Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 9/11

Top Pick Stats: 415 - 1217 / $2,156.00 (-$278.00)

Best Bets: 67 - 117 / $234.40 (+$0.40)

Spot Plays: 22 - 117 / $145.80 (-$88.20)

Best Bet: BETTOR NOTBITTER A (2ND)

Spot Play: DARBYSHIRE (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,4,7/8/3,4/2,5,7/2,4,9 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 1,7,8/8/2,6,8/3,9/2,3,5,9 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 2,5,7/2,4,9/1,7,8/8 = $5.40

Late Pick 4: 8/2,6,8/3,9/2,3,5,9 = $4.80

Race 1: NW $2,100 L3 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) T F ROCKETMAN exits a strange race that featured wild fractions and a two-horse breakaway. He never got going until the hit the 3/4 pole, but he was moving well late. He should be more aggressive from an inside post and get the jump on (7) HERVEY HANOVER, who closed from last to third in that race and will take plenty of action here. (4) MAD MAN HILL takes a big drop, and he is an obvious threat. He is sure to be raced more aggressively in this spot. (1) WOODMERE FENN is capable of closing for a small slice in this spot.

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Race 2: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $16,000

(8) BETTOR NOTBITTER A jogged racing off the Budd claim last week and he will be very tough if he repeats that mile here. (10) MACHIN A TRICK got a setup last week, but he looked good making an early wide move on the final turn and blitzing the leaders. Post 10 can hurt but it will also help his price. (6) MILITARY SECRET handled the choice two starts back then tired early last week. Your call, but I'll play to beat him here. (7) MACH IMPACT won three straight at Georgian, but he didn't beat much; small share predicted.

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Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GRASSROOTS LEG 5: 2YO PACING FILLIES

(4) RESILIENCE is the clear filly to catch and beat dropping back down to Grassroots from Golds tonight. (3) WICKEDWOMAN DE VIE will likely leave hard enough to land in the choice's pocket and she will likely be the one to fend off late; using. (1) GREATEST PLEASURE flew home to win a Grassroots last time, but she will probably be at a tactical disadvantage in this spot. I'll use her underneath. (6) MAKE OUT WITH ME is in good form and she just took a new life's mark, but she is another that I prefer to use on the bottom.

Race 4: Horses that have started for a purse of $15K or less L3 - Pick 4

(5) FREE WILLY HANOVER was flying late last week but he ran out of racetrack. He has a big shot here and he will likely get raced more aggressively. (7) TYMAL RIGGS takes a big drop, and he is another that will probably get put into the race earlier than he has been in recent starts. He's hard to leave off early multi-race tickets. (2) JACK FIRE is another dropper that fits here, and I could see him landing in a good spot early, staying in waiting for room, then pouncing late. (4) PHEONIX just took a new life's mark and his current sharpness should be respected but I doubt he gets the same lonely lead for the entire mile this time. I'll play to beat him.

Race 5: NW $4,900 L5 or $9,500 L10

(9) BEACHIN LINDY's form is improving, and he should offer a good price here starting from a wide post. I think he gets an aggressive drive from Sorrie, and he can beat these if he gets position at the start of the mile. (2) ROCKIN N TALKIN exits a race that featured huge fractions by the leader who stayed for 2nd. He can improve sharply on the drop here in a race that should have slower fractions. (4) FOREFATHER was far back on cover that was going nowhere, and he still managed to close for 2nd. He's another in with a chance here. (3) JET ROCK brings solid form in from Georgian Downs, and he can land in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GRASSROOTS LEG 5: 2YO PACING FILLIES - Pick 5

(7) SCRIVENER HANOVER's best race was her most recent and I'll call the improving filly to upset here. (1) RIGHT MATCH is 1 for 1 in Grassroots races and she likely needs a good result here with the Semi-Final approaching soon. She will likely be right there dropping out of a Gold race. (8) BONITAS BEST BET looked good winning a Grassroots race here last time and she should be the one to catch tonight, too; using. (3) BETTERWITHGLASSES was a decent 2nd last time and she should be in the exotics again here.

Race 7: ONTARIO SIRES GRASSROOTS LEG 5: 3YO TROTTING COLTS AND GELDINGS STAKES - Pick 4

(8) DARBYSHIRE races best at Mohawk Park and he will likely offer a decent price here showing a break in his most recent start at Clinton. I think he gets back on track in this spot. (6) DEADLINE HALL has been consistent all year and he is an obvious threat here. (5) FLOYD THE FREAK set some solid fractions in Clinton in an improved effort, and he is worth a look here is a spot where he could trip out racing near the front. (3) DOWEDEALINANDWHY tripped out to win in Clinton now he adds Lasix. I prefer to use him underneath.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GRASSROOTS LEG 5: 2YO PACING FILLIES

(6) PASTA DELIGHT paced a big mile parked most of the way last time and she can win here with a slightly better trip. (8) TRIBAL DANCER blew up at the start as the chalk and that break was the only one of her career. She should bounce back here. (2) HOW MUCH went a long way on the lead after leaving from post 10 last time and that was a good effort. She is another in with a shot here. (3) WE BELEIVIN should sit another inside trip and close for a small slice.

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Race 9: ONTARIO SIRES GRASSROOTS LEG 5: 3YO TROTTING COLTS AND GELDINGS STAKES

(3) NEW RULES is 2 for 2 in Grassroots races and he should be the boss in this field. (9) DWS POINT MAN's lifetime best came in a Grassroots race two starts back. Roy will likely get aggressive with him tonight and he is worth using at what should be a decent price. (5) RESOLVE TO WIN is another that has raced consistently in Grassroots races. He figures to be part of the Tri. (6) ROUGH TOUGH TESTED comes off a good closing effort. He can land in the bottom of the exotics again.

Race 10: 5YO and younger NW $16,000 LT

(5) BETTOR ON ICE made a move to the front in the second 1/4 last week and then was overtaken by the eventual winner. He was right there until late when overtaken for 2nd and he has a good chance vs. this group. (2) FADE TO LIGHT exits tougher NW2 races and he should improve sharply in this spot. He is one of a few that can win here with the right trip. (9) HIGH VOLTAGE DEO qualified well for this, and he gets Macdonald, but I wonder if he will get overbet. (3) BETS SHOW OFF drops back into a conditioned race from the Grassroots and he is another to consider for late multi-race tickets. (4) CANCUN KAI is quirky, but his best race can get him a good share and we might see it with him returning from a brief rest; using.