Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 11/14

Meet Stats: 318 - 1033 / $1838.00 (-$228.00)
Best Bets: 52 - 91 / $169.60 (-$11.80)
Spot Plays: 16 - 93 / $131.10 (-$53.50)
Best Bet: SONADORO DEO (5TH)
Spot Play: FOOT SOLDIER (10TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,3,4/3,4,6/1,3,5,8/3,5,6/2 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 5,7,8/1,4,5/4,6/1,8/8,9 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 3,5,6/2/5,7,8/1,4,5 = $27
Late Pick 4: 4,6/1,8/8,9/1,4,9 = $24

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $53,000 LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) CAPTAIN VIDEO changed hands at the Timonium sale and he goes for Moreau here. He has shown enough speed for these and he gets top call. (4) ANETO has raced in tough company all year and held his own in many of the races. This is a much better spot for him and he should be a threat. (2) BETTOR AT HIGHTIDE never got involved last week now he draws better and he should be much closer early. He should be in the Tri or Super. (8) MENLO PARK is always in the mix it seems and he is one that’s hard to leave off Tri and Super tickets.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW5 or $80,000 LT

(4) REVOLT was kind of forced to make an early move to the front last time based on where he landed early after leaving from the rail. He has more options starting on the middle of the gate and he gets the nod to rebound here. (6) POSEIDON SEELSTER parlayed a beautiful trip into a win last week but in this short field he should be dangerous again and he may find another nice trip on cover here; using. (3) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES raced tough in defeat last week and he is in the mix again here. (7) ECLAT DE RIRE faces a tougher task here and a small share is predicted for him.

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Race 3: NW $16,000 L5 or $33,000 L10 or NW 8 or $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(1) HOMEY JOE started the season 0 for 14 and has since won three of his last five starts. This is tougher, but he has never been better and he should offer a great price so I'll take a swing with him tonight. (8) MATTICULOUS GB drops to a level where he should be very tough if he makes front and I expect he will be blasting; using. (5) ROCKIN N TALKIN flies home every week and if there is any mid-race battling, he can roll by these late. (3) POINTOMYGRANSON currently shows a pattern of winning every other race and this should be his on week. He isn't impossible in this spot.

Race 4: F&M NW $8,000 L5 or $16,500 L10 AE: NW $3,600 L4 or OPT CLM $18,000 - Pick 4

This is a good spot for (3) TUAPEKA JESSIE N to get back on track and she should be prominent throughout racing on or near the lead. (6) BOADICEA drops to a new low for this season and she should get put into action early although she clearly is not the same mare she was last year. I wouldn't take too short of a price here. (5) TWIN B TIPSTER produced a nice late kick racing first time off the claim last week and she can factor in the Tri or Super here again. (1) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY should sit a following trip and emerge late to take a small slice.

Race 5: SBOA FINAL 3YO FILLIES

(2) SONADORO DEO wasn't asked for anything until the final 1/4 last week and she was really motoring when they hit the wire. Getting just what she needed out of that start, she should be sitting on a big mile here; top call. (5) P L NOTSONICE was hung very wide on the first turn last week but she continued going forward until she finally made front and she continued on to a big winning mile. She should be a threat right back. (4) SUSIES LADY was also a strong winner last week but I don't see her getting the same trip here. I'll play against her as a likely underlay. (8) PRINCESSPARTYPANTS recaptured some good form last week and she is worth considering for exotic bets here at a price.

Race 6: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED HANDICAP - Pick 5

(5) GIAS SURREAL produced a wicked late brush to get up to win last week despite trailing through moderate splits early and she gets the call to repeat here. (8) SO MUCH MORE beat the top males on the grounds two starts back and she will rightfully take a lot of action at the windows here. She's the one to beat, but from out there it's worth taking a swing against her. (7) LIT DE ROSE got a 29-flat second 1/4 breather and that was all she needed to seal the deal last week. She is always dangerous. (3) IVANA FLYBYE N is always in the hunt and she should sit another good trip near the front tonight. She should be in the Tri or Super.

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Race 7: SBOA FINAL 3YO FILLIES

(4) ROSE RUN VICTORY has been lights-out since she changed barns and she gets the call to swoop by again in this stakes final. (1) LAURAS LOVE got out-tripped last week by (5) KARMA SEELSTER, both of who are capable of winning this race that is likely going to be decided by pace and trip. (2) BEACH SPORTS raced well last week and from an inside post she should make it into the Tri or Super this time.

Race 8: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10 - Pick 4

(4) TASTE OF HISTORY goes for Moreau in his first race since shipping east and he has enough speed to go with these; top call. (6) AMERICAN VIRGIN had little chance last week when he got parked the whole way. He gets the best post here and he should be in the mix. (8) NICKLE BAG was buried for most of the race last week and had little chance. His price will climb here even though he drops and gets a driver switch to Henry; upset chance. (1) AMERICAN WIGGLE also drops and he moves inside. He should wake up with a bettor effort here; using.

Race 9: PREFERRED

(1) BEAUMOND HANOVER fits this edition of the Preferred well and he has certainly showed that he has enough speed to beat these elder rivals. Jamieson chose him over (8) SINTRA too; top call. The latter obviously faces easier here and picks up McClure. He should be the main threat. (6) TRACEUR HANOVER is in peak form right now and he isn't out of the picture, but I prefer the top two choices for multi-race bets. (3) POINTS NORTH is capable of a better result if he gets into the flow this time; using underneath.

Race 10: NW $11,000 L5 or $22,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000

(9) FOOT SOLDIER was right there racing against better last week despite being mired in the second tier at the start; Macdonald speed blast coming here? (8) ROYAL RENEGADE fits this class well but his preferred racing style often leaves him with too much to do. He can win here if he is close enough at the head of the lane. (2) BETTOR B GOING's late rally fell a couple of strides short last week. He should be closing again for a slice. (3) PLAY JET RAY faces much tougher here after throttling easier. I see him as a fringe player in this spot.

Race 11: NW $8,000 L5 or $16,000 L10

(4) MONGOLIAN HERO N gets a much better post here after being conservatively driven last week when he drew widest and he should produce a top effort now. (9) YACHT SEELSTER was an easy winner last time he raced in this class and he should be a good price tonight. There is some potential late Pick 4 value here. (1) REVOLVER N can improve in this second start back and he has some upset potential in this spot. (10) AINTNOBETTOR A should be passing many of these in the back 1/2. He should be in the Super. (2) ST LADS THRILLER is more likely to sit a trip and try to take a share this week; using on the bottom.