Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 4/18

Meet Stats: 173 - 555 / $1017.20 (-$92.80)

Best Bets: 31 - 52 / $103.40 (-$0.60)

Spot Plays: 18 - 52 / $116.90 (+$12.90)

Best Bet: TRUFFLES TOO (6TH)

Spot Play: PATRIARCH HANOVER (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,6/1,5/5,9/2,7,8/1,3 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 4/1,6/1,2,3,5,8/2/3,6,8 = $6

Early Pick 4: 2,7,8/1,3/4/1,6 = $12

Late Pick 4: 1,6/1,2,3,5,8/2/3,6,8 = $30

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) KEVIN ANTHONY made front from the 10-hole last week and led most of the way. Moving to the best post here gives him every chance to break his maiden; top call. (3) QUICK FIX is another that flashed speed and he can improve on that debut effort; using. (8) ANGIES VALENTINE qualified well for this return to the races. She is worth using in the exotics. (1) ROYAL LUCK also comes in off a decent qualifier and he can take a share if he stays flat tonight.

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Race 2: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(5) COCO BEACH DE VIE got torched two starts back so she was then conservatively-driven last week and she had no chance of closing into a 27 4/5 kicker trying to rally around dead cover from a mile behind. Assuming she gets put into this race earlier, she is the one to beat here. (1) DIXIE STAR N finished ahead of the choice and she was claimed by Moreau. She is the obvious threat. (2) TAYDERTOTZZ was first up in that same race, a trip that wasn't going to end well. I can see her sitting a good trip and landing in the Tri tonight. (7) PERFECT BELLA should be good for another small share.

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Race 3: NW5 (F&M7) or $80,000 (F&M $100,000)

(9) GOODGOLLYMISSMOLLY faces tougher tonight but she is developing a strong late kick which should carry her to a 4th straight win. (5) L DEES PATRICK won 4 in a row here in the winter and Macdonald, who win six times on Thursday night, fits him like a glove. He should be the main danger. (7) WICKENBURGH raced much better last week. He should be in the exotics mix tonight. (2) MACALLAN hasn’t missed the top 4 this year yet and he should take another share here racing from close range.

Race 4: NW $6,000 L5 or $17,000 L10 - Pick 4

(2) LIFE IS A FEAST set some big splits last week and understandably tired late. He gets to drop a couple of levels tonight and he should be tough vs. these. (8) ALL THE TRUTH got a needed clean line last week now he gets to drop, too. He should be a threat in this spot; using. (7) DANCER HALL gets a driver switch to Macdonald which has been a hugely successful angle so far this year. He is hard to toss getting the leading driver. (3) OKEANOS got a brutal trip and he was still only beaten three lengths. He should get a better trip here from an improved post; using underneath.

Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(1) WILLIAM HANOVER raced decently first up in his debut but he unfortunately was up against a returning monster that simply blitzed the field roaring off cover down the lane. There are no Silk Road Smashes in here and this colt should have a great chance of breaking his maiden tonight. (3) BETTER STYLE took some action last week but he ended up trying to rally into a 27 2/5 kicker which was mission impossible. He has upset potential here. (9) TWIN B RAPTOR was in some big races at two and he qualified okay for this sophomore debut. He can be in the exotics mix tonight. (7) SUCRETARIAT is 0 for 32 but he has been close recently. He can land in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 6: NW $9,000 L5 or $26,000 L10 AE: NW $110,000 LT - Pick 5

(4) TRUFFLES TOO takes a big drop here and he should pop if he stays flat tonight. Classy (3) ODDS ON AMETHYST has been brought back to form by owner/trainer/driver Hudon and he can be a late threat here. (6) KAMERAN HANOVER exits a race where a runaway breaker crossed in front of the field at the head of the lane. A slight class drop makes him a contender here. (5) HP ROYAL THEO should be a speed presence again and stick around for a share.

Race 7: NW $20,000 L5 or $39,000 L10 or NW $130,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000 - Pick 4

(6) PATRIARCH HANOVER raced great to fall just short in a 1:53-flat mile after leaving from the 10-hole. Moving to the best post now makes him the clear horse to beat. (1) FREE WILLY HANOVER wasn't far behind the choice and he should be an Exacta factor tonight. (5) ALL WRAPPED UP couldn't fish out any cover and he ended being first up in that race which was clearly not the place to be. He can sit and rally at a price tonight. (4) PHEONIX is in solid form and he should rally for another share.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $8,500 to $10,000

(8) LYONS IMAGE, a winner here in March, raced tough at Flamboro on Thursday night. I'll give him a slight nod in a wide-open race. (1) BARRYS SHELBY was dead game to win a claiming stake final despite being parked the mile in London. He can be a threat here, likely off a much better trip. (3) HELLO ROCKY should wake up on the class drop. He is another in with a chance. (5) LUCKS ALL CREDIT raced well in his second start off the McQueen claim. He is in with an upset chance here.

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Race 9: PREFERRED

(2) ONEY HALL has been untouchable with Henry driving in his past three starts. Assuming he behaves again, he will be tough to beat. (4) PERFETTO looks next best and he is the only rival you can legitimately use as a Pick 4 or Pick 5 alternate. (1) PIKACHU HANOVER tripped out to win last week. He will likely be fighting for scraps here. (3) DERF HANOVER is racing well for Macdonald and he can land in the Super.

Race 10: Claiming $15,000 for NW $51,000 LT

(6) JUST PLAIN NEEDY was aggressively handled by Macdonald last week and he equalled his lifetime mark in a strong effort. He is the obvious one to beat here. (8) BIG JOURNEY rallied well to be 2nd to the choice and he should offer a good price again here starting from a wide post; Exacta factor. (3) PRIMETIME SEELSTER should improve facing $15K claimers tonight. He has upset potential in this spot. (1) PERPETUAL ROCK is usually around the money and he figures to be part of the Super or High-5 tonight. (2) ROCKINMYDREAM can show speed and stick around for a slice.