Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 10/30

Meet Stats: 315 - 933 / $1,697.50 (-$168.50)

Best Bets: 49 - 84 / $168.70 (+0.70)

Spot Plays: 23 - 86 / $168.20 (-$3.80)

Best Bet: FOREFATHER (9TH)

Spot Play: RAYS CREDIT (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,5,6/5,6/4,7,8/1,3,5,6/3,4 = $28.80

Late Pick 5: 1,3,8/1,4/1,4,9/3/3,5 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 1,3,5,6/3,4/1,3,8/1,4 = $48

Late Pick 4: 1,4,9/3/3,5/1,4,5,8 = $24

Race 1: F&M NW $17,500 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $110,000 LT AE: 3YO **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) BESTSELLER HANOVER steps up to face several sharp sophomores, but if she repeats last week's mile, those three-year-olds will likely be racing for 2nd; top call. (3) BET ON BECKY had no chance of challenging the winner in the Superfinal considering the trip she got, but she was a clear 2nd and she has really turned her form around in the past month; using. (6) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP is in solid form right now and she is another in with a chance here. (9) WESTERN WISH showed last week that she can overcome this post but she may not get the same trip tonight; using underneath.

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Race 2: NW $30,000 L5 or $180,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $80,000

(5) BEYOND BETTER flies home every week and he fits well here. The small field should help his chances and he gets the nod. (6) WHEELS ON FIRE should be blasting to the front and he is the one to catch again; using. (3) LIT DE ROSE was right there last week despite missing time due to sickness and she is in the mix again tonight. (4) BETTORBUCKLEUP steps up off a win but he is sharp and goes for a barn that has done well all year. He is another possibility in a competitive field.

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Race 3: NW $5,000 L5 or $12,800 L10

(8) H P NAPOLEON won at a higher class six starts back and the drop in class is likely exactly what he needs. I'll give him the nod vs. these. (4) PLAY JET RAY set some big splits and he almost lasted at this level last week and he seems to fit well here; using. (7) REAGAN BLUE CHIP is another getting needed class relief that should be heard from tonight and I wouldn't be surprised if he blasts off the gate this time. (9) CHIEFS BEACH is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 4: NW $13,000 L5 or $24,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000 - Pick 4

(1) RAYS KREDIT took a new life's mark last week by pacing a 53-flat back 1/2. He takes a multi-level class jump tonight but he might be good enough to beat these right now. (5) POINTS NORTH will likely be favored on the class drop and McNair should have him on top when they turn for home. He is the one to catch and beat. (6) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N is a trip horse that could get himself perfectly spotted at the start again and that makes him a threat to repeat. (3) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES is in solid form but he could get over bet based on last week’s sub-1:50 mile; your call.

Race 5: NW $8,100 L5 or $16,000 L10

(3) WIND BLOWN got a clean line and missed a check and he gets to drop into a spot where he should dominate. He gets the nod over (4) TRACEUR HANOVER, who paced a big mile to win last time he raced this low. (1) POINTOMYGRANSON will likely look to sit a trip this time and that makes him an exotics factor in this spot. (2) GRAND POOBAH gets Drury back for this and I see him rounding out the Super.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW5 or $80,000 LT - Pick 5

(3) SHES GOT IT ALL took a major shuffle then got shut off in midstretch when she had plenty of pace. That race is much better than it looks in the program and I'll call her to upset here. This is the easiest spot (1) BEST HEAD WEST has been in for a while and she picks up McNair who will likely get more aggressive with her. She could take her first win of the year here is she gets a decent trip. (8) GAME OF SHADOWS was game in defeat last time, edged right on the money by her stablemate. She is sharp and dangerous. (6) SETTN A PRECEDENT is always a threat to swoop the field but she is dependent on trip and often gets beat by traffic issues. I'll use her underneath.

Race 7: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $32,000

(1) CHANTEE will be a much lower price tonight after easily handling similar company last week, but off that strong two-move effort he gets the call to repeat. (4) RAU RU exits a tougher race and he should improve in this spot. He is the second horse that I'll use in the late multi-race sequences. (7) HESINCONTROL should get a better trip and land in the Tri tonight. (8) KOUNT BLASTER should be in the exotics mix coming off a sharp win vs. easier.

Race 8: NW $5,000 L5 or $12,800 L10 - Pick 4

(4) WILDRIVERBUMBLEBEE uncorked a 26 3/5 third 1/4 last week trying to bottom out the field but he tired late. His price should be better here and he has a good chance vs. these. (9) CASIMIR RICHIE P is worth a look on the class drop despite drawing widest. (1) SPEAKING OF ART is getting closer every week and he would be no surprise in this spot. (2) REVOLT looked good beating easier earlier this week but in this tougher spot I'll use him underneath.

Race 9: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $58,000 LT AE: 3YO who are NW3 in 2021

(3) FOREFATHER was impressive here last week carving out strong fractions on the lead and he gets the call to repeat. (1) CONTROL HEAVEN raced decently when 4th to the choice and he can be an Exacta factor here leaving from the inside. (4) TWIN B FIGHTER, 2nd to the choice in that race, should be closing again for a share. (7) BEACH PARTY has been in tough recently. I see him landing a share tonight.

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Race 10: NW $17,000 L5 or $35,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: NW $9,000 L4

(5) BEST IN SHOW moves up one level coming off a game win and he can handle these, too; top call. (3) ROCKIN N TALKIN fits better at this level and he should be right there tonight racing on or near the lead most of the way; using. (4) REAL WILLEY rarely misses the ticket no matter what class level he races at and he should be part of the Tri or Super again tonight. (6) EAST END is another who always seems to be right there and he is in the exotics mix here.

Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(5) BETTORBEFLYIN didn't get the best trip last week, but he finished willingly. I see him turning the tables on (1) SAULSBROOK VICTOR, who was impressive in victory but loses McClure, who is in New Jersey this weekend for the Breeders Crown. (8) TAKE A GAMBLE looked racey in the pocket and he also put in solid effort in that race. He is a threat to wire these tonight. (4) DATGUYNA GREENSUIT is another exiting that same race who performed decently and is in with a chance here. (3) FEAR THE SHADOW is a good one to use on the bottom of Super and High-5 bets.