Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 6/5
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Top Pick Stats: 242 - 747 / $1,307.40 (-$186.60)
Best Bets: 40 - 67/ $146.10 (+$12.10)
Spot Plays: 14 - 68/ $83.30 (-$52.70)
Best Bet: SKYLAR (4TH)
Spot Play: ACTOR HANOVER (6TH)
Early Pick 5: 4,9/1,5,6/2,5,7/4/2,3,4,9 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 4,6,7/2,4,8/1,4/2,7,8/7,9 = $21.60
Early Pick 4: 4/2,3,4,9/4,6,7/2,3,8 = $7.20
Late Pick 4: 2,3,8/1,4/2,7,8/7,9 = $7.20
Race 1: Horses that have started for a purse of $15K or less L3 AE: NW $8,200 L5 or NW $70,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(9) ALL WRAPPED UP squandered a win when he jumped it off at the head of the lane two starts back then he followed it up with a fast win. I like that he has been flashing gate speed. It shows he is sharp; call to repeat. (4) TREASURED TEE shoots for a fourpeat and he couldn’t be any sharper. He's hard to leave off Pick 5 tickets. (6) SIMCOE SEELSTER looked dangerous, but he flattened out in the lane last week. I can see him getting a share in this spot. (8) SHESTHELUCKYONE likely sits and rallies for a share in this spot.
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Race 2: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $16,000
(6) ROYAL RENEGADE was very racy two starts back which tipped his hand that he was sitting on a big race. He followed that up with a blowout win and he gets the call to repeat off that sharp effort. (5) DREAMFAIR MOXY rallied from too far back racing against the choice. He should lay closer this time and that gives him a chance. (1) ARTISTIC PICK had no chance with the drive he got in the amateur race. He can improve sharply tonight. (4) CORTEZ THE KILLER was 2nd in the same race that the choice won, and he figures to be in the exotics mix racing from close range again.
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Race 3: PREFERRED 2
(2) ONEY HALL was good last week despite having missed three weeks and he will likely get more aggressive now; slight nod. (5) LOCATELLI fits better here and although he was beaten by (7) PERFETTO on May 15, he draws better and holds a recency edge on that rival tonight. Both are capable contenders. (4) SPARTAN GENERAL flew late but he was DQ'ed from 2nd due to a pylon violation. He should close to take a slice here.
Race 4: CLM HDCP $17,000 to $22,000 - Pick 4
(4) SKYLAR keeps winning and keeps getting claimed and he is strictly the one to beat. (3) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ sat a perfect trip behind the choice and just failed. He should be the main threat again. (6) PRIVATE SCOTT is the stranger in this field, returning from Ottawa where he was doing well prior to being claimed by Puddy. He is in the mix. (5) SNAP TEST is always around the money at this level, and he should be part of the Tri or Super.
Race 5: NW $14,000 L5 or $22,500 L10 AE: NW $2,100 L3 or 2 races in 2022-23
(9) TRUFFLES TOO drops for this return, he qualified well on 5/26, he gets McNair in the bike, and he should offer a good price from his wide post; call to upset. (4) MACALLAN was given an aggressive steer by Young last week and he responded with a big win. When he is at the top of his game, this field is well within his reach; using. (3) WHITE TIGER is fast but quirky, but he comes in off a sharp qualifier and if he stays flat, he should contend. (2) P L OPPORTUNITY closed nicely for 3rd last week despite being out a long way and she is in the mix here.
Race 6: NW $4,000 L5 AE: NW2 L10 - Pick 5
(7) ACTOR HANOVER had pace but no room in a fast mile last week. He gets J Mac back for this and it’s unlikely that he will close at anywhere close to his 8 to 1 morning line quote. (4) SOMETIME SOMEWHERE is an obvious contender on the drop and he should get more aggressive in this spot. He is probably the one to beat. (6) BAYFIELD BEACH never got involved last week now he gets major post improvement here. I think he blasts for position this time and that gives him a decent chance vs. these at a price. (8) STOP THE SHOOTIN paced a sub-54 back 1/2 last week. That same effort should get him a share tonight.
Race 7: Horses that have started for a purse of $9K or less in 1 of L4 AE: NW $7,100 in 2023 - Pick 4
(8) LOVEMYROCKINBIRD got an impossible trip in the amateur drivers race. Toss that line and expect a much better steer from Drury tonight. (2) MR BEAST hinted at a return to form when he flashed big speed here two starts back and he followed that up with a predictable win in London. He is sharp now and he will likely be the one to beat. (3) FOXHUNT went a big, uncovered trip here on 5/22. He could surprise here if he gets a better trip. (4) G A SPEED SAMMY is in solid form, and he will likely ride a good trip to a spot in the Tri or Super.
Race 8: Horses that have started for a purse of $9K or less in 1 of L3 AE: NW $8,200 L5 AE: NW $70,000 LT
(4) STABLE GENIUS just took a new life's mark from the 10-hole and this field is no tougher. He should repeat at a short price. (1) REFI looks next best and most likely to give the choice a tussle in the lane; using. (5) VILLEFRANCHE AS and (7) PHOENIX fought it out for the win last week. Both will likely fight for shares tonight.
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Race 9: CLM HDCP $25,000 to $30,000
(2) FLYING ART A figures to sit the pocket following speedball (8) THE LEGEND HANOVER and pounce on that rival late. The latter is always the one to catch it seems and sometimes builds an insurmountable lead. His speed makes him dangerous. (7) I AMA ROCKET couldn't go with Lawless Shadow late but then no one could. He fits better here, and he is in with a shot. (5) ROCK AND TWIST brings an honest effort every week and he should be closing for another share here.
Race 10: NW $4,000 L5 AE: NW 2 in L10 or in 2022-23
(9) ACAPULCO SUNBURN hasn't been raced aggressively in any of his three starts tonight, but that likely changes tonight with the class drop and he gets top billing. (7) EAST END raced evenly vs. tougher now he drops, and he is another that could be far more aggressive in this spot; using. (1) P L OCTAVIUS is another that finds a better spot here, but I don't love the rail post for him. I'd demand a price here. (3) FULL DISCLOSURE is sharp, and he should be part of the exotics. (2) FORCE N FURY raced well in his second start back in an amateur drivers race. I can see him closing for a slice.

