Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 6/17

Top Pick Stats: 303 - 906 / $1699.70 (-$112.30)

Best Bets: 48 - 85 / $156.20 (-$13.80)

Spot Plays: 15 - 82 / $167.70 (+$3.70)

Best Bet: YO MISTER (1ST)

Spot Play: MRMAYOR HANOVER (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 3/3,8/5,7/3,5/3,4,6 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 1,2,7/2,8/1,7/2,5,7/1,7 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 3,5/3,4,6/1,2,7/2,8 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 2,8/1,7/2,5,7/1,7 = $4.80

Race 1: NW $8,000 L5 or $14,000 L8 AE: NW $15,000 in 2024 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) YO MISTER was a winner last time he dropped to this level on 5/13 and history will likely repeat here. (5) ALL WRAPPED UP tried the front end last week and the early pace was just too fast. I think he sits and rallies here and he can be an Exacta factor. (2) DEALIN WITH DEWEY was part of the early pace duel last time and he outfinished All Wrapped Up. The driver change to Filion made a difference and he is a contender right back. (6) FLEURIE raced great two starts back then she blew up at the start last week. She should be in the exotics hunt if she behaves tonight.

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Race 2: NW $4,000 L5 or $7,600 L8 AE: NW $35,000 in 2024 AE: NW1 in L10

(3) REACTOR NOW A was live last week but he was locked in for most of the stretch drive. I think he gets a better trip tonight racing on or near the lead and he converts. (8) ROCKIN N TALKIN raced well last week but the winning favorite was just too good and simply couldn’t be caught. He fits well here, and he will be on my early Pick 5 ticket. (5) ARMOR SEELSTER was over bet last week, and he closed late to finish just behind the choice. He can close for a share here. (1) BEACH TOUR brings decent form in from the B tracks. He is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 3: NW $20,000 L5 AE: OPT CLM $90,000 AE: W/O L5 to draw outside

(5) MRMAYOR HANOVER got an impossible trip from post 10 last week. He drops and moves to the middle of the gate, and he has a big shot to get back on track here. (7) PATRIARCH HANOVER drops from the top class which should make him an instant contender here, but he has missed three weeks so I wouldn’t accept a short price. (8) WALKONTHEMOON almost stole one on the lead last week. His speed makes him a contender for a share. (3) KEVIN ANTHONY is racing terrific, but this is a tough spot. I see him rallying for a small slice.

Race 4: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG Two 3 YEAR OLD TROTTING FILLIES - Pick 4

(5) WILLYS HOME RUN raced in a qualifier prepping for this Gold race and she closed for the win. I think she races better chasing horses, and she will change tactics and turn the tables on (3) R LIZA tonight. The latter is much faster at three and she twice chased down the choice so far. She’s the obvious one to fear. (7) KINNDER HOTBLOOD broke in her only Gold try and she loses Macdonald to the choice tonight, but her best effort is good enough to get her a share if she stays flat; using underneath. (1) MUSCONE, who was first up last week, likely sits back and rallies off a helmet for a small share tonight.

Race 5: 5YO and younger NW2 or $30,000

(3) BEST NIGHT EVER comes off a strong effort when 2nd to an impressive winner and he gets top billing here. (6) A CLASS YANKEE raced first up in the same race and finished only a neck behind the choice. He should be the main threat. (4) SPINDOCTOR HANOVER raced well in his local debut, and he gets a better post here so h should be able to lay closer to the front. He can be better in this second start for Moreau; using. (7) BETTER THAN NEVER got a needed clean line, and he motored late after chasing a snail’s pace. I think he can close for a small share here.

Race 6: Winners of 4 (F&M5) but not more than 7 or $80,000 - Pick 5

(1) LIKE CHAOS raced well last week, but the 1 to 5 winner was just too good while taking his third win in a row at that class level. He has a decent chance to win on the engine here. (2) STONEBRIDGE BRAVO lacked room until deep stretch last week and she was motoring when the wire came up. She can be a threat here with a clear trip. (7) LOOKSLIKAGOODFELLA has raced better recently, and he is in with a shot not having to face Passarino this week. The smaller field also should help him; price look for multi-race tickets. Opportunity knocked for (5) JOHNNY BUCKSHOT last week when the leader jumped it off and squandered a win. He took advantage and he is another possibility in a good betting race.

Race 7: NW $4,000 L5 or $7,600 L8 AE: NW $35,000 in 2024 AE: NW1 L10 - Pick 4

(8) SMOKESTACK was live last week but opening his mile with two 27 quarters took its toll late in the mile. I’ll give him the nod here. (2) NIGHTIME DANCER, a three-time winner this year, gets needed class relief in this spot and he should get a solid pace to chase; price look. (3) DR JOE raced decently first up last week chasing a class dropping 1 to 2 shot. He can take another slice here. (6) LARRY KARR will probably be the first leader, but I see him only hanging on for a small share here.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $30,000 to $40,000

(7) INSTANTANEOUS took a new life’s mark racing off the Merner claim, and he gets the call to repeat here. (1) I AMA ROCKET’s recent form has improved, and his trainer won with 7 of his last 10 starters up to June 11th. He would be no surprise here. (6) SWEET DEISEL raced better last week, and he can land in the Tri again. (2) CAPTAIN FIREBALL made a wide rally last week and he can pass a few of these again tonight to land in the Super.

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Race 9: Horse that have started for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of L3

(2) BELLA CAVALLA was better last week on the class drop and she figures to get a set up tonight. I see her rolling past in deep stretch, and she gets top call. (5) PHOENIX re-rallied last week and had a chance to win when the leader broke and he got shaded right on the line. He is sharp and dangerous. (7) SHADRACK HANOVER took a lot of action last week then got an impossible trip because he could never make front the way the race unfolded. He has a better shot here in this smaller field. (3) ROWLEN closed for 2nd behind a dominant winner last week and he should be good for another share here.

Race 10: NW $1,975 L3 AE: N/A $850 P/S in 2024

(7) FABRIZIO raced better last week when he finished 3rd to an overwhelming favorite, and I’ll try him at a price here. (1) BAYFIELD BEACH drops and the likely favorite will probably be the one to catch here. He’s hard to leave off late multi-race tickets. (2) ILIKEMEBETTOR A is another dropper that figures to improve, and I could see him landing in the pocket here. He is another to consider for late multi-race tickets. (3) RILKOFF closed to finish just behind the choice last time. He can take a share here. (8) MAGICAL ARTHUR drops and adds Lasix here. He should improve enough to get a check.