Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 11/27

Meet Stats: 367 - 1069 / $1,940.90 (-$197.10)
Best Bets: 55 - 97 / $187.90 (-$6.10)
Spot Plays: 26 - 98 / $184.00 (-$12.00)
Best Bet: AHOY (6TH)
Spot Play: TRACEUR HANOVER (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,3,8/2,5/8,9/6,7/3,8 = $9.60
Late Pick 5: 2,4/2,5,9/3,4,6,7/2,3/3,7 = $19.20
Early Pick 4: 6,7/3,8/2,4/2,5,9 = $24
Late Pick 4: 3,4,6,7/2,3/3,7/2,3,7 = $48
Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW2 or 17,500 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(3) TWAIN SEELSTER goes for Auciello here after putting in a good showing in the Harvest series on 11/5 and he gets top billing vs. this group. (1) KISSINBYTHEBEACHES was setting up a late 2nd-over move when his cover broke and wiped him out. He is a viable contender tonight. (8) DR JOE also looked live on cover when that mishap occurred and he took the worst of it. He is worth a look at a price tonight. (2) ROYAL TANG has taken eight shares in 21 starts and he can hit the ticket here.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: PREFERRED
(5) UHTRED had a great trip last week, but the leader had a better one and he wasn't getting caught off a 56 1/5 opening 1/2. This race will play out differently and I see Uhtred rolling by late. (2) WHEELS ON FIRE tried a new strategy last week and that allowed the leader to stroll along up front. I imagine he will be blasting tonight and he is a threat. (4) SPEEDY DOMINIC A made his own luck last week, cutting the mile and controlling the fractions. I doubt he will get the same uncontested trip here and I'll play to beat him. (3) BEYOND BETTER should be good for another small share in this spot.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 3: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000)
Grand Circuit winner (8) AMAZONE DUHARAS looks clearly best on paper but she has missed close to a month and she takes on some elders. I'll give her the nod but won't single her. (9) WORLD BANK likely needed last week's start after missing time and that first up grind should be beneficial. I'll use him on multi-race tickets tonight. (10) HONE THE TONE is on a roll but this is tougher; using underneath. (1) MODERN MASS never misses the top four it seems. He's hard to leave out of the Super.
Race 4: NW $11,500 L5 or $22,000 L10 - Pick 4
(6) TRACEUR HANOVER was dead game in victory last week and this isn't much of a step up in class; call to repeat. (7) RESPECT OUR FLAG is helped by the short field tonight. He should be flying as usual and he is on my multi-race tickets. (1) GRAND POOBAH couldn't chase down the choice last week after sitting an inside following trip. I'll use him underneath again this week. (3) ROCKME ROLLME is in the Super every week and tonight should be no different.
Race 5: Harvest Series 2nd Leg Ontario Sired 3YO Fillies
(8) BET ON BECKY got the job done last week, closing on a track that mostly favored the leaders that night and she gets the call to repeat here. (3) BEST KEEPSAKE raced tough, making two moves and providing golden cover for the choice. She should contend right back. (7) AWESOME HILL couldn't fend off the two choices late but she should be a speed threat again tonight. I'll use her underneath. (9) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL dominated the weaker division of the series in Leg 1. I see her finishing underneath tonight.
Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW 4 or $50,000 LT - Pick 5
(2) AHOY was game chasing an unyielding leader last week and she gets top call vs. this group. Nothing went right for (4) MY MOTHER PEARL last week. Drawing much better here she should be a late threat; using. (3) MY ONLY SUNSHINE was 3 1/4 lengths behind the choice last week and she is likely to take another small share here. (5) ADASHIOUS HANOVER looked good beating weaker but this is a tougher assignment and I see her as a fringe player in here.
Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $30,000 LT
(9) THATLL BE SPORTY drops one level after two good performances vs. NW4 and the outside draw should help keep his price viable; top call. (2) BETTORBEFLYIN is on the upswing and he can get another good trip here tonight; using. (5) OKIE FROM MUSKOGEE is another with improving form but he has now missed more than a month so I am inclined to use him on the bottom tonight. (7) THE SHINING can pass a few of these late. Give him a look for the bottom of the Super.
Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW6 or $80,000 LT - Pick 4
(4) CADILLAC BAYAMA closed with a vicious stretch rush to catch the tripped-out pocket sitter last week and he gets the call to repeat off that sharp effort. (7) SOMEWHEREINVERONA is racing great for driver Sorrie and he should be in the mix again tonight; using. This is an easier spot for (6) FABRIZIO N but he has missed a month; your call. (3) COMMANDING OFFICER is another that figures that has missed time and I'll play to beat him tonight.
Race 9: NW $16,000 L5 or $34,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000
(2) STONEBRIDGE REX was given an easy trip last week after emptying the tank two starts back and in this short field tonight, I can see him trying to blast and last; top call. (3) SIMON SAYS HANOVER comes off two big efforts at Yonkers and he fits well here; using. (4) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N is right there every week and he is in with a shot here racing from close range again. (6) COLD CREEK CABO is in great form and another that isn't out of the question in this contentious group. .
Race 10: F&M NW $25,000 L5 or $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000
(7) LYONS TILT HANOVER is producing a wicked kick every week and the short field ensures that she should be within striking range at the 3/4 pole; top call. (3) KENDALL SEELSTER failed as chalk last week at this level. She seems better coming off a helmet and she could bounce back here with a different trip; using. (2) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP was right there with the choice last week and she should be a factor again, likely racing closer to the lead this time. (4) SNOW SHARK is always around the money but she is an infrequent winner; using underneath.
Race 11: NW $8,000 L5 or $18,000 L10
(7) HES SWIFT was game in defeat last week but the winner was just too tough. He stacks up well vs. these and he gets top billing. (3) SPEAKING OF ART was the choice's cover last week when he tried a backstretch brush move to the front that was repelled. He is in with a chance here. (2) LETS GET PICKLED throttled easier when he was allowed to lead through leisurely fractions. He could be a stalker this time, but he isn't out of this. (4) JM JACK OF HEARTS went a big trip here the other night considering that he got hung the mile. He has upset potential here. (8) POINTOMYGRANSON should be good for another small share in this spot.

