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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 11/12

Garnet Barnsdale|Nov 10, 2022
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats: 60 - 1853 / $3,081.50 (-$688.50)

Best Bets: 94 - 173 / $314.20 (-$31.80)

Spot Plays: 44 – 174 / $300.70 (-$47.30)

Best Bet: CAMARA MOMENT (1ST)

Spot Play: STABLE GENIUS (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 3/1,3,5,7/1,3/4,8/1,3,5,9 = $12.80

Late Pick 5: 2,3/9/6,7/1,2,4/1,2,3,5 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 4,8/1,3,5,9/2,3/9 = $16

Late Pick 4: 9/6,7/1,2,4/1,2,3,5 = $24

Race 1: Harvest Series Ontario Sired 3YO Colts 2nd Leg **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) CAMARA MOMENT seems to have his gait issues straightened out and that's bad news for his rivals in this series. A threepeat looms tonight. (6) DELICATE SOUND, the other first leg winner in here, is likely second best tonight and will complete a chalky Exacta. (1) LYONS PRIDE was a good closing 2nd last week and he is in the exotics mix again. (2) COLIGNY HANOVER was first up against the choice last week and that was never going to pan out. He can take a slice in this short field.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L3

Tough race here that features several droppers. (5) GRAND POOBAH won last time he raced in this class and he raced very aggressively in that race. I'll give him a slight nod. (7) ILLGETMYOWN THANKS also drops and he picked up the leading driver at scratch time. It would be no surprise to see him get more aggressive in this spot. (3) DRAGON ENERGY gets both class and post relief and he is another that should be closer to the front early in this mile; using. (1) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES is another dropper that shows a recent win vs. similar. He is another that could do with the right trip.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: Winners of 3 but not more than 6 races of $80,000 AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $60,000

(1) DREAMFAIR ARNIE B takes a big drop from the Breeders Crown final and he should be tough to beat in this spot. (3) MOMAS SON BYRNE was on fire in September but he has now been laid up for 6 weeks. He would be right there vs. these on his best day, but his sharpness is a guessing game. (4) CONTROL THE POWER faces tougher here, but he is sharp and he can take a share. (2) RON is capable of better than he showed last week and he can sneak into the exotics starting from an inside post.

Race 4: NW $12,000 L5 or $25,000 L10 or $100,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000 - Pick 4

(8) AMERICAN HISTORY takes a big drop here and he should wake up vs. these, likely getting much more aggressive leaving the gate; top call. (4) FABRIZIO N has been racing tough and he shows three straight 26 4/5 kickers so you know he is sharp; using. (1) LEGION SEELSTER likely sits and rallies for a slice in this spot. (3) ROCKME ROLLME was perfectly-driven to score vs. easier. A small share is likely for him tonight.

Race 5: Harvest Series Ontario Sired 3YO Colts 2nd Leg

(1) STABLE GENIUS' return race from the second-tier was good and he should be able to lay closer and pounce on these tonight; top call. (9) MARVIN HAGLER deserved better after making two moves last week and he could win this with a slightly easier trip; using. (5) ROYALTYS ROCKET showed he has a nose for the wire last week and he is another in with a shot here as he shoots for a sixth straight win. (3) ANGELS EXPRESS was probably overbet last week but he was game in defeat. He is in the mix again.

Race 6: Harvest Series Ontario Sired 3YO Colts 2nd Leg - Pick 5

(3) BOOTLEGGER CHARLIE was a good 2nd to razor-sharp Camara Moment in the opening leg of this series last week and I'll give him a slight nod over (2) STONE CARVER. The latter is the obvious one to beat and the leading driver picked him over the choice. (1) E L GLADIATOR improved sharply last week and he can close for another share here. (4) HOWYOUPLAY THEGAME will likely close for another small share tonight.

Race 7: NW $6,000 L5 or $16,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $45,000 - Pick 4

(9) CADILLAC BAYAMA takes a big drop here and he really should dominate at this level. (7) ARTIES IDEAL is another dropper that figures to improve sharply at this level. He can be an Exacta factor. (2) STONEBRIDGE REX was expected to be closer early in the mile last week. I can see him leaving better and taking a share tonight. (1) YOURETHEONE should pass a few rivals late and land in the bottom of the Tri or Super.

Race 8: NW $19,000 L5 or $28,000 L5 AE: Starters for a purse of $16,000 or less in 1 of L4 AE: OPT CLM $80,000

(7) WOODMERE STEALDEAL has been racing tough every week. This looks like a spot where he could dominate on the front end; top call. (6) MAPPOS LION is another dropper that should be forwardly-placed early and he looks like the main danger. (2) HESINCONTROL should improve enough to take a share in this spot. (1) POINTS NORTH drops but he faces other that are getting class relief. I'll use him on the bottom.

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Race 9: PREFERRED

(1) WARAWEE VITAL got hung out in a sub-27 third 1/4 last week which ruined his chances. I'll stick with him anticipating that he gets a better trip. (4) CARBINE rebuffed the choice and he raced tough right to the wire. He is an obvious threat here. (2) WHEELS ON FIRE tripped out in two straight to take narrow wins. Who's to say he can't do it again in this short field? (3) CODENAME CIGAR BOX is razor-sharp and he should be in the mix again.

Race 10: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L3 AE: NW $1K L3 or $1,300 P/S in 2022

(2) HERVEY HANOVER comes in off a sharp score at Flamboro Downs on Wednesday night and he gets the call to repeat on the quick return. (3) ALTA ENGEN A was first up in a fast mile and that makes him one of the main contenders vs. these; using. (1) REAL WILLEY will be in the mix here but he could get over bet on the drop. I'll try to beat him. (5) ROTTEN RONNIE is an interesting Maritimes invader that couldn't be arriving any sharper; price look. (9) BAYFIELD BEACH should flash early speed and stick around for a share here.

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