Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 9/21

Meet Stats: 229 - 727 / $1238.10 (-$209.40)
Best Bets: 36 - 65 / $119.00 (-$11.00)
Spot Plays: 11 - 67 / $85.30 (-$46.70)
Best Bet: PROFOUND PARAGON (10TH)
Spot Play: EMOTIONS DURABLES (8TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,3,7/1,4,5/4,5/4,5/4,5,6,7 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 7/7,8,9,10/2,5,6,9/1,5,9,10/2 = $12.80
Early Pick 4: 4,5/4,5,6,7/7/7,8,9,10 = $48
Late Pick 4: 2,5,6,9/1,5,9,10/2/3,7,8 = $48

Race 1: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 3YO FILLIES **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) SONADORA DEO shows one Grassroots start and she dominated at odds of 1 to 5 that night. She should be tough here if she stays flat. Both (3) PIER HO KADO and (7) MOANA should be tighter for this coming back in a week and you can see they are both capable of trotting faster. Either are viable options to the choice who might get overbet. (4) NOBLESSE DUHARAS has improved her late speed and she can come on late here to take a share.

Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO FILLIES

(5) YOU WILL BE QUEEN comes off three straight races where she made it into the top three racing against Donna Soprano and she looks best here. (1) UP AND READY wasn't that far behind the choice last time and she is likely to be more aggressive in this race; using. (4) MEADOWVIEW LILLY is fresh, and she was qualified by her trainer for this now catch-driver McClure takes over and that makes her a contender. (3) FOX VALLEY LIZA is a Gold winner already, but I prefer to use her on the bottom in this spot.

Race 3: 2YO NW1 or $7,000 LT

(4) MAJOR BEAN wasn't far back in Grand Circuit action last time and he has a very good chance to break his maiden in this spot; top call. (5) LINCOLN BOULEVARD's initial Mohawk Park start was good, and he closed well late. He is in with an upset chance here if everything goes his way. (8) NO FREE LUNCH is capable of a sharp try vs. this group if he is fit enough but he may need a start coming off a break due to sickness. (7) PRAYFORTHEWICKED is around the money every start and he should be in the Tri or Super in this spot.

Race 4: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 3YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(4) YEN raced uncovered pressing the leader most of the back 1/2 last week and her relentless approach nabbed her the win. She is the one to beat here. (5) ROCKADERO raced okay and she lacked racing room at certain points in the back 1/2. She has upset potential. (10) MAGIC WANDA should pass some of these fillies if she stays flat and she can make it into the Tri or Super. (2) TEQUILA N ROSES' September 15th qualifier was good enough to suggest that she can take a piece of this.

Race 5: F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $15,000

(4) VINES TO HEAVEN gets the nod here coming off a narrow loss when claimed by trainer Moreau. (6) MONEYMAKEHERSMILE has done well for Auciello since being claimed four starts back and she shaded the choice last time. She is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (5) FERN HILL BELLA is capable of better and maybe Roy can wake her up; using. (7) BURN MY VILLA is another mare in with a shot coming up tagged and picking up McClure to driver. This is a spread race for me.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO FILLIES - Pick 5

(7) DICENTRA gets away from her unbeaten stablemate here and she should control this race from start-to-finish. (3) IMEXTRASPECIAL raced very well in the Peaceful Way and she looks next best in a race that is unlikely to provide much value. (1) MIDNIGHT MIRACLE gets major post relief here and she can be much closer than she was last time; using underneath. (8) DASHING MUSCLE shows a Gold win and if she stays flat, she should contend for a share vs. these.

Race 7: NW 5 (F&M7) or $70,000 (F&M $87,500)

(10) HORSE TRADER meets a field he should beat if he stays flat and gets a decent start from the second tier. I'll give him the nod to notch his first win of the year. (7) PORT PERRY's 2020 has been a bit disappointing but he stacks up well here if he can stay trotting. (8) ANGRY EYES has taken three wins in her past five starts and she has ratcheted up her late speed. She isn't impossible here. (9) DELILAH SEELSTER has been sharp for several weeks and her price will be good here; using on the bottom.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 3YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(9) EMOTIONS DURABLES was kept sharp with a start from the 9-hole last week where she showed little. Grassroots points are riding here, and the semi-final is coming fast so she should be put into this race at the start; top call. (6) NO ANGEL HERE made a huge recovery after breaking last time and she may be the one to beat if she stays flat tonight. (5) PROTOSTAR is obviously capable of better and she gets a big post improvement here. She's on my late multi-race tickets. (2) LADY TITAN moves into the Grassroots coming off a sharp maiden win and she doesn’t look out of place in this field. She was also Christoforou's choice over Protostar.

Race 9: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,500 L10

(5) DREAMFAIR BJ came up against a rival that was just too tough last week, but he was game in defeat. He looks solid vs. these. (10) CAPTAIN TREVOR drops and gets McClure and he rates highly here. An early move to the front could be coming from him. (1) PRESTIGE SEELSTER's win four starts back here racing a class lower would put him in the mix if he can reproduce that effort and he should be a good price; using. (9) PRICELESS BEACH figures on the class drop but I don't love the outside post for him; using on the bottom.

Race 10: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 3YO FILLIES

The second tier post couldn't stop (2) PROFOUND PARAGON from winning her eighth straight race last week, so I don't know how you try to beat her in this spot facing what appears to be an easier group and starting from a much better post. (9) HIGHLAND FOXYTROTR got taken out of the race last week when a rival hooked wheels with her on the far turn. She will be a big price here and she is worth using in the exotics. (5) TH PRESENT snuck into the Tri last week and she can trip out and get a similar result starting from a good post. (8) SHESWILDNFREE's race two starts back puts her in the exotics picture but her frequent gait issues are an obvious issue. Demand a price if you are using her.

Race 11: 5YO and Younger NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000)

This race should be a slam dunk for (3) HOT WHEELZ, but the OSS Superfinal is also coming soon, so I hesitate to single him. (7) SOLSBURY HILL has shown she has the speed to go with these and she may get the jump on the choice here; using. (8) SPIRIT OF DEO got her confidence back at the Meadows and she is another who has shown high speed on occasion who could take this depending on trips and pace. (10) COMBS HANOVER will likely make it into the Super if he stays flat this week. (2) INTENSE JUSTICE is likely to sit an inside following trip and emerge late to nab 4th or 5th.