Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 7/20

Meet Stats: 84-304 / $459.50 (-$147.50)
Best Bets: 14-27 / $48.50 (-$3.50)
Spot Plays: 6-28 / $45.10 (-$8.90)
Best Bet: BEACH BLOGGER (7TH)
Spot Play: CADILLAC BAYAMA (1ST)
Early Pick 5: 4,5,8/6,8/7,8,9/2,4,6,9/4,6 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 2,3,8/2/6/3,5,6/6,9 = $3.60
Early Pick 4: 2,4,6,9/4,6/2,3,8/2
Late Pick 4: 6/3,5,6/6,9/2,7 = $12

Race 1: NW $11,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE:OPT CLM $30,000 **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(5) CADILLAC BAYAMA had a tightener in Ottawa now he moves into the Moore barn that has been winning with everything. Expect sharp improvement. (4) BLUE MONK tried the impossible, moving first up into a 1:53 mile in his debut. He should improve here. (8) ADMIT ONE dropped time in every qualifier and he is worth a look on debut here. (1) NO PLAN INTENDED should improve with a start under his belt; using underneath.

Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS AND GELDINGS

(6) DIETRICH SEELSTER showed early speed in a very fast race in his debut and this mile should be a couple of seconds slower, so he gets the nod. (8) WEST COAST KID couldn't seal the deal as the 1 to 2 chalk, but he can improve with that start under his belt and he figures here. (1) KYUQUOT finished fast in his debut and he can take a piece of this and maybe win with the right trip. (5) ILUSIONIST HANOVER, a $47.000 Harrisburg buy, is by a top sire and worth a look for the exotics on debut.

Race 3: CLM HDCP $25,000 to $30,000

(9) JULERICA got trapped in the entire mile last time due to the circumstances of how the race played out and he was full of pace late with nowhere to go. He faces easier here, but his price will be good from out there and I'll land on him in search of value. (7) BIG BANG BOOM will get plenty of action here dropping in for a tag and he is a must-use for me in this spot. (8) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE has been expertly driven by Jamieson to four straight wins but he may not be able to hold down the pocket spot here. I’ll play to beat him this time. (2) LEGAL BETTOR was sharp racing off the claim, and he is another multi-race possibility.

Race 4: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS AND GELDINGS - Pick 4

(4) CANDY TRADER re-rallied to take 2nd to a big winner and he should be tough here with that experience under his belt. (3) FIRST GLANCE followed his stablemate, the eventual winner, and when he was moved into the middle of the track late, he started to gain. That was a relentless grinding effort that he can move forward from; using. (6) LAST BET is too well-related to not improve rather quickly and he could be blasting this time; beware. (7) CANTSTOPFLYING's debut race was good and he is likely to get put into this race earlier.

Race 5: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(6) OSBORNE SEELSTER produced a big effort last week only to suffer a narrow defeat and he looks best here. (4) SCOUTS REPORT gets a notable barn change here and that puts him in the Exacta picture. (9) MACHIN A TRICK paced to a sharp win last time, but he likely won't get an easy path to the front early here; using underneath. (8) CINNABAR DRAGON is capable of getting a spot near the front early and sticking around for a small slice.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS AND GELDINGS - Pick 5

(2) SHAZAM BLUE CHIP raced okay behind a big winner in his debut and this barn has been running hot. I'll give him the nod here over (3) WHAT CAN YOU SAY who showed speed and took a shuffle in his debut. (8) BEEF N CHEDDAR was set back from third in what was a decent performance. He is another possibility here. (6) T J THUNDER is worth using on the bottom in this debut race.

Race 7: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS AND GELDINGS

(2) BEACH BLOGGER was terrific in defeat in his debut and he should take his maiden win as the chalk here. (3) COUNTER OFFER should improve exiting Gold company and a fast mile, but I don't think it will be enough to challenge the choice. (1) WARAWEE WAZZUP should take another slice here starting from the inside; using underneath. (5) HOWIES MAN is worth a look for the Tri and Super with Henry in the bike.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS AND GELDINGS - Pick 4

(6) VINO LOUIE should dominate these dropping from Gold company. (2) BRILLIANT CORNERS was relentless working first up and grinding the 1 to 2 chalk into submission and he rates highly here. (3) MYTHIC GAMBLER goes for a hot barn known more for trotters, but he can enter contention here at first asking. (4) MR CHARISMA should improve off a decent opener and he may change tactics here. I'll use him underneath in this spot.

Race 9: NW $5,000 l5 OR $10,000 L10

Stablemates (3) BUSH MAN N and (5) GRAND POOBAH both face easier here and there is little to choose between them. I'll side with the former who could get the better trip starting inside. (6) LYONS PEGASUS comes off a sharp try and if there is a horse in here that will topple the top two, it's him. (9) P L JACKSON drops but from out these a small share is likely.

Race 10: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS AND GELDINGS

(9) LAWLESS SHADOW and (6) BULLDOG HANOVER were only a 1/2-length apart in their debuts in a fast race. They will likely fight it out again here and I'll stick with the former who might get a price boost from the outside post. (4) WISK KEY K was a distant third to the top two last time and a similar fate likely awaits him here. (5) SOUTHWIND SANDOR was sharp at Georgian but the waters get deep here. I'll use him on the bottom.

Race 11: Starters for a Purse of $9,000 or Less in One of Last Three Starts

(7) ISLANDSPECIALMAJOR will likely get sent forward off that gate here and that's when he's at his best; top call. (2) PRINT MEDIA is another who should get a spot near the front early and he is in with an upset chance. (10) PREMIER JOY was good at Grand River, but he will need to take the overland route here; using underneath only. (1) PROBERTS LEGACY had an impossible trip in his return. He could go much better here at a price. (4) WALTER MITTY should get a good trip here and take a slice.