Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 10/23

Meet Stats: 307 - 890 / $1,651.30 (-$128.70)

Best Bets: 46 - 80 / $158.30 (-$1.70)

Spot Plays: 23 - 82 / $168.20 (+$4.20)

Best Bet: BEST IN SHOW (1ST)

Spot Play: DREAMFAIR MOXY (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 6/4,7/2,4,8,10/1,5,6,8/5,8 = $12.80

Late Pick 5: 2/1,6,7/2,5,7/5/3,6,7 = $5.40

Early Pick 4: 1,5,6,8/5,8/2/1,6,7 = $24

Late Pick 4: 2,5,7/5/3,6,7/2,5,10 = $27

Race 1: NW $11,000 L5 or $23,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) BEST IN SHOW, who has paced sub-1:50 miles in five of his last six starts, sticks out on the class drop here and he should be hard to eat on the class drop. (1) REAL SURREAL is in solid form and I can see him tripping out and coming on late to complete the Exacta. (5) REAL WILLEY is another sharp horse that should be in the exotics mix tonight; using underneath. (2) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT faces tougher but he could be even sharper here making his third start back. Consider him for the bottom of the Tri and Super.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW5 or $80,000 LT

(4) MAPPOS LION might get his toughest test yet since arriving at Mohawk Park but I think he will be up to it. (7) CENTURY HEINEKEN has shown he is capable of pacing a sub-1:50 mile and McNair is likely going to take it right to the choice from the outset. I can see a protracted battle developing between these two geldings. (5) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N raced tough first up last week and he should be good for a slice here. (3) BEACH PARTY should sit a nice following trip and stick around for a share.

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Race 3: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(2) NEVER MIND N had an extremely long trip last time and he stuck around gamely to take third. I'll give him the nod in a race with a few live options. (8) BABIDIBOU raced well last week when finishing ahead of the choice, but the pocket-sitter was loaded and would not be denied. He is in with a good chance here. (4) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE returns much quicker and retains McNair. Sharp improvement is possible; using. (10) VILLEFRANCHE AS blasted to the front from this post when racing at this level on 10/4. She is worth a look at a price here.

Race 4: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,900 L10 - Pick 4

(8) CROSSCUT faces tougher here but that was a big winning mile he paced uncovered on the rim at Flamboro to win on 10/6 and he gets top billing. (5) PRESTIGE SEELSTER set some wild fractions then stopped when claimed by Moreau. He could go much better tonight. (1) SIDDHARTHA drops and moves inside. He has upset possibilities vs these; using. (6) ROYAL RENEGADE is often the victim of pace and trip, but he is capable at this level if the pace slows late.

Race 5: NW $8,100 L5 or $16,000 L10

(5) POINTOMYGRANSON was perfectly driven to win last week. He fits this level like a glove and he could trip out again; call to repeat. (8) ROCKME ROLLME is in the hunt every week and he will break through for his fourth win of the year soon; maybe tonight. (6) LETS GET PICKLED is capable of better than he showed last time. He will likely be more aggressive early here and he should be in the exotics mix. (4) PRICELESS BEACH is a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri and Super in this spot.

Race 6: NW $30,000 L5 or $175,000 LT AE: MARES - Pick 5

(2) WHEELS ON FIRE should be happy to see Warrawee Vital isn't lined up on the gate tonight and I'm sure he will be looking to go right down the road; top call. (4) SO MUCH MORE is one of the best in here despite facing some males but keep in mind she is racing in the Breeders Crown Final for aged pacing mares next week so they will be looking to not empty the tank in this race. (3) ROCKIN N TALKIN was only 1/2 length behind the choice last time. He should be close here. (5) GIAS SURREAL, the other mare in here, is capable of taking a share.

Race 7: F&M NW $18,500 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(6) LADY ARTHUR took a new life's mark racing at this level two starts back where she set some big fractions and lasted. She was in tough last week and racing on the lead over a wet track where only two of the night’s 12 winners were on the lead at the 3/4 pole. She gets top call here. (1) SNOW SHARK can get a good following trip here and she might be the one to fend off late; using. (7) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP showed some grit last week in the lane when she tipped wide around a drifting leader to get up late. She might have trouble with the droppers in here so I'll use her underneath. (9) WESTERN WISH is a sophomore capable of landing in the Tri or Super here; using on the bottom.

Race 8: NW $5,000 L5 or $12,500 L10 - Pick 4

(5) DREAMFAIR MOXY was jumped up to a level over his head five days ago, earned $0, now he gets to drop back into the same class where he was a winner at 21 to 1 two starts back. I doubt you'll see him dropping back to 7th leaving the gate tonight; top call. (2) WILDRIVERBUMBLEBEE is the other dropper who should be right there vs. these and he's on my multi-race tickets. (7) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN comes off a sharp effort and he should be in the hunt again; using. (1) JM JACK OF HEARTS should be good for a share dropping one class level tonight.

Race 9: NW $19,000 L5 or $26,000 L10 or NW $130,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

This is another race that has mares sprinkled in with males. I'll give the edge to improving Gallucci trainee (5) BETTORBUCKLEUP who just took a new life's mark and flew home in the final 1/4. (4) LIT DE ROSE is fast enough for these but the vet scratch is worrisome; using underneath. (7) KENDALL SEELSTER is in peak form but I don't see her troubling the choice; small share predicted. (9) SPEEDY DOMINIC A can blast for position then stick around for a share.

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Race 10: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $50,000 (Ont. Sired $65,000) LT

(6) CONTROL HEAVEN had the misfortune of coming up against the streaking Mappos Lion twice in a row and he raced well in defeat. I'll give him top call here. (7) FOREFATHER is another that comes off a good effort vs. Mappos Lion and he should be sent forward leaving the gate again tonight; using. (3) STONEBRIDGE REX gets McNair back and he should improve sharply in this spot where he is likely to be aggressive leaving the gate. He is another possibility for late multi-race tickets. (5) TWIN B FIGHTER should be good for another small share here.

Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(5) COLONEL BAYAMA raced big in defeat on a wet track last week and he gets top billing here facing many of the same rivals. (2) ALL CHEDDAR finished just behind the choice as part of a blanket finish. He should be the main danger here. (10) SARATOGA BLUE CHIP flashed early speed last time which can be a sign of improvement. I'll use him as a price option in the late Pick 4. (9) HESINCONTROL was hopelessly buried at the 3/4 pole and he was lucky to find racing room due to a mishap in front of him, then he got up in the final strides. I see him as a fringe player tonight. (4) OKIE FROM MUSKOGEE wasn't far behind the choice last time. He should be part of this High-5.