Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 5/30

Meet Stats: 245 - 793 / $1,360.40 (-$225.60)
Best Bets: 42 - 75 / $136.90 (-$13.10)
Spot Plays: 25 - 75 / $167.70 (+$17.70)
Best Bet: TWIN B ARCHIE (6TH)
Spot Play: HES A LADIES MAN (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 4,7,8,9/5,7/2,4/6,7/1,4 = $9.60
Late Pick 5: 5/3,10/4,6/2,4/1,3 = $3.20
Early Pick 4: 6,7/1,4/5/3,10 = $8
Late Pick 4: 3,10/4,6/2,4/1,3 = $16
Race 1: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
In a class where they seem to take turns winning every week, I'll take a shot with (9) HERESTHATMANAGAIN racing off the Barrington claim. One thing that seems likely is, he will offer a square price starting from the widest post. (4) MACHIN A TRICK closed in 54 1/5 racing off the claim to just miss and he could get a setup tonight. I wouldn't take a short price because he tends to lag so far back, but he can win if the pace is solid. (7) JULERICA got cooked trying to keep up to (8) CHOREOGRAPHER last week now he goes for Moreau off the claim. I wonder if these two will cancel each other out early in this mile.
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Race 2: Ontario Sires Stakes Gold Leg 1 3YO Trotting Colts and Geldings
(5) TYMAL TIGGS tried to chase down Twin B Archie who is just on another planet right now. This gelding will offer a square price tonight and I think he can trip out and upend likely favorite (7) DULY RESOLVED. The latter is another who will enjoy missing Twin B Archie here and he is the one to beat. (4) CENTURY INVADER gets Macdonald back and he is worth a look for the exotics in this first sires stakes attempt. (1) EVIL GUY was showing rapid improvement before he broke in the SBOA final. He has an upset chance tonight.
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Race 3: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 or NW1 in L7 AE: Mares
(2) ALL THE TRUTH raced tough in defeat one class higher and he gets Zuccarello in this amateur drivers race. That reinsman has three wins already this year; top call. (4) TREASURED TEE has speed and positioning is important in any race but perhaps even more so here. He should be a threat. (6) HOLDIN ACES produced a nice late kick last week and I can see him closing for a slice here. (8) LIFE IS A FEAST drops and he too should be closing late.
Race 4: NW $20,000 L5 or $30,500 L10 or NW $130,000 LT - Pick 4
The two class droppers from the Preferred (6) ONLY FOR JUSTICE and (7) COMBS HANOVER will likely battle for the win here; slight edge to the former who draws the best post. (3) ROYALTY DEAL comes out of races where she faced some ultra-tough mares. She is in with a shot facing males here. (5) MACALLAN shoots for a fourpeat and price will still be there on this one if you ride with him.
Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,200 LT
(4) HES A LADIES MAN gets to face maidens here in what should be a much easier spot and he is a clear top pick for me. (1) SUNDANCE LOU adds Lasix and keeps Macdonald and while he is an obvious contender, he will probably get overbet and he has already failed to convert 10 times; your call. (7) KOBRA KAI will likely get sent to the front by McNair here for as far as he can go. I see him hanging around for a small share. (6) BRYDOWN LOUIE qualified well for this and he wouldn't need to improve much to contend here at first asking; using underneath.
Race 6: Ontario Sires Stakes Gold Leg 1 3YO Trotting Colts and Geldings - Pick 5
(5) TWIN B ARCHIE came back better and faster at three and that's bad news for the rest of the colts in this division. He can likely only beat himself when facing Ontario-breds this summer; he is that good. (4) SAFE CONDUCT looked terrific winning his sophomore debut and he should be an Exacta factor tonight (8) ESPLOSIONE is going well right now but a slice is likely his ceiling starting from out there tonight. (3) SIMCOE SEELSTER is razor-sharp but this is a big step up; small share predicted.
Race 7: NW 5 (F&M7) or $80,000 (F&M $100,000) - Pick 4
(3) P L OPPORTUNITY made three moves to win in her four-year-old debut and off that impressive effort, she gets the call to repeat here. (10) HIGHLAND MOWGLI gets McNair for the first time and he often moves horses up in these situations He could be a value player starting from the outside; using. (2) GOODGOLLYMISSMOLLY had her streak broken last time now she gets her third different driver in three starts. I'm inclined to try to beat her here in a spot where she could be overbet again, understanding she will be a threat. Macdonald interestingly sticks with (1) GRACE here over the choice, likely sensing a strong stakes campaign coming for the sophomore. She can crack the exotics here.
Race 8: CLM HDCP $8,500 to $10,000
Trainer Moreau holds a strong hand here sending out last-out winner (4) THUNDERING JIM and recent claim (6) STOLEN ART. I'll use both on multi-race tickets with the likelihood they will finish 1-2 here. (2) NATES BUCKY comes back fast after winning and getting claimed by McQueen on Thursday night. He should be in the exotics mix tonight. (5) TAKE THE DEAL should land near the front leaving the gate and stick around for a share.
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Race 9: FREE FOR ALL
(4) ONEY HALL got a week off after producing the most impressive trotting mile of the year so far and he is strictly the one to beat again surely at a tiny price. (2) FORBIDDEN TRADE was better last week and he is obviously gearing up for a summer stakes campaign. One of these weeks he will be used more aggressively and come away with his first win of the season; maybe tonight? (1) PIKACHU HANOVER was given a crafty steer last week with Oney Hall sitting out and he was able to wire the field at a price. Tonight, I think he sits and rallies. (3) DREAM NATION takes frequent shares and he should be part of the Tri or Super tonight.
Race 10: NW $9,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 AE: Mares
Class dropping (3) MUSCLE FASHION beat some of these on April 11th and he should get put into play leaving the gate tonight; slight nod. (1) KAMERAN HANOVER, 2nd to the choice in that mile on 4/11, gets a better post tonight and he figures to be the main danger here; using. (5) GOLD EDITION passed a couple of rivals in a fast mile last week and he can get a slice of this starting from the middle of the gate. (2) POWER AND GRACE will use her good tactical speed to get position early and she should stick to round out the Tri or Super. (7) FINAL CLAIM keeps going to the front and stopping late. I think he sits and rallies this time looking for a different result.

