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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 3/8

Garnet Barnsdale|Mar 05, 2021
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats: 25/87 - $135.80 (-$38.20)
Best Bets: 5/9 - $14.30 (-$3.70)
Spot Plays: 3/9 - $23.70 (+$5.70)
Best Bet:
PL JILL (6TH)
Spot Play: BUCK DANCER (9TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,4,8/6/1,5,6,8/7,8/2,5,7,10 = $19.20
Late Pick 5: 4/1,2,7/1,5/1,3,5/2,4,6 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 7,8/2,5,7,10/4/1,2,7 = $24
Late Pick 4: 1,2,7/1,5/1,3,5/2,4,6 = $54

Race 1: FAMILY DAY TROTTING SERIES 1ST LEG **$100,000 Pick 5**

(8) TOCCOA FALLS has been racing well here in tough company and he provided perfect cover for the winner last week. I'll give him the nod in a race with a few interesting possibilities. (1) MASSTRO comes into this race a maiden but he showed good speed last year and he races out of the hot Moreau barn; using, (4) SO LONG HANOVER comes off a nice effort in New Jersey and races out of the Zeron barn here. His frequent racing over the winter should serve him well here; using. (2) RJS INVICTUS should leave for a good spot and stick around for a share.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: WINE AND ROSES TROTTING SERIES

(6) SHESWILDNFREE has been on fire here recently and she shouldn't have any problem extending her win streak here but she will be heavily favored again. (1) H P STARLETTE has come back in great form and she can take a lot of air and keep coming. She likely completes a chalky Exacta tonight. (5) IMPULSE BUY shows a couple of races at The Meadows that make him competitive here; consider for the exotics. (3) TESLA SEELSTER was going well before the break but she makes her first start back in a spot that isn't easy; using on the bottom.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,000 LT

(1) MARLBANK ROAD had speed to offer both early and late in a good debut effort and he will likely offer a good price here. I'll give him a slight nod to turn the tables on (5) YANKEE LITIGATOR who just held him off last week. (8) CODYS WATCHING has shown enough speed in the morning to suggest that he will contend at first asking here. I'll toss him on my early Pick 5 ticket. (6) LEVI AT PLAY couldn't quite get it done racing first up last week. He could do if he works out a better trip and he is another to consider in a race with a few options.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

(8) JACKSON STORM is racing better every week and he should have a good shot of taking these all the way on the front end; top call. (7) POWERFUL SPIRIT has a good late kick; he just needs to be close enough at the head of the lane to have a chance to beat these; using. (10) WARRAWEE WELCOME showed some talent early last year and was put away after five starts. I see her coming on late to take a share tonight. The horse that beat (1) GOLDEN COMPASS in his 2/25 qualifier won right away and this colt should be in the exotics mix right away.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(2) LADY KATIE B, a 2019 $30,000 London Selected Sale purchase, looks much faster at three and she should contend at first asking tonight; top call. (7) MARETRAFFICCONTROL took a mark of 1:54 3/5 at two and if she is ready to fire off the break her rivals might be in trouble; using. (5) NOTHINGCOMPARESTOU was right there all the way last week but she was no match for the winner late. I'll use her underneath until she shows she wants to pass in the lane. (10) COLD FREEZE can improve in this second start back but I don't love the second tier post for her; small share predicted.

Race 6: NW $13,500 L5 or $24,000 L10 or NW9 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000 - Pick 5

(4) P L JILL drops to a spot where she should dominate from start-to-finish at a low price. (7) ON THE ROPES has returned in sharp form and he could provide some Exacta value here as he steps up a couple of class levels. (1) THE FIXER blew up the tote board with a post 9 win now he moves inside. He can take a share here. (8) H P BRUXELLES is likely to blast for position and she can stick around for a slice.

Race 7: CLAIMING HANDICAP $10,000 to $12,000 - Pick 4

A few of these exit the fourth race contested here on Thursday night and (2) SPORTSMANSHIP had a nice late rally going but he ran out of racetrack. He gets my nod here. (1) MONTY MONO picks up McNair and the rail and he is in with an upset chance here. (7) MISSION THREE should get a good trip either on or near the lead and he should rebound with a better effort but I'm not sure I'd take a short price here. (5) ZEN DA BALLYKEEL is worth a look for the exotics racing off the claim for the Symes barn.

Race 8: FAMILY DAY TROTTING SERIES 1ST LEG

(1) BRONZE YANKEE beat a decent field here two starts back then he faced much tougher when starting from a bad post and predictably didn't fare that well. This is a much better spot for him and early aggression is expected; top call. (5) NORTHERN SULTAN had a good 2020 campaign and he has the speed to go with these when he's on his game. The 3/4 qualifying effort signals readiness. He’s on my late multi-race tickets. (4) TUCKERS OUT was game and determined beating NW2 last week and he should be a factor here but I prefer to use him underneath in this spot. (2) OXFORD HALL can sit a trip and take a share again tonight.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 9: NW $28,000 L5 or $160,000 LT AE: OPT CLAIMING $55,000

(3) BUCK DANCER is 4 for 4 at Mohawk Park and every one of those wins were taken with authority. This is obviously a tougher spot tonight, but I'll ride with him expecting to get a better price this time. (1) FINAL CLAIM can produce high speed when he is at the top of his game and his recent qualifier signals that he's ready to roll; using. (5) TREASURED TEE is in tremendous current form and stepping up again ensures he will offer a solid price. He isn't out of this. (8) ONEY HALL was brilliant here last fall then gait issues surfaced. He will get bet here but coming off three straight starts where he broke in basically the same spot every time, what price will you take tonight?

Race 10: CLAIMING $8,000

(6) LEVY TAYLORE showed improvement last week now he makes his fourth start since the West barn claimed him. This isn't a tough spot and I'll stick with him one more time. (4) H P PATRIOTE was claimed by a hot barn and that's enough for me to include him on late multi-race tickets in a race with seemingly few contenders. (2) LORIS ROCK STAR is another that improved last week but he couldn't go with the winner late. He isn’t out of place in here; using. (5) SEYMOUR LITTLE was well-driven by underrated Boyd last week to get a good piece and he should be part of this Super. (7) BANKROLL figures to be closing late for a share again. He is a good one to use in the bottom rungs of the exotics.

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