Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 4/11

Meet Stats: 155 - 505 / $907.10 (-$102.90)

Best Bets: 27 - 47 / $82.70 (-$11.30)

Spot Plays: 17 - 47 / $108.90 (+$14.90)

Best Bet: STOP THE SHOOTIN (4TH)

Spot Play: NEVER MIND N (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,3,7/2,6,8/4,7/2,4/2,8,9 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 1,7,8/1,4/1,6/4,7/2,3,4,6,9 = $24

Early Pick 4: 2,4/2,8,9/1,7,8/1,4 = $36

Late Pick 4: 1,4/1,6/4,7/2,3,4,6,9 = $40

Race 1: NW $11,000 L5 or $21,000 L10 AE: NW5 (F&M 7) or $85,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

The slight class drop tonight might be all that (3) MUSCLE FASHION needs to notch his second win of 2022. Jamieson should have him in good position throughout. Sharp (1) HONE THE TONE almost chased down a class-dropping favorite last week. He should be the main threat tonight. (7) KAMERAN HANOVER, getting class and post relief, should be in the mix and he is another possibility for the early Pick 5. (4) ALL THE TRUTH needs a clean line here so I think he sits and rallies late for a share.

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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(2) WILLIAM HANOVER was conservatively driven on debut from a wide post and he paced a big final 1/4. Moving inside he can improve sharply here; top call. (6) SILK ROAD SMASH was favored in his lone start at two and was beat by the eventual OSS Superfinal winner. Gallucci appears to have him well-prepped for his sophomore debut; using. (8) SUNDANCE LOU had things all his own way last week but he couldn’t fend off the pocket sitter. Maybe he slowed it down too much? He should be a threat again. (4) HP LIS SHADOW can pass a few of these late and take a small share.

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Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

I like (4) STABLE GENIUS' April 1st qualifier and this isn’t the toughest spot to make a debut; top call. (7) MVN raced large on debut last week especially in the final 1/4 when he just kept coming as the pace accelerated. He is the one to beat. (1) MAKE IT EASY blew up on the lead last week when heavily bet. I don't love the inside post for young trotters with gait issues. I'll play to beat her here. (6) ARCHSRAINBOW should take another share racing from close range.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 - Pick 4

(2) STOP THE SHOOTIN set solid splits and was picked off very late in the mile. He is the one to catch again tonight. (4) IM KING CONN raced much better last week, producing a strong late rally. He has upset potential tonight; using. (7) LETSFLYTOGETHER N took the trip then stormed home to a maiden win last week. He can be a threat here if he can find the same trip. (5) ALMOST THERE BOSS faces tough and figures to take a share this time.

Race 5: NW $26,500 L5 or $34,500 L10 or NW $130,000 LT

A few of these drop out of the top class and avoid currently unbeatable Oney Hall. Of those, I will side with (2) ALL WRAPPED UP who can sit and pounce on the leaders late in the mile. (8) COMBS HANOVER is good enough to beat these when he is sharp and his two qualifiers indicate readiness; using. (9) PIKACHU HANOVER should get put into play early by Henry on the class drop and he may be the one to catch when they turn for home; using. (10) PATRIARCH HANOVER is another dropper who figures but I'll play to beat him from the widest post.

Race 6: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 - Pick 5

(7) WINDY REPORT paced a sub-56 ack 1/2 last week now she meets a field she should beat. The 10th try should be the charm for this filly. (1) TROPHY BRIDE finished just ahead of the choice and she figures to be the main threat here. (8) WHATA DIVA, a homebred full-sister to 24-time winner Divas Image ($647K, 1:49 F) was qualified twice by pilot Waples who takes his first drive of the year here. It's possible she could have a lot more speed than she has shown to date; price look. (3) TERROR BEACH will be looking for a clean line here and she can land a share if she behaves.

Race 7: NW $6,000 L5 or $19,500 L10 - Pick 4

(4) NEVER MIND N beat better than these four starts back and he should get aggressive on the class drop here; top call. (1) MR CONTESTANT jogged last time he raced this low and he is the one to fear. (2) BAUTISTA races well at this level and he should contend racing from close range tonight. (7) LIFE WELL LIVED returns quickly after flashing speed on Thursday night. He can sit and rally at a price this time.

Race 8: NW3 (F&M6) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT

(1) HANG ON BABY got a needed clean line last week and she flew home in 27-flat. It’s go time now and this is a field she should beat. (6) STORMONT BARBEQUE took a lot of action last week and he looked good until the head of the lane when the leader started to sprint and this mare drifted out several lanes. Look for an equipment change tonight. (4) DEALIN WITH DEWEY looks good every week but more often than not she finishes third. I'll use her on the bottom here. (3) DICENTRA goes for new connections here and she is capable of contending with these; using underneath.

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Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(7) COCO BEACH DE VIE got hooked in a big third 1/4 duel on Thursday night and she understandably backed up. She could get a much softer trip on the front here and I'll give her the nod. (4) DIXIE STAR N sat the trip and pounced late. She could get a similar trip here; using. (5) HANNAH ON THE VIRG raced much better last week and she can take a share here. (2) RUNAWAY HEIRESS could slide into the exotics in this second start off the claim.

Race 10: Claiming $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT

(9) JOE ROCKHEAD gets a significant barn change following a private sale and sharp improvement from this gelding is likely tonight; top call. (2) ONE MAN ARMY got no breathers last week and he was still only beaten three lengths. He has upset potential. (3) MILO MAN got a setup last week but he responded well for Jamieson (who now moves to the choice). Sorrie is a capable replacement and he should be a threat. (4) SLICK N SPORTY was much better last week and he is another possibility in a competitive dash. (6) JUST PLAIN NEEDY returns quick after showing speed. He should be in the High-5.