Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 11/19

Meet Stats: 623 - 1883 / $3,136.70 (-$629.10)

Best Bets: 96 - 177 / $321.80 (-$32.20)

Spot Plays: 44 - 178 / $300.70 (-$55.30)

Best Bet: ACAPULCO SUNBURN (2ND)

Spot Play: E L GLADIATOR (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,6,8/3/3,4,9/5,10/5,7,9 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 2,3,4,5/4,5,8/1,2,9/4,5,7/1 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 5/5,7,9/2,3,4,5/4,5,8 = $36

Late Pick 4: 1,2,9/4,5,7/1/2,3,4,5,7 = $45

Race 1: Pop Up Series NW $35,000 in 2022 1st Leg **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) CARLAS MACH A can't get hung the mile this week starting from the rail and he faces easier making his third start since shipping north. He should have a good shot vs. these. (8) SMART THINKING closed relentlessly in the lane when he beat easier last week and his good late kick should play well here; using. (6) MIDNIGHT MOOD ships in from Ottawa in good form and he seems to fit well vs. these. He is in with a shot leaving from the best post. (5) MENLO PARK should improve enough in this spot to take a small share.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000

(3) ACAPULCO SUNBURN likely needed his last race after missing a month due to sickness and he still almost won. He is the clear top pick here. (2) YOURTHEONE was only a nose behind the choice and he has had another race since when facing better. He can be an Exacta factor tonight. (8) CONTROL THE POWER was the one that beat the choice but I see him landing in the bottom of the exotics tonight. (7) FULL DISCLOSURE bottomed out a weaker group in fast time which is a mile I don't see being repeated vs. these; small share predicted.

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Race 3: Pop Up Series NW $35,000 in 2022 1st Leg

(4) HAPUNA BEACH qualified in faster time than tonight's rivals produce when racing for a purse and he gets top billing in this debut for the Bossence barn. (9) NIGHT CLUB HANOVER is the other one getting a barn change here, being sent out by the top trainer and he is fast enough to get position early from his wide draw; using. Veteran (3) IDEAL JET will likely look to go right down the road in this spot. He can be dangerous here if left alone on the front. (6) MILLENIUM SEELSTER jogged in London on Monday night but these are tougher. I'll use him underneath.

Race 4: Harvest Series Final Ontario Sired 3YO Colts and Geldings - Pick 4

(5) STABLE GENIUS has been patiently handled so far in this series. I think he gets put into this race earlier with $46K on the line in the final; top call. (10) ANGELS EXPRESS was the easiest of winners last week and he is the one to beat even from post 10. (7) ROYALTYS ROCKET tried the front last week and he tired late. I can see him sitting and rallying for a share. (9) MARVIN HAGLER should be close up throughout tonight and stay for a share.

Race 5: NW $12,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $65,000

(7) HESINCONTROL drops and McNair sides with him over the #10 here. I'll give him the nod expecting a big speed try. (9) BEYOND BETTER raced okay in his first start back coming off a seven-month break. He can improve tonight; price look. (5) LEGION SEELSTER was really good last week chasing a tough class dropper, but he has had five cracks at this level and hasn’t made it into a win photo yet. I wouldn't take a short price here. (10) FABRIZIO N brings it every week and he should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 6: NW $18,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 - Pick 5

(5) SAULSBROOK VICTOR won racing one level higher than this two starts back and he should be tough here on the drop starting from one of the best posts. (2) NO FREE LUNCH is razor-sharp and on the upswing and his current good form should be respected in this spot. (3) WOODMERE STEALDEAL is a consistent hard trier that should be in the exotics mix again racing from close range. (4) AMERICAN HISTORY dominated easier last week. He likely takes a small share vs. tougher here.

Race 7: Harvest Series Final Ontario Sired 3YO Colts and Geldings

(5) STONE CARVER has been odds-on in both legs of the series and he was an easy winner in both. He gets the nod here, but there are other live options. (4) CAMARA MOMENT got picked off late racing on a good track last time but took the fastest mark of the preliminary legs the week before. He is an obvious threat and he doesn't need the lead to win. (8) DELICATE SOUND is unbeaten in this series and McNair will fly off the gate with him. He is another option for multi-race tickets. (1) HASHTAG MONEY has been good in this series so far and he will likely sit a good trip; price look for the exotics.

Race 8: Pop Up Series NW $35,000 in 2022 - Pick 4

(9) E L GLADIATOR raced okay in the Harvest series and he should find this spot easier. I'll give him the nod hoping for a square price from post 9. (1) GIDDY UP MAX has been hot racing in London and he ships in as sharp as attack; using. (2) UNCONTROLLABLE was 2nd in a strong field last week and he is hard to toss in this spot. (4) MAGICAL ALBERT rarely misses the top 4. Give him a look for the Super.

Race 9: PREFERRED 2

(7) SINTRA lacked room for the entire stretch drive last week and obviously would have been much closer if he had clear racetrack to work with. Expecting a better trip here, I'll give him the nod. (4) WARRAWEE VITAL gapped out at a critical point in the final 1/4, then he came again to just miss. I think he tries the front this time and he could prove tough to catch. (5) WHEELS ON FIRE had broken equipment last week and was a refund so that line is a toss. He is always right there it seems and he is hard to dismiss. (6) CENTURY HEINEKEN tripped out to win at this level last week and I don't see him getting that same trip tonight; using underneath.

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Race 10: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $9,000 or less L4

(1) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER has a great chance to take his seventh win of the year here dropping to the bottom conditioned level; top call. (6) JABBERWOCKY is a sophomore shipper that seems to fit well here despite facing elders and I'll use him on late multi-race tickets. (9) MAXIMUMLOVIN closed nicely last week for a slice and he can crash the exotics at a good price tonight. (8) HOMEY JOE raced okay first up last week. He can be in the exotics mix again tonight.

Race 11: NW $6,000 L5 or $15,500 L10 or NW6 LT

(2) STONEBRIDGE REX made front, yielded, then took a brief shuffle last week before re-rallying for 3rd in a good effort. McNair sticks with him and he gets the nod here. (7) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N is another that left and took a shuffle and he should be a speed threat here; using. (5) GRAND POOBAH comes off a dead-game effort where he was out forever and stayed for 2nd. He should be in the exotics mix again. (4) ILLGETMYOWN THANKS got a setup last week and he steps up, but that was a strong effort and he isn’t out of this. (3) RON should be good for at least a small share at this level.