Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 5/1

Top Pick Stats: 177 - 533 / $987.80 (-$78.20)

Best Bets: 28 - 48 / $111.50 (+$15.50)

Spot Plays: 11 - 48 / $69.30 (-$26.70)

Best Bet: LOGAN PARK (9TH)

Spot Play: ARRAKIS (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,9/4,5/2,6,9/1,3,7/2,6 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 1,2/2,5,9/1,8/3/2,9 = $4.80

Early Pick 4: 1,3,7/2,6/1,2/2,5,9 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 3/2,9/1,5/1,3,4,7,10 = $4

Race 1: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $47,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO OPT CLM $50,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(9) LINDYS IRISHCREAM looked solid winning her sophomore debut and McClure sticks with her over others tonight; call to repeat. (3) SAUNDRA gets away from the top trotting mare in the country here and she can improve sharply in this spot; using. (2) CARTER MICHAEL DEO, a stakes winner at 2, looks well-prepped for The Stable, who sends everything ready and he is another in with a shot here. (6) ANGELWITHATTITUDE never gets bet but she is always in the mix. She should be part of the Tri or Super.

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Race 2: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $16,000

(5) BETTOR NOTBITTER A couldn't be any sharper and he gets top billing here shooting for the fourpeat. (4) SKYLAR was a winner for Moreau two starts back and re-claimed by him last week when he flew home but was two far back. These stablemates could be battling for the win as they approach the wire tonight. (1) ROYAL REGATTA won well racing off the claim for a high percentage barn in Ottawa, but this is tougher and I'll use him underneath. (6) LARJON LUCKY is unlikely to get the same perfect trip that he got last week. I'll use him on the bottom.

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Race 3: NW $9,250 L5 or NW8 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

Tough race here. I'll take a stab with (2) DEALIN WITH DEWEY who should race better at this level, and he should get a decent trip racing near the front. (6) HAMMER TIME got a clean line and closed well, and he will likely be more aggressive now starting from the best post; using. (9) MUSCLE FASHION is winless this year, but he raced well at a level similar to tonight's two starts back and he will offer a good price here. (4) ALL WRAPPED UP likely closes for a small slice tonight.

Race 4: NW $4,100 L5 AE: NW $12,000 in 2023 - Pick 4

(1) ROCKIN N TALKIN provided perfect cover to the favorite last week, and he was never going to fend that rival off. This is an easier spot and he gets top call. (3) PIRATE HANOVER's comeback race was good as he almost passed them all when the pace slowed noticeably late. He has plenty enough class for these if he is right. (7) SPORTS FAN exits the same race as the choice where he lost the place photo to that rival and he should be a threat here. (4) NUZZLE LOADER almost hung on last week after setting some wicked fractions and he is an obvious speed threat tonight.

Race 5: NW $14,000 L5 or $32,200 L8 AE: NW1 in 2023

(2) SHADRACK HANOVER jogged last time he raced at this level, and he is the one to beat here. (6) GIGONDAS is sharp an he should be the main threat on the drop and drawing best. He was the easiest of winners two starts back racing one level lower. (7) P L OPPORTUNITY, a closing 2nd to a razor-sharp rival at this level last week, likely comes on late to take another slice here. (8) SHESTHELUCKYONE is another that should be closing late to take a small slice.

Race 6: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $47,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO OPT CLM $50,000 - Pick 5

(2) EDEN ONTHEHILL has been a killer so far as a four-year-old and he likely holds an edge here facing some sophomore stakes types who obviously have much bigger goals than winning this race in their three-year-old debuts. I'll call him to notch the threepeat. (1) DOWEDEALINANDWHY showed in his qualifier on 4/21 that he is faster at three and he adds Lasix tonight. He could do if he gets put into the race. (3) OH LOOK MAGIC was a Grand Circuit winner at two and he is a another that is probably fast enough to win this, but all of these returning stakes colts will not be on go tonight; your call. (6) UNBEATABLE KEMP got a needed clean line now he will likely be handled more aggressively leaving the gate. He can land in the exotics.

Race 7: Horses that have started for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of L3

This is a good spot for (9) ARRAKIS and he has the gate speed to leave quickly and get position. He should have a big shot vs. these. (5) SPARTAN GENERAL was better in his second start and his best race beats these. He's hard to leave out in this field. (2) REIGN OF HONOR has hit the board in 70% of his starts this year and he is usually in contention when they reach the top of the lane. He's not out of this. (6) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE figures to close late for a small share tonight.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $16,000

(3) PRESS TIME wired the field last time he raced this low, and he should set up shop on the engine here and play come catch me; top call. (1) DO YOU SEE IT keeps racing well for a barn that is continuing to run hot and he will be closing late again here; using. (4) MR MACH JIMMY was claimed out of his last while at the peak of his form and he contends here. I prefer to use him underneath, though. (8) VIPER is sharp, but he likely closes from the back for another slice here.

Race 9: FREE FOR ALL - Pick 4

(3) LOGAN PARK is clearly best in here, the only potential chink in his armor tonight is the three weeks between starts. (1) WALKONTHEMOON take a big class jump here, but he has been razor-sharp and improving every week. He could provide some Exacta value in this spot. (2) PATRIARCH HANOVER is in peak form and likely to finish in the Tri again, racing near the front throughout. (5) TOKYO SEELSTER likely sits near the front and hangs around for a slice in this spot.

Race 10: CLM HDCP $25,000 to $35,000

(2) FLASHY DUDE equaled his lifetime mark racing off the Waxman claim, and he is the one to beat here coming off that crushing win. (9) LEGAL BETTOR is the other one in here that dominated racing off the claim and he figures to be the main threat despite drawing widest tonight. (6) CURIOUS CORTEZ gets the leading driver racing off the Montini claim but he will need to be faster here to beat both of the top two choices. (4) JULERICA has raced well since being claimed by Riley on 4/3. He is in the exotics mix here.

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Race 11: CLM HDCP $17,000 to $22,000

(1) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ goes to Barrington here which means sharp improvement is likely; top call. (5) WINDSONG GRAYSON chased a winner that was pacing out of his skin last week. None in here are likely to pace a sub-1:52 mile. He is a top contender here. The shorter field should help (8) SIR A here, but he is 0 for 2023 so far and more likely to take a share than a win. (6) UNIQUE BEACH steps up off a perfect trip win and he is probably a fringe player in this spot.

Race 12: NW $1,700 L3

(3) FULL DISCLOSURE takes a big drop here and Gois will probably head straight to the front and look to bottom out the field with an all-out speed try; top call. (4) SOUTHSIDE EDDY has been disappointing so far this year, but this is a spot where he should wake up. He's the other one that I'll use on the late Pick 4 ticket. (7) ISLANDSPECIALMAJOR was close at this level four starts back. He will likely get a more aggressive drive here and he can land in the Tri. (10) NIGHT SHADOW is another dropper that should improve in this spot but he isn't known for his gate speed and a slice is probably his ceiling starting from the widest post. (1) OUTLAWGRABBINGEARS is better than he has shown in his first two starts and he can sneak into the exotics at a price.