Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 9/27

Meet Stats: 250 - 743 / $1,374/30 (-$112.70)
Best Bets: 36 - 68 / $130.20 (-$5.80)
Spot Plays: 20 - 69 / $148.30 (+$10.30)
Best Bet: ON THE ROPES (6TH)
Spot Play: BLINK AND GONE (8TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,4,6/3,4/6,7/1,3,5/2,4,5 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 1,2/2,7/4,5/2,3/5,6,7,9 = $12.80
Early Pick 4: 1,3,5/2,4,5/1,2/2,7 = $36
Late Pick 4: 2,7/4,5/2,3/5,6,7,9 = $32
Race 1: NW5 (F&M9) or $70,000 (F&M $87,500) LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
This looks like a race where the lead will be there for the taking for (4) G P DREAMIN and she can steal a slow 1/2 and lead all the way; top call. (2) SPARTAN GENERAL is a good fit here but he might end up being a victim of pace same as last week when he was the 7 to 5 chalk. (6) ROYALTY DEAL should go better here dropping out of Grand Circuit company. She's another to consider for the early Pick 5. (1) ANGRY EYES should be closing late to take another small share.
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Race 2: NW $18,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $135,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000
Droppers (3) DREAM NATION and (4) GRANDMA HEIDI will likely battle it out here. I'll side with the former who should be looking for the pocket early and I'll use both in the Pick 5. (7) COOL MUSCLE is sharp and he has upset possibilities here if he can find a live helmet to follow this time. (2) ALL WRAPPED UP is another who is in good form that should come on late for a share again.
Race 3: F&M CLM HDCP $13,000 to $18,000
(6) HALLSGLENSMAVIS made a couple of moves in a good effort but she was no match for the claimed winner. I'll give her the nod in this spot where that winner might not be as good. (7) TUGGINONCREDIT is right there every week and she is in with a decent chance in this spot racing from close range. (8) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD dominated last week when claimed but she was taken by a trainer who last raced a horse in 2001; your call. (4) MISS ROCKADALI raced okay to take a share last week and she can be part of the exotics again.
Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) - Pick 4
(3) L DEES PATRICK made a big third 1/4 move that he couldn’t sustain last week. Getting off post 10 should mean he can work out a better trip tonight and he gets the nod. (1) MODERN MASS is 2 for his last 29 but he is sharp and he likely wins one of these soon; using. (5) MAGIC WANDA is another infrequent winner that raced well last week. She's not impossible here. (6) MUSCLES FOREVER is worth a look moving into the Moreau barn for this start.
Race 5: NW $3,500 L5 or $11,500 L9
I like the way (2) PASSIONATE PRINCE finished last week and I imagine he'll get a more aggressive drive tonight; call to upset. (5) GRAND POOBAH took a life's mark of 1:51-flat last time he raced this low and he is probably the one to beat in this spot. (4) MAJOR CUSTARD is 0 for Ontario since being bought privately but he is getting closer and he isn't without a chance in this spot. (6) MODERN ROCK is capable of producing a good late kick and working his way into the Tri or Super.
Race 6: NW $12,000 L5 or $26,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000 - Pick 5
(1) ON THE ROPES was a sharp winner in his first start out of the Marfisi barn and this spot isn't much tougher; call to repeat. (2) TEDDYS LITTLEANGEL gets back to her own company after trying the Grand Circuit and she’s on my multi-race tickets. (5) MEMO was McNair's choice over Teddys Littleangel and he should be a speed threat. I prefer to use him underneath in this spot. (4) FREE WILLY HANOVER should be good for another share tonight.
Race 7: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $10,500 LT - Pick 4
(2) KINCAID SEELSTER disappointed as the favorite last week but weather and track condition could have been a big factor. I'll stick with him here. (7) DATGUYNA GREENSUIT closed well in that race and he is worth a look here in this third start. (1) PACK YOUR BAGS is getting closer and he keeps Macdonald here. He is another possibility for multi-race tickets. (3) SUNSEEKER might get overbet here. I'll use him underneath.
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Race 8: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $12,000
(4) BLINK AND GONE is one of several in here that raced at Flamboro Downs on Thursday. She fits well here and she picks up McNair who will likely be aggressive early; top call. (5) COLD CREEK LACEY has the best recent form and she is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (6) WOODMERE ROLLILY should be good for a share in this spot; consider using in Tris and Supers. (7) SAULSBROOK FLASHY is the type that McClure winds up from the back and passes a few to take a share.
Race 9: PREFERRED
Will (3) PERFETTO ever get a good trip? He took the initiative to leave last week and he ended up so completely locked up tight in the lane while full of trot that he eventually broke from being restrained. He can beat these if he gets some racing luck. (2) WARRAWEE ROO missed a week but he is still the one to beat considering recent performances; using. (1) ONLY FOR JUSTICE capitalized on a lucky trip last week. I'll use him underneath here. (5) COMBS HANOVER raced well last week and he is likely for another share here.
Race 10: NW $8,500 L5 or $17,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000
(6) PROFOUND PARAGON trotted a 54 2/5 back 1/2 in defeat last week and that big kick should play well in this field; top call. (9) TREASURED TEE is better than he showed last week and his price will be much better here; price look. (7) THEE DESPERADO took a new life's mark last week and he can contend right back with Henry taking over the reins. (5) SUPERLATIVE will be closing late. She's not impossible in this spot. (3) LIFE IS A FEAST is another closer that should work her way into the High-5 tonight.

