Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 9/5

Meet Stats: 482 - 1500 / $2,502.50 (-$497.50)

Best Bets: 76 - 138 / $259.60 (-$17.40)

Spot Plays: 35 - 139 / $250.30 (-$27.70)

Best Bet: AHUNDREDDOLLARBILL (9TH)

Spot Play: POINTTO SWEET LOU (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 3,5/4/4,8,9/2,10/1,3,7 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 1/3,7,8/1,3,6/7/4,5,9,10 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 2,10/1,3,7/1/3,7,8 = $18

Late Pick 4: 3,7,8/1,3,6/7/4,5,9,10 = $36

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) CHOCOLATE PARFAIT has shown that she can take a lot of air in all three starts and still keep advancing, and she gets the nod to get the notch the threepeat. (3) SIMCOE SEELSTER gets class and post relief and McNair back tonight and hue should improve sharply in this easier NW2 class; using. (10) HOW THE HELL was an impressive maiden breaker but he loses Macdonald and he draws worst here; small share predicted. (9) THREE FINGER POUR is another to consider for the bottom of the exotics in this spot.

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Race 2: Claiming $15,000 for NW $15,000 LT

(4) POINTTO SWEET LOU is the clear top pick here dropping out of a much tougher NW3 race at Georgian Downs. (2) FEAR THE DICE will likely look to control the race from the outset but I don't see the choice letting him have his own way; Exacta factor. (7) FROWNIES MIRACLE comes off a good effort at Grand River and post 7 here is much better than post 8 at that track; using underneath. (5) UP JOEYS CREDIT is worth a look for the bottom of the Tri and Super.

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Race 3: Pop Up series NW $30,000 in 2022 or N/A $1,500 per start in 2022 as of 9/1/2022

(8) VICTOR INVICTUS was driven more aggressively last time and it paid off. The horse that finished 3rd that night has already come back to win and this gelding gets the nod to repeat here. (4) MAGNIFICENT SEVEN got a brutal trip last time in the Pop Up final and now he gets Macdonald in the bike. He should be a threat tonight. (9) THE PRINCE is in a better post here and he should get an aggressive steer from Roy, who chose him over the #5 horse here; using. (2) WHAT A RUSH is often the victim of his own tactics/racing style. He typically closes for a slice when the winner has been decided; using underneath.

Race 4: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000 - Pick 4

(2) ALLGONOWHOA got a brutal trip two starts back, lacking room for most of the mile and he was much better last time. Making his fourth start since being claimed by Lester, I'll call him to notch an upset here. (10) PLAY JET RAY took heavy action on the class drop and he made his move at the best time and drew off to a big score. I wonder if his expected low price will justify the risk starting from the 10-hole tonight. (6) STATE OF PLAY should rally again for a small share. (5) AIR STRIKE was interestingly qualified four weeks in a row by new owner/trainer/driver Kirby. He'll be tight enough for sure and he can contend for a slice.

Race 5: Pop Up series starters AE: Starters for a purse of $12K or less L3

(3) MYSTIC was put in a good position early in the mile last week and he was able to easily convert for the win. I'll give him the call to repeat facing similar tonight. (1) INSANITY is interesting exiting some tough races at Saratoga and I'll use him on multi-race tickets. (7) ANDY OVER is in good form and his versatility makes him a threat at this level every week. He is another in with a chance. (2) CHARMBO PRINCE brings some good form in from the 'B' tracks; price look for the exotics.

Race 6: NW3 (F&M5) or $53,000 LT - Pick 5

(1) MYCROWNMYKINGDOM was over bet in the Earl Rowe Memorial, but this is a big drop for him and I think he beats these if he stays flat. (5) ANGELS EXPRESS chased a hot horse home last time and that one has already come back to win. He can be an Exacta factor tonight. (7) KEVIN ANTHONY likely sits at the back and rallies late again for another slice. (6) RICKY RESOLVE got a needed clean line and he can contend for a share in this spot; using underneath.

Race 7: NW $10,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $16K or less in 1 of L4 AE: OPT CLM $60,000 - Pick 4

(7) PEMBERTON looked like a reasonable facsimile of his old self last time then he got sick. I'll give him top call here despite the missed time. (3) MACHO MARTINI gets class and post relief after never really getting involved last week. He should be a threat tonight. (8) RITSON is on a roll and he gets McNair tonight. His sharp gate speed combined with McNair driving makes it hard to completely toss him despite the class rise. (10) COOL MUSCLE is razor-sharp and he will probably offer a good price here but I prefer to use him underneath from post 10.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $8,500 to $10,000

(6) THUNDERING JIM survived some big fractions to win off the Moreau claim and he should get an easier trip here; call to repeat. (3) MACH ART IN MOTION has raced well in all three of his Mohawk Park starts and he wasn't far behind the choice last time. He is the obvious threat and the other one that I'll use on late multi-race tickets. (1) MISTER JR drops and gets a significant barn change. A form reversal is possible here. (4) COOL ROCK keeps plugging away in his final year of racing and he can close for another share here.

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Race 9: PREFERRED

This is a race that (7) AHUNDREDDOLLARBILL should win and he will be very tough to beat of he gets put into play leaving the gate; top call. (4) PATRIARCH HANOVER was never going to gain on Fashion Frenzie with the trip he got at Georgian Downs. McNair sticks with him over others in here and I can see him leaving and getting a spot near the front this time; using. (1) H P ROYAL THEO is in terrific form and he should stick around for a share tonight despite stepping up. (2) TRUFFLES TOO should sit another good trip and land in the Tri or Super.

Race 10: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000

This feels like a race where a closer outlasts the leader and I'll side with (4) OUTKAST BLUE CHIP to nail the speed. (10) JULERICA has little choice but to blast and post 10 might soften him up just enough to get nailed late. I'd be careful with price here. (9) ROYAL RENEGADE fits better in this claimer and he is another in with a shot. (5) LEGAL BETTOR dropped and popped at Georgian Downs and he gets Macdonald here; price look. (6) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics making his second start back.