Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 11/13

Meet Stats: 345 - 1018 / $1,842.10 (-$193.90)

Best Bets: 51 - 92 / $174.10 (-$9.90)

Spot Plays: 25 - 94 / $179.30 (-$8.70)

Best Bet: DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN (5TH)

Spot Play: PLAY JET RAY (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,4,6,9/3,4,5/1,7,8/1,8/2,3 = $28.80

Late Pick 5: 5,6/6,7,9/1,2,5/5,8/3,4,7 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 1,8/2,3/5,6/6,7,9 = $24

Late Pick 4: 6,7,9/1,2,5/5,8/3,4,7 = $54

Race 1: NW $8,500 L5 or $18,100 L10 or NW $60,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

Last time (6) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES raced this low, he was aggressively driven to a win while taking a new life's mark. He gets the nod vs. these. (3) PRICELESS BEACH had some late pace to offer last week but he was on too much cover. I'll use him as a price option in the Pick 5. (9) FOREFATHER was first up pressing fast fractions last week in a race that went faster than this one is likely to go. He isn't out of this. (4) POINTOMYGRANSON was an upset winner last time Henry drove and that pilot returns here. He could improve sharply at a price tonight.

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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW4 or $33,000 AE: 3YO Grassroots Starters

(5) CHANTEE was beaten by a tripped out winner last week but he raced well and he looks fastest in here; top call. (4) CADILLAC BAYAMA gets back in with three-year-olds tonight and he goes to trainer Moreau. He is another that I'll use in the early Pick 5. (3) BEACH PARTY has been facing tougher recently and he produced several good efforts. He isn't without a chance vs. these. (2) SOUTHBEACH HANOVER can sit a trip and take a small share.

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Race 3: NW $5,750 L5 or $10,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000

(8) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE takes a multi-level class plunge here and he should get more aggressive in this spot. I'll give him a slight nod. (7) SUPERLATIVE, still winless this year, needs things to shake out perfectly for her, but she seems to race well for Jamieson. She could surprise tonight. (1) SHES GOT PIZAZZ fits better at this level and she is another logical Pick 5 option. (5) WISHYOUDTELLME’s good tactical speed makes him an exotics player every week; using underneath.

Race 4: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10 - Pick 4

(1) PLAY JET RAY is only a one-time winner this year but his recent form is good and he produced a big effort to just miss at this level three starts back; call to upset. (8) THE GREEK FREAK will probably get hammered at the windows on the class drop, but he is still 0 for 21 and he is hard to trust at this point. I couldn't take odds-on here. (4) SIDDHARTHA can get a piece of this with his good closing kick. (10) ROYAL RENEGADE drops a level and that puts him back in the picture for a share.

Race 5: SBOA FINAL 3YO FILLIES

(3) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN more often than not finds the best trip and she gets top billing facing fellow sophomores here for $144K. (2) BET ON BECKY provided perfect cover for the choice last time and she could turn the tables with a better trip; using. (5) GAME OF SHADOWS was too far back in the tightener for this race last week. She should get a better start here and land a share. (1) BEST HEAD WEST closed well to garner a slice last week and she can be in the Tri or Super tonight.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $17,000 LT - Pick 5

(6) BETTORBEFLYIN has had tough trips in his Mohawk Park starts and he was beaten only three lengths in both races. He can beat these if he gets a bit of racing luck on his side this week; top call. (5) THE SHINING was bet down to even money last week and he almost converted. He picks up McNair tonight and he should be the one to beat. (1) CENTURY HEFNER got the perfect trip and converted last week. Starting from the rail, a similar trip is possible for him tonight; using. (8) KISSINBYTHEBEACHES brings some good form in from Flamboro Downs. He's worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 7: SBOA FINAL 3YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(7) P L OPPORTUNITY tuned up for this lucrative stake with a nice win here last week and I'll give her top billing. (6) UP AND READY had the perfect tightener when third to the choice in that race after missing three weeks and a more aggressive approach is likely here; using. (9) HP MAMA B took a break following a tough trip loss in the Superfinal, no doubt with an eye to this $144K purse. With her class and speed, she's hard to leave out. (3) IMEXTRASPECIAL had a productive year and she should be in the mix racing from close range tonight.

Race 8: NW $11,000 L5 or $25,500 L10 or NW $90,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(5) ROCKME ROLLME raced well last week at this level but he was just too far back. From a better post tonight, he should lay closer early; slight nod. (1) FOOT SOLDIER took lots of action last week despite coming off a mediocre previous start and he converted. He should be a threat right back. (2) CHIEFS BEACH paced a 26 4/5 third 1/4 last week in a fast race. He could improve sharply in this easier spot; using. (3) GRAND POOBAH should be closing late again and land in the Tri or Super.

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Race 9: PREFERRED HANDICAP

(8) WHEELS ON FIRE easily beat some of these last week and he will be the one to catch again; top call. (5) UHTRED came back to the races ready to play and he got the right setup then converted at a big price. He is capable of blasting and sitting in the choice's pocket and that makes him dangerous in this spot. (7) SWEET DEISEL is in excellent form and he should be flying late again; using underneath. (2) BEST IN SHOW does better when he races from off the pace and I can see him deploying a closing style here and landing in the Super.

Race 10: NW $3,600 L5 or $7,000 L10

Two horses that change barns interest me the most in this race. (3) HERVEY HANOVER moves to the Cullen barn, drops and he had a qualifier for this. I could see him producing a big mile here; top call. (4) EXCALIBER SEELSTER goes for a barn that has clicked with 5 of 16 (31%) of fresh claims this year and he is the second of three that I'll be using on late multi-race tickets. (7) WILDRIVERBUMBLEBEE is another class dropper who fits well in this spot and he should get an aggressive Filion steer; using. (6) R BAZINGA was perfectly driven to land in the Tri last week. He could be part of the exotics again. (8) REAGAN BLUE CHIP could improve enough on the class drop to land in the High-5 tonight.