Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 3/6

Top Pick Stats: 104 - 317 / $518.00 (-$98.80)
Best Bets: 18 - 30 / $75.00 (+$15.00)
Spot Plays: 5 - 29 / $30.30 (-$27.70)
Best Bet: JIM STRIKESITRICH (3RD)
Spot Play: STORM TROTTER (1ST)
Early Pick 5: 2,3,4/5,6,10/7/3,5,6/2,6,8 = $16.20
Late Pick 5: 5,9/9,10/9/2,7,8/1,2,5,7,8 = $12
Early Pick 4: 3,5,6/2,6,8/5,9/9,10 = $7.20
Late Pick 4: 9,10/9/2,7,8/1,2,5,7,8 = $6
Race 1: Winners of 4 (F&M5) but not more than 6 (F&M7) or $80,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $60,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(3) STORM TROTTER was on the worst part of the track racing in a snowstorm in a card that was canceled after five races. He did well to stay for 2nd and he gets top billing here. (4) WARRAWEE XALT chased down the choice racing in the preferred outer path, but he did sustain a long uncovered bid in a strong effort and he should be a threat right back. (2) ESPLOSIONE took his lifetime mark here last year and he returns from New York in good form. He is possible in this spot. (1) GOODGOLLYMISSMOLLY has recaptured good form but she is in tougher now; smaller share predicted.
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Race 2: NW $8,000 L5 AE: OPT CLM $45,000
(6) OKEANOS faces better seeking a fourpeat, and he has looked so good that he will likely be up to it. (5) KAMERAN HANOVER’s most recent start probably is a bit better than it looks because the winner was so dominant. He should be much closer tonight. (10) RUN DIRECTOR seems obvious on the big class drop but the month off and wide post give cause for concern. I'll play to beat him. (2) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER will likely sit another good trip racing close to the front and land a share.
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Race 3: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $16,000
(7) JIM STRIKESITRICH jogged the last two times he raced at this level, and he is the clear top pick here. (1) STATE OF PLAY was circled by the choice last week and he stayed for 2nd. He has four lengths to make up on that rival. (8) MACHAL JORDAN was on the worst part of the track on the engine which was not the place to be racing in a storm over a track rated three seconds slow so his fade is likely a product of those conditions. It will be interesting to see if Switzer claims the 14-year-old back for $2K more tonight. He can be much closer this time. (6) GO NINE O should close for another slice in this spot.
Race 4: NEW HOLLAND TROTTING SERIES (NW $150,000) F&M ($175,000) in 2022 - Pick 4
(3) SHADRACK HANOVER tuned up for this series with an impressive dusting of NW $16,500 L5 foes and if he repeats that effort, his rivals here might be racing for 2nd. (5) H P MAMA B is the class here and no doubt pointed for that race. She will be tough if she gets put into play early enough coming off a break. (6) TOCCOA FALLS seems better and faster than the version of himself that we remember when he last raced here. He is an obvious threat. (2) SIMCOE SEELSTER should be good for a small share in this spot.
Race 5: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000
(6) LOOK AT DAT KAT is razor-sharp as seen by his 55 4/5 back 1/2 trotted to win his second straight. A threepeat looms here. (8) ILLUSIONAL was a predictable winner the second time J Mac drove, and he is the obvious threat here. (2) PUBLICITY SEEKER got backed up at a critical point of the race last time and he finished well but at that point Illusional was long gone. He is worth a look for multi-race tickets tonight. (3) BRASH LADY comes off a nice win, but these are tougher; small share predicted.
Race 6: NEW HOLLAND TROTTING SERIES (NW $150,000) F&M ($175,000) in 2022 - Pick 5
(5) LOCATELLI comes off a break and he gets J Mac back. He fits well here, and I'll give him a slight nod over (9) SERMON, who is obviously classy and fast enough for these but could get a conservative trip in this opening leg starting from the widest post. (3) RITSON is right there every week, and he should get another good trip racing near the front; using underneath. (2) CHULO is fast enough to go with these on his best day, but his gait issues make him risky. I'd need a price.
Race 7: CLM HDCP $25,000 to $35,000 - Pick 4
(10) LEGAL BETTOR likely blasts here racing off the Waxman claim and if he can clear, he might be gone. (9) ARUKIDINME CABBIE was cleverly driven in the snowstorm last week and he built an insurmountable lead. The barn is hot, having win with 5 of its last 11 starters so he is a threat to repeat. (5) PRIVATE SCOTT chased the choice home, and he was placed third for interference. He gets returning McNair here and he should be a speed threat. (8) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ couldn’t get going in the snow. He can rebound here, and he would be no surprise.
Race 8: NW $15,700 L5
(9) PIKACHU HANOVER dominated better than these three starts back here and he should blast to the front and lead all the way vs. these. (8) PATRIARCH HANOVER is the other dropper, and he could land in the pocket early here; Exacta factor. (5) DERF HANOVER is sharp, and he can sit a trip and make it into the exotics. (1) HAMMER TIME excelled in the snow, but he was on the better part of the track riding a closer's bias. I'll use him on the bottom.
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Race 9: Claiming $7,000
(7) DIRTY LIL PIGLET was good here Thursday night with the leading driver in the bike and that teamster sticks here. He can move earlier and beat these. (8) POINTTO SWEET LOU is typically tough at this level, and he is the main threat racing off the Auciello claim. (2) ASSASSINS CREED was on the dead inside last time. I can see him rebounding here and landing in the exotics. (5) LIFEGAURD rallied mildly Thursday night. He could sneak into the Super this time.
Race 10: NW $1,500 L3
Tough race to end the multis. (1) OFFICER JONES indicated a potential return to form when he paced a 27 2/5 kicker last time. He may be able to vault past all of these late; slight nod. (7) MORTGAGE MY VILLA is interesting having qualified after being claimed and getting the leading driver tonight; price look. (5) HARRY G was much better last time, and he is hard to leave out starting from the best post. (2) P L JACKSON flashed speed when the front was no good. He is in with a shot tonight. (8) FINAL CHEESERECIPE will likely show speed and he is another to consider in this wide-open finale.

