Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 10/8

Meet Stats: 547 - 1687 / $2,752.60 (-$621.40)

Best Bets: 82 - 154 / $280.00 (-$28.00)

Spot Plays: 42 - 157 / $288.00 (-$26.00)

Best Bet: HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A (2ND)

Spot Play: THE AMAZINGSANDO (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 1,4,/7/3,6,8/6,8/1,2,3 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 1,2/2,3/3,6/1,7/1,3,6 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 6,8/1,2,3/1,2/2,3 = $24

Late Pick 4: 3,6/1,7/1,3,6/1,3,4,9 = $48

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $22,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) CALLED IN SICK raced well vs. a strong NW3 field now he drops to NW2. He has a strong record this year and a big shot tonight. (4) SPORTS BOX closed well last week but he was too far back. His good late kick should play well here. (5) SHES WATCHING ME wired a group of conditioned claimers as expected and he will be the one to catch again. I think he gets picked off by one or both of the top two choices this time. (3) E L GLADIATOR can go better here if he gets an improved trip; using underneath.

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Race 2: F&M NW $12,000 L or $22,000 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $15K or Less L4 AE: OPT CLM $60,000

(7) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A was very good last time but she came up against a razor-sharp version of Hot Mess Express who no one was beating. He gets top billing vs. these. (4) JUST DAISY was first to move against that winner and trying to chase her down took its toll. She could be a lot closer tonight; Exacta factor. (2) EXOTIC DRAGON flew late and she looked good beating lesser. She is in the exotics mix again. (5) SNOW SHARK likely closes late for a small slice in this spot.

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Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $22,000 LT

(6) THE AMAZINGSANDO raced well against a tough claimer last time and he kicked home with his best final 1/4 since he started back on 8/29. He projects to get a perfect pocket trip following leader (8) FULL DISCLOSURE here and he can get past that rival late in the mile. The latter will hold the lead right to the wire one of these times and that might come here. (3) POINTTO SWEET LOU drops back to face NW2 tonight and he will likely close for a share. (5) TANGO SEELSTER figures to get a good trip racing near the front and he should be part of the Tri or Super.

Race 4: NW $12,000 L5 or $23,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $65,000 or NW $100,000 LT - Pick 4

(6) HESINCONTROL got McNair, dropped two seconds, and jogged and that driver sticks with him here when he had some choices; call to repeat. (8) FABRIZIO N faced much tougher last time in this same class and he figures to be a big threat vs. these; using. (3) B STONEY's last race probably looks better on paper than it was because he was never in contention and closed past a few rivals very late in the mile to grab 4th. Another small share is likely his ceiling here. (1) EAST END makes his second start at this level and he can improve enough to land in the Super.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000

(2) PERSISTANT BOY woke up with a much better effort last time now he gets McNair and top billing here. (1) SOUTHSIDE EDDY went too fast, too soon in a Gold race last time and he paid the price. As often happens with horses coming off this kind of mile, I think he sits in this time and he could be loaded late; using. (3) CENTURY INSPECTOR raced well coming off a vet scratch and he is in with a shot here. (6) KAPORAL suffered interference in early stretch last week but he looked like he was heading for a small share anyway. I'll use him underneath here.

Race 6: Winners of 3 but not more than 6 or $80,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $60,000 - Pick 5

(2) DREAMFAIR ARNIE B didn't get the best trip as the 4 to 5 choice in the Grassroots final. He can bounce back here. (1) FROZEN HANOVER is the one to fear coming off a big win where he was driven with supreme confidence by Roy. (4) POWERTRAIN flies home every week but he is usually out of position. He is probably best-used underneath here. (3) ACAPULCO SUNBURN should improve enough in this spot to land in the exotics.

Race 7: NW $6,250 L5 or $10,200 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $10K or less L2

(2) POINTS NORTH drops out of a much tougher race and he should be tough to beat here, likely racing on the engine throughout. (3) STONEBRIDGE REX raced tough coming off a sick scratch and he figures to be the main threat here. (7) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N raced okay from this post last week and I see him closing for a share here. (1) SOMETIME SOMEWHERE paced a 53 1/5 back 1/2 last week and he should be good for a slice here.

Race 8: NW $18,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $125,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $80,000 - Pick 4

(6) CARBINE woke up last week and produced a big front end win and he gets the call to repeat facing similar. (3) WOODMERE STEALDEAL paced a sub-53 back 1/2 when 2nd to the choice now he draws better. He could turn the tables tonight. (5) LEGION SEELSTER looked like a winner until the final strides last week when he got picked off by a razor-sharp rival. He is in the exotics mix here. (7) CENTURY HEINEKEN will likely come on late again for a slice.

Race 9: PREFERRED 2

(7) AMERICAN HISTORY shows a win sandwiched between two losses to Tattoo Artist and with that rival gone, he gets top call here. (1) DESPERATE MAN gets away from the Bulldog but he got beat at 3 to 5 in a similar spot two starts back so I wouldn't take odds-on here. (3) FUNATTHEBEACH N should be in the exotics mix shipping in from Yonkers tonight. (4) MAPPOS LION comes to play every week. He can take a slice here.

Race 10: NW $2,400 L3

(3) ROCKME ROLLME drops and moves inside and he has a big shot here. (6) MAYHEM LIKE ME comes off a nice effort vs. similar and he should be a late threat tonight. (1) REAL WILLEY looks sharp for this return and he could be a big speed threat here; using. (7) ALWAYS B SWEET raced decently from the worst post and he should close for a piece of this getting post relief tonight.

Race 11: NW $3,000 L5 or $9,400 L10 or NW 2 in 2022 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L3

(3) CHANTEE drops and he should get a good stalking trip tonight. He can vault past these late if he gets some live cover; top call. (4) CHOREOGRAPHER will likely blast right to the front here and try to bottom out the field and he is dangerous in this spot. (1) RESPECT OUR FLAG is hot and the horse he beat at Flamboro on 9/27 has already come back to jog at that track on Wednesday night. He is in with a good shot here. (9) LETS GET PICKLED comes in sharp from the 'B' tracks and McNair has had some success with him at this track. He is in with an upset chance tonight. (6) UNCONTROLLABLE is in the hunt every week it seems and he can get a slice leaving from the best post tonight.