Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 6/15

Meet Stats: 14/51: $100.00 (- $2.00)
Best Bets - 4/5: $14.10 (+ $4.10)
Spot Plays - 2/5: $18.40 (+ $8.40)
Best Bet: REAGAN BLUE CHIP (9TH)
Spot Play: MACH CODE (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 4,6,7,8/3/2,4/6,7,8/1 = $4.80
Late Pick 5: 1,2,6,8/2,5,8/2,3,4/5/1,2,10 = $21.60
Early Pick 4: 6,7,8/1/1,2,6,8/2,5,8 = $36
Late Pick 4: 2,5,8/2,3,4/5/1,2,10 = $27

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(4) MOXLEY, (8) YANNICK SEELSTER and (6) GONNAHAVEONEMORE all exit an insanely fast maiden race won by a North America Cup hopeful. I imagine one of them will take this opener that should go about three seconds slower. I'm using all three in the Pick 5, but would price shop for a win bet. (7) CANTFINDABETTORMAN has already had seven tries and he will take action. I'm inclined to bet against him here seeking value while understanding he is capable of winning.

Race 2: 4YO NW1 or $7,000 LT

(3) HETALKSTOANGELS sticks out to me here and he should break his maiden vs. this group (4) RUKIDDINME BLUECHIP is the other one in here that shows stakes lines last year and he is an Exactor factor. (2) BRAMASOLE HANOVER is better than she shows on the program. In her last start before the break she was carefully handled throughout and made her move too late. She could crash the exotics at a price here. (5) HOYA SAXA is always around the money. Consider using him on the bottom.

Race 3: NW 8 or $120,000 (F&M $150,000) LT

(4) P L MATT is a much-improved racehorse in the Baillargeon barn which continues to run hot and he is the one to beat here. (2) STEUBEN HANOVER is capable of turning the tables on the choice with the right trip; using. (8) REFI - stablemate to the choice - should be good for another share here. (5) PIKACHU HANOVER is capable of a good showing here if he can stay flat; suing underneath.

Race 4: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 - Pick 4

(7) MACH CODE was involved in some wicked early fractions in a fast race for the class last week and he rates highly vs. these. I'll give him the nod over (6) CROFT BAY N , who takes a class dive and is an obvious threat. (8) CINNABAR DRAGON is an interesting price option to me here with McNair driving. (1) SENIOR K should work his way into the super vs. this group.

Race 5: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(1) REGAL SON was a sharp 2nd to s strong winner last week and he should get a good setup here; top call. (7) DO YA THINK raced well vs. a big chalk at Grand River and he is worth a price look for this Exacta. (9) CINNAMACK was bet like he couldn't lose last week but he was used hard early and tired late. The price goes up sharply here if you still like him. (3) SHADES OF BAY drops but he has been a victim of his extreme drifting issues in the lane for many starts; using underneath only.

Race 6: 3YO Fillies NW1 or $7,000 LT

(6) PROTOSTAR rallied well despite breaking last week. If his price is worth the risk, he is worth an upset chance here. (2) TESLA SEELSTER and (9) ILLDOITMYSELF finished close together and ahead of the choice and both merit a look for multi-race tickets. (1) CHELSEAS MAGIC qualified well enough to contend with these but her breaking issues are worrisome.

Race 7: Starters for a Purse of Less than $9,000 in one of Last 4 Starts - Pick 4

(8) DOVUTO HANOVER was bet as though he was live last week, but he couldn't clear to the front because of how the trip went early. This is a better spot to try to blast and last and if he clears he might be gone. (5) SPORTSLINE was large at Grand River and he isn't out of place here; using. (2) DRAGON TIME is in a better spot here and he should be racing near the front throughout; another Pick 4 and Pick 5 possibility. (1) ADORE HIM is sharp and he should get a small piece of this.

Race 8: NW $16,500 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $150,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $40,000

Neither (4) FREE WILLY HANOVER nor (2) B YOYO have raced this low in a long time and one of them should prevail. I liked the former's race better last week so he gets the nod. (3) HEY LIVVY is a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" type who is capable against most trotters on the grounds but is often erratic. Let price be your guide with her. (8) EXEMPLAR came ready to play last week but these are tougher and I'll use him on the bottom in this spot.

Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(5) REAGAN BLUE CHIP was unhurried in his debut and he paced a 25 4/5 kicker with no urging to win as he pleased. He is surely too good for these. (10) ANETO was a strong second in his May 28th qualifier to a colt who came out and paced a sub-1:50 mile right away. He could be the Exacta value here. (4) POSEIDON SEELSTER is capable of better and he should move up now with that initial start under his belt; using underneath. (2) ST LADS BEAT IT qualified well enough that he could sneak into the Super.

Race 10: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(2) TWIN B FRENCHTOAST qualified fast enough to contend right away and the barn is starting to heat up; top call. (10) A POSITIVE HANOVER was an easy winner last week and he looms the one to beat here. (1) DELIGHTFUL TERROR goes for a barn that has been sending them ready and he could capitalize if the top two engage in any mid-race battling. Give him a look for late multi-race tickets. (8) USURPER had little chance chasing in a 1:49 4/5 mile. He could make the Super or High-5 at a price here. (9) IDEAL PERSPECTIVE would be rated higher if he drew better but he should be in the High-5 somewhere when they hit the wire.