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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 7/18

Garnet Barnsdale|Jul 15, 2022
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats: 357 - 1142 / $1,888.50 (-$375.20)

Best Bets: 61 - 107 / $213.90 (+$0.90)

Spot Plays: 30 - 108 / $191.10 (-$25.90)

Best Bet: LETS GET PICKLED (7TH)

Spot Play: HUNTER HILL (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,6,7/3,5/3,6/3/3,5,6 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 1,6,8/3/6,7/3,4,5,6,7/6 = $6

Early Pick 4: 3/3,5,6/1,6,8/3 = $9

Late Pick 4: 3/6,7/3,4,5,6,7/6 = $10

Race 1: 2YO Fillies NW1 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) DUCHENNE looked good kicking home in 27-flat on debut and she will likely get more aggressive in this second start; top call. (3) DINNER AND DANCING dropped close to four seconds in her debut and the Stay Hungrys continue to do well. She should be a threat tonight and she will also likely be much closer early; using. (6) QUICK MENU's debut was okay and she is worth using at a price. (2) STORYBOOK BELLA has had a decent start to her career and she should be in the exotics mix again tonight.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: Horses that started for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of L4

(3) H P ROYAL THEO faces slightly tougher following a drop-and-pop last week but he looked sharp and he can take another here. (5) BAUTISTA is sharp and dangerous and you know he will get put into the race leaving the gate; using. (9) MISTER MAGIC tries as hard as any horse on the circuit but he likely won't get the trip he needs starting from post 9 again. I'll use him underneath. (1) MISTER OF ALL is in peak form and he should be in the exotics mix again tonight.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Second Leg 2YO Colts and Geldings

(3) WRITE ME A ROSE was in a bad spot at the 3/4 pole last time but it didn’t matter. He kicked it into high gear and rolled up to get the job done, pacing a 26 1/5 kicker in the process. I'll give him the nod over (6) MOMENT IS HERE who was solid in defeat chasing a debutant that produced sub-1:52 speed at first asking. (1) SOUNDS GOOD's debut was solid in a fast race and he can take another share here. (7) BETTOR BEA TERROR can get a better result here if he finds a helmet to follow; using underneath.

Race 4: NW $5,000 L5 or $12,000 L10 or NW2 in 2022 - Pick 4

(3) FOREFATHER was excellent in his comeback race and he should convert here as a big chalk. (4) SOMBODYITREASURE is an interesting newcomer that races out of the Moreau barn tonight. He can be an Exacta factor in his local debut. (6) ROCKIN N TALKIN raced well on the class drop and he draws better here, but he has 2 1/2 lengths to make up on the choice. I'll use him underneath. (1) MAYHEM LIKE ME likely sits and rallies for a slice tonight.

Race 5: NW $9,300 L5 or NW $28,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $16K or less in 1 of L5 or NW1 in 2021-22

(5) WARRAWEE WHISPER is razor sharp right now and I'll give him the call to notch the threepeat despite facing tougher tonight. (3) MACHO MARTINI had a decent comeback race. Speed coming now? (6) TRUFFLES TOO is right there every week and Henry will have him in contention at the head of the lane; using. (2) ALL WRAPPED UP will probably sit and rally for another slice in this spot.

Race 6: Pop-Up series consolation - Pick 5

This race seems to shape up favoring a horse that makes a late move and I'll side with (6) HUNTER HILL, who was out of position in a fast mile last week and still passed a couple of rivals. (1) ISLANDSPECIALMAJOR came up against a vicious Captain Video last week and the best he could do was follow him home in a 1:50 1/5 mile. He figures vs. these. (8) BOLT POWER had a tough trip last week now he gets the leading driver in the bike. He is worth using on multi-race tickets. (10) SAULSBROOK VICTOR is sharp and he raced great last week against a big chalk but I can only use him on the bottom starting from out there.

Race 7: NW $2,000 L3 or NW1 in 2022 - Pick 4

(3) LETS GET PICKLED gets McNair back and he faces easier and this is a great spot for him to get back on track. He will be a multi-race single for me in this spot. (2) STATE OF PLAY will take action here off his good showing on 7/8 but he could get over bet considering he hasn't won yet this year; using underneath. (6) PIPEWRENCH CHARLIE fits well here and I can see him taking a good share vs. these. (9) POINTOMYGRANSON popped and stopped at Georgian Downs and although he gets Henry back tonight he seems to be going in the wrong direction. I’ll play to beat him tonight.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Second Leg 2YO Colts and Geldings

(7) STOCKADE SEELSTER couldn't have looked any better taking his debut and easily turning back the big chalk in the lane; call to repeat. (6) BETTER B BOLD must have paced his final 1/16th in close to 12 seconds, he was literally moving that fast. The downside if you like him is that track announcer was tweeting about it after the race and that clip is sure to get played in the pre-game show. He is in with a shot, but no lock and he will surely be overbet. (5) COOP A LOOP raced okay against the choice and I can see him landing in the exotics at a price tonight. (1) TIGNANELLO was an impressive debut winner but the waters get deeper fast here. I'll use him underneath.

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Race 9: OPEN HANDICAP

Great betting race here. (7) PATRIARCH HANOVER was on too much cover last week and he couldn't convert as the chalk. His price goes up now and maybe he gets a more aggressive McNair steer; slight nod. (5) FASHION FRENZIE was good in his return race and he could be even sharper today; using. (3) H P MAMA B raced great against Bella Bellini in New Jersey and she will get bet here, but this is no easy spot. Your call. (6) PIKACHU HANOVER is right there every week and he is hard to toss with the gid tactical speed he possesses.

Race 10: Pop-Up series final

(6) HESINCONTROL wasn't as good last week but he had a tougher trip too. I think he takes no prisoners tonight and bottoms these out in similar fashion as he did on July 4th. (5) CAPTAIN VIDEO was terrific last week but no match for the choice the week before. I'll use him underneath. (2) ALEX HAVING FUN has been right there in every leg of this series and he should be part of this Tri. (1) SOMETIME SOMEWHERE should make a late charge to take another slice. (3) DRAGON ENERGY consistently takes shares. He's a good one to use underneath.

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