Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 10/24

Meet Stats: 282- 897 / $1639.10 (-$154.90)
Best Bets: 45 - 79 / $147.20 (-$11.80)
Spot Plays: 13 - 81 / $108.50 (-$53.50)
Best Bet: CASIMIR RICHIE P (11TH)
Spot Play: BEYOND BETTER (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,5,6,9/2/2,3,4,9/2,5/1,4,5 = $19.20
Late Pick 5: 3,5,6,9/7,10/2,6/3,4,5/2,8 = $19.20
Early Pick 4: 2,5/1,4,5/3,5,6,9/7,10 = $48
Late Pick 4: 2,6/3,4,5/2,8/4 = $12

Race 1: NW3 or $52,000 LT AE: ONT Sired 3YO NW or $85,000 LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

Last time (1) REVOLT had his nose on the gate to start a race three starts back, he took the fastest mark of any horse in this field. He should get away in midpack here and he has a good chance to chase down the leaders. (5) BRONSONS DELIGHT was flying late last week now he moves into the Auciello barn with improving form. He could provide some value to the early Pick 5. (6) THE WILD CARD did all the work last time only to be picked off late by pocket sitter (9) ECLAT DE RIRE. Both of these geldings are also contenders in a race that can go several ways depending on pace and trips.

Race 2: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT

(2) FORTUNE STARLET did all the work last time, cutting solid fractions, only to be picked off late by a sharp rival. She looks best here and gets the nod. (3) NIMBUS DEO moves to an inside post here and that can make a big difference to her chances as it's expected that she will be positioned closer to the front leaving the gate; Exacta factor. (5) CHARMBO PRINCE drew the worst post in two straight now he moves to one of the better starting slots and he is talented enough to contend in this spot; using underneath. (1) TRINA faces mixed company and elders here but she is capable of landing in the Super leaving from the rail.

Race 3: NW $8,000 L5 or $18,000 L10

(9) PLAY JET RAY is in a better spot here dropping again but also getting out of the second tier. Expect aggression. (2) EXIT SMILING is flying home every week and he will get racing luck on his side one of these weeks; maybe tonight? (4) HIDDEN DELIGHT almost won at this level two starts back and he is the third of four that I'll use in the Pick 5. (3) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER drops again and he is another that is capable at this level although he is stuck on one win so far this year; your call.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $36,500 LT - Pick 4

(5) BEYOND BETTER won his first three starts then encountered some issues. His most recent start indicates a return to his best form and he might offer a square price here; top call. (2) SOLID MAN should be better here with his nose back on the gate and he could get a great trip racing near the front; using. (9) BEE TWO BEE is in sharp form and he should contend again even starting from out there. (3) DEVIL OR ANGEL rarely misses finishing in the top four but he frequently gets overbet. I'll play to beat him in this spot.

Race 5: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $24,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(4) BOADICEA set big splits only to be picked off by a sharp rival last time. She should be tough here if she can steal a slight breather. (1) GIAS SURREAL dropped and dominated in this class last week and she should be right there again tonight. (5) BORN A DRAGON produced a strong effort last time she raced in this class three starts back and she is another to consider in a race with a few options. (6) SWIFT ALLY should take a share on the class drop.

Race 6: NW $16,000 L5 or $26,000 L10 or NW $145,000 LT AE: 3YO - Pick 5

Interesting race with some strong sophomores taking on elders and I'll side with three-year-old (3) MAYHEM HANOVER who produced a tremendous effort while winning the Grassroots final. (9) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES was taken down in a questionable call last week and he continues to pace huge efforts each week; using. (6) BEAUMOND HANOVER got room too late in the Superfinal but he remains sharp and he is in with a chance here. (5) PERSIMMON A drops and keeps Henry and he is another in with a chance in a race where it makes sense to price shop.

Race 7: ONT SIRES 3YO FILLIES NW $50,000 in 2020

(10) TH PRESENT couldn't find room when she needed it in the lane last time now she picks up Filion while moving into Moreau's barn in a spot where she fits well and she gets the nod. (7) INTENSE JUSTICE has faced a steady diet of tougher company and she should be a strong factor against these; using. (2) NOBLESSE DUHARAS exits the same race as the choice and she finished just behind her. She should be a factor racing on or near the front here. (3) SCORCHED ROMANCE was a distant second to the choice in her last start and she figures to make it into the Tri or Super in this spot.

Race 8: NW3 or $52,000 LT AE: ONT SIRED 3YO NW $85,000 LT - Pick 4

(6) SUNDOWN KID faced some tough sophomores in the Grassroots final and he should encounter less competition for the front early in this mile. He may go right down the road against these. (2) WHITECOOKIE predictably responded well to a barn and driver change and he isn't out of place here. He is on my Pick 4 ticket. (4) MENLO PARK is always put into play and he should be an exotics factor again racing near the front. (7) DELIGHTFUL TERROR has a better chance here with his nose back on the gate; consider for the exotics at a price.

Race 9: PREFERRED

(5) MATTICULOUS GB had a long trip last week from the 9-hole; now he gets a much better post and top call to beat this group. (4) ROCKME ROLLME was also out a long way on the choice's cover and he got picked off late in the mile. Moving inside should help him, too. (3) SO MUCH MORE takes on the boys here but she has been so sharp recently that she may be up to it. (6) HP NAPOLEON has improved his form in the past few starts and he isn't out of this but his main rivals getting post relief this week is likely to be the deciding factor.

Race 10: F&M 5YO and Younger NW $87,500 LT

There is little doubt that (8) THE BANDIT QUEEN N would have won last week if she found room earlier in the lane. She should be tough here if she works out a reasonable trip from out there. (2) FREE FLYIN TICKET fits well here and she might be the one to hold off late; using. (5) FURIOSA faced some tough mares last week and she drew poorly so missing a check was no big surprise. She fits better here and is in with a shot. (7) MARY KAT made her own luck by blasting and securing the pocket last week. I prefer to use her underneath this time starting from the outside.

Race 11: NW $11,000 L5 or $23,000 L10

(4) CASIMIR RICHIE P takes a big class plunge after leading the top class to the stretch and he will take beating here at a short price. (1) YACHT SEELSTER is always close when racing at this level and he should be an Exacta factor here. (6) P L JACKSON has improved his form in his past three starts and he merits a close look for Tri and Super bets. (2) MILITARY SECRET was only a neck away from winning last time he raced this low and he should get a decent trip and take a share here. (10) AMERICAN HUSTLE should be passing some of these late; using on the bottom of exotic wagers.