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Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 11/14/26

Kevin Plowcha|Nov 12, 2026
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Top Pick Stats: 633/2044 (-$1,129.50)

Best Bets: 73/182 (-$61.00); Spot Plays: 38/186 (-$121.20)

Best Bet: SHOTGUN JERRY (Race 11)

Spot Play: ITS SATURDAY NIGHT (Race 10)

Early Pick-5: 1,5/3,4/7/3,8/4,7,9 $4.80

Middle Pick-5: 1,2/3,7/3,8/1,3,5/2 $4.80

Late Pick-5: 3,8/1,3,5/2/7/3,8 $2.40

Race 1: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER NW 2 RACES OR $15,000 (ON SIRED $18,750) LIFETIME.

(5) ASTRALPLANE comes off consecutive victories and has already defeated several of today's rivals. (1) MR MYSTIC was a strong front-end winner last time and draws the rail, giving him an excellent opportunity to control the pace. (10) BETTER SCRIPT has been competitive against similar company, including a recent third behind Captain Tate, and offers strong late-race potential.

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Race 2: HARVEST SERIES: ONT SIRED OR BRED 3 YO C&G, NW $60,000 LIFETIME OR NW $30,000 IN 2026 (MIN 5 STARTS) AS OF SEPT 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $30,000. LEG 2.

(4) CHOW FOR NOW comes off a decisive Harvest Series victory and looks capable of repeating with another favorable stalking trip. (3) EVANS LEGACY won his latest Harvest Series assignment and has consistently performed well against strong competition. (7) CHEESE DREAMS has a recent quick mile under his belt and should be a major threat if he can secure a favorable trip.

Race 3: HARVEST SERIES: ONT SIRED OR BRED 3 YO C&G, NW $60,000 LIFETIME OR NW $30,000 IN 2026 (MIN 5 STARTS) AS OF SEPT 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $30,000. LEG 2.

(7) STORMONT FAST BOY dominated his latest Harvest Series division and appears to have a clear class and current-form advantage. (1) CRUNCHINTHEODDS has repeatedly finished close to Stormont Fast Boy and benefits from an inside draw that should allow him to remain prominent. (9) PETE GREEN comes off a Harvest Series victory and could make his presence felt again with a well-timed move.

Race 4: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 RACE (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(8) BET THE GAME kept his winning streak alive in London and should transition his speed to the big track. (3) GLENN E MAC was a competitive third behind Mr Mystic and Brie Creek last time and looks well positioned to capitalize on that outing. (7) NOW ITS A PARTY has shown enough ability in this general class to warrant serious consideration against a relatively open field.

Race 5: NW $9,000 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $18,000 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $60,000. AE: NW 5 RACES OR $85,000 LIFETIME.

(4) JABBERWOCKY is third back now and could come up with a classic speed try that we’ve seen in the past. (7) JK BLACK GOLD finished third in a competitive optional claiming event last time and should appreciate this level of competition. (9) ITS MAJOR MAJOR A dominated weaker company last week and could threaten despite the class rise and outside post.

Race 6: NW $6,250 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $14,000 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: N/A $2,520 P/S IN 2025-26.

(2) MIRACULOUS DESBI N drops in class and draws favorably enough to secure a better trip. (1) STONEBRIDGE HELIOS could use the rail to his advantage if he is quick in the first eighth. I can see him protecting position and going a long way. (7) LEGION SEELSTER finished fourth against tougher company last time and could benefit from the class relief.

Race 7: HARVEST SERIES: ONT SIRED OR BRED 3 YO C&G, NW $60,000 LIFETIME OR NW $30,000 IN 2026 (MIN 5 STARTS) AS OF SEPT 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $30,000. LEG 2.

I don’t mind (3) MEGA MOVES at a price considering the volatility of others in this spot. He can win with the right trip. (7) HALL OF FEAR was a beaten favorite in his latest Harvest Series assignment but showed early speed and could rebound with cleaner fractions. (5) LYONS FIRSTBULLDOG comes off a dominant Flamboro victory and has demonstrated more than enough Mohawk ability to be competitive at this level.

Race 8: NW $12,000 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $26,000 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: NW $110,000 IN 2026.

(8) FIGMENT finished second against similar company last time and looks like a strong contender if he can reproduce that late effort. Third back now. (3) ALLSTAR MANIAC drops from a tougher conditioned event after a respectable fourth-place finish and should benefit from the class relief. (7) DONT DROP THE BALL was well supported at the windows against tougher competition last week and has the ability to rebound with a cleaner trip.

Race 9: NW $2,500 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $5,250 LAST 6 STARTS. (W/O $10,000 LAST 8 STARTS N/E). AE: N/A $1,660 P/S IN 2026 (MIN 15 STARTS).

(5) ASIAGO SEELSTER drops into softer company and could be much more competitive with the easier assignment. (3) LARCENY nearly pulled off a major upset in his latest start and looks dangerous with a similar closing effort. (1) SCAMMER finished third in a quicker race last week and draws the rail, providing a decent opportunity to save ground.

Race 10: OPEN.

(2) ITS SATURDAY NIGHT comes off an Open victory and has the speed and tactical versatility to repeat from an excellent post. Stablemate (1) BRUNO NO NO NO makes his return after taking most of the latter part of summer off. He’s ultra talented, but has nothing to gain in a clear tightener off the bench. (6) FUSION was narrowly beaten in the same Open event and remains a major winning threat if he can dictate the tempo.

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Race 11: NW $2,500 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $5,250 LAST 6 STARTS. (W/O $10,000 LAST 8 STARTS N/E). AE: N/A $1,660 P/S IN 2026 (MIN 15 STARTS).

(7) SHOTGUN JERRY comes off a front-stepping victory and appears to be rounding into strong form at an opportune time. (6) THAI TOUR had a competitive effort against similar company last week and could be dangerous if he can secure an aggressive trip. (2) MCWICKED TIME will likely be an underlay tonight and won’t be a price worth taking a shot on top with.

Race 12: NW $1,000 LAST 4 STARTS. AE: N/A $700 P/S IN 2026 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: NW $24,000 IN 2026 (MIN 20 STARTS).

(8) HOWMAC VICTOR is third back now and has shown plenty of ability off the bench compared to others. Needs the right trip still. (3) ARMOR SEELSTER has been getting better and should benefit from a favorable inside starting position in this wide-open finale. (7) TIN CAN TIMMY has recent experience against similar company and could improve enough to become an underneath factor.

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