it would be no surprise if he fires his best shot tonight. The tote board should provide some clues here; top call. (9) BETTOR B GOING finishes fast every week and he fits well here. If he gets a reasonable trip, he should be right there tonight. (7) DREAMFAIR MOXY shows improving form and he gets Cullen back tonight. He has upset possibilities. (2) NOCTURNAL BLUE CHIP should sit another nice trip here and he should be part of the Super.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 3YO FILLIES
(5) SHESWILDNFREE was best last week but she put a wheel into a rival when she exited the pocket at the head of the lane and she got set back. She can make amends here. (4) JULA SHES MAGIC got rolling too late as the 3 to 5 choice. She is capable of better and she's dangerous here. (7) SHEER ENERGY had no answer for the choice late but that was a good effort and she's not out of this. She's on my Pick 5 ticket. (2) OH LINA can come on late to take another share here.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 3: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 3YO FILLIES
(4) GOLDEN LEADER can move up here with the driver change to Filion and I'll give her the nod in a race where her price should go up. (2) SMILE BY THE BEACH set the pace in a fast division of this series last week and she is an obvious threat here; using. (3) ROBMOTION BLUE CHIP is clearly improving for a high percentage barn and she is in with a shot here. (5) CLASSYLANEPRECIOUS should sit another good trip racing close to the lead and I see her taking a share again.
Race 4: NW $8,000 L5 or $16,000 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $20,000 - Pick 4
(8) MUSCLE FASHION gets back to the level where he performs best and he should get a much more aggressive steer tonight. He gets my nod. (2) HIGHLAND DYNAMITE took a win the hard way last week, racing first uncovered and getting the job done. She should be a threat right back. (4) BLAZING TRAIL produced a big effort for hot trainer Gallucci last week and this isn't the biggest step up. He is in the hunt here. (10) JUMPSHOT is right there every week and he should be good for a share vs. this group.
Race 5: NW $11,000 L5 or NW $25,000 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $30,000
(2) AWESOMENESS fires home quickly every week and I'll give him a slight nod here in a race that could go to one of five or six contenders. (4) PRO BEACH was right there at this level two starts back and he should be right there in a race that will likely come down to trip and pace. (1) SAMS A CHAMP A was close at this level two starts back in a fast race and he should be rolling late here; using. (3) EXIT SMILING should get a good trip racing on or near the lead in a race with seemingly few leavers. He's another in with a shot.
Race 6: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 3YO FILLIES - Pick 5
(5) SCORCHED ROMANCE meant business last week in her first race hoppled going for a purse and she gets the call to repeat off that strong effort. (2) LETSTAKETOTHESKY was right there when 2nd to a big chalk and she has a shot here, too. (6) INTENSE JUSTICE blew up as a big chalk after looking a little bumpy scoring down. She'll get bet here again so take a look at her in the post parade at a minimum before plunging. (4) BRA IN THE WIND was no match for the choice last week. She should be good for another share here, however.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 7: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 3YO FILLIES
(5) LYONS TILT HANOVER was activated earlier as expected last week and she was a strong winner. She will be very tough to beat here if she can repeat that sharp effort. (10) RUBY ON RAILS produced a nice effort considering she had missed 6 1/2 weeks and she can be an Exacta factor this time. (9) BIG MYRTLE is the other first leg winner in here. From post 9 I'll try to beat her out of the Exacta this time. (7) KIT should be passing a few of these in the final 1/4 again; using underneath.
Race 8: PREFERRED HANDICAP - Pick 4
(8) SINTRA is boss at this level and the outside post should be no issue for him, but don’t expect to get 4 to 1 again. (3) WHEELS ON FIRE paced a 53 3/5 back 1/2 last time when chasing the choice. If he leaves a bit better here, he might upset; using. (6) HAIL CHRISTIAN N has also been firing big back halves and he is hard to ignore considering how sharp he has been. (7) EVENWOOD SONOFAGUN makes his first start of the winter campaign in a tough spot. I'll give him one.
Race 9: 5YO and Younger NW5 or $89,000 LT
(7) BEYOND BETTER seems to improve every week and I'll give him the call to take a threepeat here. (3) INDICTABLE HANOVER is the fastest horse in here but his inconsistency makes me want to try to beat him in a spot where he is likely to be the chalk. (1) GRAND POOBAH is getting closer and he is going to pop at a price one of these times; maybe tonight? (6) LEADEROFTHEDANCE is razor-sharp and he can hit the ticket despite moving up in class.
Race 10: NW $18,000 L5 or $33,500 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLAIMING $45,000
(4) BETTORBUCKLEUP likely needed last week's start after having missed six weeks action and he did close well that night. He should be even sharper now and he gets my nod. (5) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES continues to race well every week and he was a sharp rallying winner last week. He should be right there again. (1) FOOT SOLDIER is better when he deploys a rallying approach and that scenario is likely to play out here tonight with him drawing the rail; using. (7) ROCKIN N TALKIN is likely to be rallying late to land in the Tri or Super again.
Race 11: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $52,500 LT
(5) CROSSCUT just finished 2nd in a non-winners or six class at Yonkers and he moves into a barn that has been good all year; top call. (6) REAGAN BLUE CHIP looked impressive kicking clear late last week and sizzling through the last 1/16th of a mile. He will be the one to hold off late. (7) MENLO PARK fits much better in the NW3 class and he should rebound with a better effort here. I'll use him underneath. (10) TUCKER CREEK brings some excellent form north and he has shown he has the speed to contend for at least a share here. From the second tier post, I'll use him underneath. (2) BETTOR AT HIGHTIDE got room late last week but he was one-paced as they came to the wire. I see him taking another small share here.

