Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 9/6

Meet Stats: 205 – 587 / $1,111.20 (-$62.80)

Best Bets: 29 – 54 / $107.70 (-$0.30)

Spot Plays: 18 – 54 / $141.30 (+$33.30)

Best Bet: ONEY HALL (9TH)

Spot Play: TT CONWAY (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,5,7/2,5,8,10/1,4/1,8/3,9 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 1,6,7/2,7,8,9/5,6,7/2/4,6 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 1,8/3,9/1,6,7/2,7,8,9 = $48

Late Pick 4: 5,6,7/2/4,6/1,2,4,6,7 = $30

Race 1: NW5 (F&M7) or $76,000 (F&M $87,500) LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) FULL OF MUSCLES was rolling through his conditions then he tried Gold company for a couple of starts with no success. He might get a bit overlooked here in a raced where he fits much better and I'll give him a slight nod. (7) LEXUS KODY is razor-sharp right now and he improved his late speed in his past two starts. He should be a threat tonight. (1) MIKEY MASS brings paired 27 1/5 kickers to the dance tonight and he drops a level. He is another in with a good chance making his fourth start back. (8) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER is in the mix every week and he should be part of the Tri or Super again.

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Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS

(10) SEA CAN was so good in the Balanced Image elimination and final that the 10-hole might not even stop him tonight; top call. (8) STONEBRIDGE ZEUS maintained his good form in the Balanced Image final and he has already won a Grassroots race this summer. He should be dangerous racing from close range tonight. (2) MARVIN HAGLER's race from the 10-hole was very good and he is hard to toss being that he has post position advantage on the top two choices. (5) BELVEDERE BRONX’s best race of 2021 came in a Grassroots dash. He is worth a look at a price for this early Pick 5 as he could wake up in this spot.

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Race 3: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(1) HEISMAN PLAYER drops and likely pops here facing much easier and drawing inside. (4) DREAMFAIR MOXY's comeback race was decent and he gets a barn change here. He took a lifetime mark of 1:49 3/5 at this track racing at this class level last October and he is interesting to me as one to include in the Pick 5. (10) LEGAL BETTOR goes for a barn that has a 29% strike rate with fresh claims in 2021 and he picks up the leading driver. He could add some value to the exotics. (7) PLAY JET RAY drops again tonight; speed blast coming?

Race 4: NW $5,000 L5 or $11,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000 - Pick 4

(1) TT CONWAY swung widest turning for home last week and while his final 1/4 was only 29-flat, he was visibly motoring when the field hit the wire. This makes me think that the 1/4 was split 15 seconds for the first 1/8th then he trotted in 14 seconds for the final 1/8th. He can beat these if he is in better striking range at the 3/4 pole. (8) SERENITY CRUISE takes a multi-level class drop tonight and he should be put into play early by Jamieson. He is hard to leave out at this level. (3) ANGRY EYES motored home to edge the favorite last week but that was a race where those two stood out and the rest of the field was week. In this tougher spot, I'll use him underneath. (7) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE figures to get good position early and take another small share.

Race 5: F&M CLM HDCP $13,000 to $18,000

(3) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL got an impossible parked-out trip racing off the Barrington claim when facing tougher. Dropping back into a claimer and drawing inside she gets the nod. (9) BAYWATCHING fits well at this level and she has been driven perfectly by Jamieson to take two straight wins. She is an obvious threat. (10) HALLSGLENSMAVIS never misses the board no matter what post she draws and she should be in the mix again. (8) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD is another that got a bad trip racing off the Barrington claim last time and she could be much closer tonight.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 5

(6) ARCHERY SEELSTER’s best result came in a Grassroots dash three starts back and he wasn’t disgraced facing better in Gold and Grand Circuit company. I'll give him the nod here. (7) ROYAL CHAMPAGNE has a similar BLANK and he should be a threat tonight; using. (1) MASK OF ZORO picks up McClure tonight and if he stays flat, he is capable of beating these. He is another live Pick 5 option. (9) EVIL GUY's form has improved recently and he is a good one to use in the bottom of the Tri and Super at a price.

Race 7: NW $6,100 L5 or $11,500 L10

(2) WILDRIVERBUMBLEBEE had two starts back after missing almost two years now he drops and gets a key driver change to McClure. Go time. (7) MODERN ROCK paced a big mile on the rim while being narrowly defeated on 8/24 now he moves into Moreau’s barn; using. (8) REVOLT was a sinner last time he raced in a similar class and he isn't out of the question here. (9) IM NOT BAD keeps flying home in the final 1/4 and he'll get there one of these weeks but he is likely going to need to pass eight or nine rivals here so make sure you demand a price.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 4

(6) H P MAESTRO faces considerably easier here and his good tactical speed should make him tough to beat in this spot. (7) LEXUS RANGER is the one to fear coming off a solid maiden win and if he can steal the same kind of breather, he will be tough. (5) ARMSTEAD COLE made two moves and finished ahead of the choice and he is one of the main contenders but rarely-used driver Waples still seeks his first win of 2021 so I'd need a price greater than what will likely be offered here. (1) P P E raced okay in a race dominated by a big favorite last week now he gets Macdonald back in the bike. He might be worth taking a flyer on if he is 12 to 1 or higher at post time.

Race 9: PREFERRED

(2) ONEY HALL is in top form and he will be the one to beat in this class as long as his gait issues are kept at bay; top call. (3) ONLY FOR JUSTICE is also racing very well and he would be the likely beneficiary if the choice were to falter tonight. (6) WARRAWEE ROO's strong late kick should get him into the Tri or Super tonight; using underneath. (9) COMBS HANOVER has been on a good roll but he has drawn well every week until now. I'll predict a small share for him starting from out there tonight.

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Race 10: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $37,500

(4) DAVID LLOYD GEORGE is sharp, but he just wasn't good enough to take down a rival who was ready to pace a sub-1:50 mile last week. I'll give him a slight nod over likely favorite (6) ARMOR SEELSTER who showed a new dimension last week leaving the gate like a rocket. He is the one to beat here. (1) DO YOU SEE IT did well when facing easier at Georgian Downs. His good late kick should get him a share here. (9) MUSTANG BEACH is another that should be passing horses late that is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 11: NW $13,000 L5 or $27,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(1) ALL WRAPPED UP is much better when he gets tripped out and that will likely be the strategy leaving from the rail tonight. I'll side with him hoping for an inflated price based on his latest line. (6) DERF HANOVER was only 1/5th of a second off his lifetime best mark when winning easily at a similar level last week. From the best post, he will get put in play early and he should be right there again. (2) BUZZ was a no doubt winner the entire mile last time and while this is obviously a tougher spot, he can contend if he repeats that sharp effort. (4) O NARUTAC PERFETTO will get bet here again but he is risky showing a break in his most recent start because of past gait issues. I'll play to beat him tonight. (7) SOMBRE converted two good trips into wins but I doubt he gets the pocket tonight; small share predicted.