Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 3/7

Garnet Barnsdale|Mar 04, 2022

Meet Stats: 94 - 320 / $537.70 (-$102.30)

Best Bets: 11 - 29 / $37.00 (-$21.00)

Spot Plays: 8 - 29 / $61.90 (+$3.90)

Best Bet: ITS IN THE STARS (10TH)

Spot Play: MILO MAN (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,6/3,5/5,6,10/4/1,6 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 3,4,7/2,7/2,3/2,4,6/4 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 4/1,6/3,4,7/2,7 = $12

Late Pick 4: 2,7/2,3/2,4,6/4 = $12

Race 1: NW $6,700 L5 or $14,500 L8 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) MR CONTESTANT drops and likely pops here, but he probably won't offer much of a price. (3) LIFE IS A FEAST is another dropper to consider but he typically needs a setup for his late rally. He could get overbet here. (4) WHAT A RUSH's late kick should play better here and I see him closing for a share. (8) DERF HANOVER got overbet when he dropped to this level last week and he followed the winner home. He looks like a fringe player again.

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Race 2: PREFERRED

With Perfetto out of action this week, I see McNair blasting with (3) PATRIARCH HANOVER and leading all the way. (5) DREAM NATION is as sharp as a tack and he should be the one to fend off late again. (6) PIKACHU HANOVER should get position near the front early and ride a good trip to a spot in the Tri. (1) BUCK DANCER is starting to look like his old self again but this is a big class jump; using underneath.

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Race 3: F&M NW $3,200 L5 or $8,000 L10 Women's Driver Race

(5) BLINK AND GONE was a good 2nd to a strong winner here on Thursday night and off that good effort she gets top billing. (10) ARTISTIC MEADOW is the lone class dropper in the field but she still might offer a big price starting from out there; using. (6) MACH MY KISS should get put into play by driver Day, who won at this track for the first time last Thursday. She is another possibility for early multi-race tickets. (4) FERN HILL BELLA should close for a share.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

(4) MILO MAN was sharp here on Thursday night, making two moves in defeat to a well-meant winner. He should be tough to beat in this spot. (7) CODYS KNAPSACK looks next best in here and he should be an Exacta factor. (5) LE GEANT is showing signs of improvement and he can land in the Tri this time. (6) SUNRISE BEACH is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics making his second start.

Race 5: NW $14,500 L5 or $24,000 L10 or NW $100,000 LT AE: NW $35,000 in 2021-22

(1) WHITE TIGER should be mighty tough on the class drop from the Preferred and J Mac will likely set up shop on the front end as soon as the dust settles; top call. (6) FREE WILLY HANOVER produced a 55 1/5 back 1/2 to win going away last week and he could provide some exotics value stepping up in class tonight. (9) PHEONIX is sharp but starting from out there a smaller share is likely for him in this spot. (7) NEVER MIND N won as an overlay on the class drop last week now he steps back up. He is another that will likely be in the mix for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 6: NW $3,000 L5 or $9,000 L10 - Pick 5

Tough race here. (3) BAUTISTA raced better last time now he drops again. I'll give him the slight nod. (7) MY MINI MIRACLE is in a better spot here making her third Mohawk Park start and McNair sticks. Sharp improvement is possible; using. (4) TEDDYS LITTLEANGEL races better at this level and Macdonald will probably look to put her right on the point leaving the gate. She is another possibility for multi-race tickets. (6) SWANS HONEY is in good form but this is a tougher spot for her; small share predicted.

Race 7: NW $9,000 L5 or $23,000 L10 or NW6LT AE: OPT CLM $30,000 - Pick 4

(2) ONLY FOR JUSTICE got a needed clean line now he drops and moves inside. He should be driven more aggressively in this spot; top call. (7) ALL WRAPPED UP is the other class dropper that rates highly in this spot and moving from the 10-hole to post 7 can be huge for him in this spot. He should be the main threat. (5) HARRY races best when he sits and rallies and he should be closing for a slice here. (1) URNTROUBLE HANOVER is another that should be closing late to land in the Tri or Super.

Race 8: NW $3,500 L5 or NW $10,000 L8

The two Auciello droppers are going to dominate this race, aren't they? I'll side with (2) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER who should be pointed to the front leaving the gate and add his stablemate (3) HES SWIFT to late multi-race tickets. The latter might sit a golden pocket trip in this spot. (6) MAJOR CUSTARD should be rallying late for another top 3 finish in this spot. (5) MAGICAL ALBERT looks best of the rest and can round out the Super.

Race 9: NW3 (F&M6) or $41,000 (F&M $50,000) LT

(4) HANG ON BABY is unbeaten at this track, using various styles to take four straight impressively. She can take another here. (6) STONEBRIDGE STRONG looked like a winner in early stretch in the Wine and Roses final and it was only a matter of time before she got past the leader. She should be the main danger here. (2) COLD RAGE drops and gets Roy back. His typical late brush should get him a share tonight. (5) MAGIC WANDA is always a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri/Super.

Race 10: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $22,000 LT

(4) ITS IN THE STARS got hammered at the windows on the driver change as expected last week, but he fell victim to pace and trip, his 54 1/5 back 1/2 only getting him 2nd money. He should be more aggressive here and he will be a multi-race single for me. (2) GOLD TRAIN flashed speed when claimed and he could add some value to the exotics in this spot. (3) BANKROLL SEELSTER crushed maidens but he isn't likely to steal a 1:00 1/5 opening 1/2 tonight. I'll use him underneath. (9) HOWIES MAN is sharp and he is another price horse that could spice up the exotics here. (5) BELECHICK followed the choice last week and he finished close to six lengths behind him at the wire. He could sneak into the Super or High-5.