Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 3/29

Meet Stats: 74 - 210 / $382.80 (-$38.20)
Best Bets: 9 – 20 / $26.40 (-$14,60)
Spot Plays: 8 -21 / $52.40 (+$20.40)
Best Bet: WILDCAT VICTORIA (3RD)
Spot Play: MISTER GODRO (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 4,6,9/3,4,5/2,9/4,10/3,6,8,9 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 3,6/2,4,7/4,9/1,3/1,5,7 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 4,10/3,6,8,9/3,6/2,4,7 = $48
Late Pick 4: 2,4,7/4,9/1,3/1,5,7 = $36

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **$100,000 GTD Pick 5**

(4) JACKSON STORM raced okay after recovering from an early break last time and this is a race where he should have a good chance to control things on the front end if he behaves. I'll give him the nod. (9) WARAWEE WELCOME has raced decently in her two 2021 starts and she fits well here in a race with seemingly few contenders; using. (6) THE WHEEL took some money at the windows last time due mainly to his 27 3/5 kicker on March 15th. He is another who can contend here if he stays flat. (7) SAINT K is improving but he has frequent gait issues. I'd demand a price if I liked him.

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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(3) LIKEAFREIGHTTRAIN had little chance trying to close into a sub-56 back 1/2 in his debut but he did kick home in 27 3/5 and I'll take a swing with him in a wide-open race. (4) CONFIDENCE MAN closed ground late in a fast race that was dominated by a well-meant 1 to 9 winner. He is in the mix here. (5) SOCIAL THOUGHT exits the same race as the choice and had a similar trip. He has a much better chance here starting with his nose on the gate. (7) FOUR FINGER FLOYD is a homebred making his debut that is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 3: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(2) WILDCAT VICTORIA, game in defeat in a fast race in her first start back, looks solid in this spot as the likely chalk. (9) THE KINGS QUEEN had little chance of closing into a 28-flat kicker in her first start back and this is the type that McNair will fire out with from post 9; using. (1) ZIPPER SWEATER can go much better here if she avoids being first up again and she isn't out of this. (6) MIAMI SEELSTER showed a bit of talent last year at two and her qualifier was okay. Give her a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) - Pick 4

(4) CENTURY HIGHNESS made two moves while bossing a field of maidens in an impressive win. She will need to be faster to win this but she has licence to improve in this third start and she gets top call. (10) TWIN B SHOWTIME has been excellent in his two local starts and he has the best form but post 10 involves plenty of risk and I'm not willing to take a short price here. (8) LADY TITAN has been racing decently vs. tougher and she's in the mix but she is another who must overcome a bad post. (2) HALLADAY DREAM looked good beating a weak field when coming back on only three days rest. I'll use him underneath in this spot.

Race 5: CLAIMING HANDICAP $8,000 to $10,000

(6) MISTER GODRO goes for a barn that does well with fresh claims and there's a good chance that he'll go right down the road tonight. (8) FIRST CLASS HORSE got a brutal trip last week now he drops in for a tag in a race where he should be able to get position near the front leaving the gate. He can be a threat tonight. (3) MACH MESSIER has been in the hunt at this level in recent starts and he should be part of the Tri or Super tonight. (9) REAL WICKED gets McClure here racing off the claim but post 9 likely relegates him to a small share.

Race 6: NW $18,500 L5 or $30,500 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50K - Pick 5

(6) ALL WRAPPED UP flashed speed vs. the best trotters on the grounds last time and this is a much better spot for him tonight; top call. (3) ONEY HALL will likely win this if he stays flat but he has broke in the exact same spot in four of his last five starts and that is a hard habit to break for a creature of habit. I wouldn't take a short price here. (2) KAMERAN HANOVER is in excellent current form and he should be coming late again; upset chance. (5) BAUTISTA is in the exotics mix here stepping up off a sharp win.

Race 7: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

(7) WINE AND CHEESE is related to several solid racehorses including Naughty Lady B, who earned all of her $255K racing locally. I'll take a swing with this debutante in a race that doesn't appear to be a tough spot. (4) BET LIGHT improve sharply in her second start and she should be a threat tonight. (2) GOOD NIGHT MOON faces maidens for the first time after being in two OSS Gold races last year and she would be no surprise in this spot. (8) BOTTOMOFTHENINTH is worth a look for the exotics after making up a lot of ground late in her most recent start.

Race 8: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,200 L10

This race is likely going to shape up as a battle between class droppers (4) REGAL SON, who gets McNair back, and (9) PLAY JET RAY who picks up Henry. I'll give a slight nod to the former based on post position but use both on multi-race tickets. (5) CORTEZ THE KILLER also drops and he showed speed when facing better last time but I prefer to use him underneath tonight. (3) BIG BANG BOOM typically leaves quickly to get position then lands a spot in the top four. He should be part of the Super.

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Race 9: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(3) BETTIM AGAIN lived up to the hype last week and easily converted as the 2 to 5 choice. He likely won't get the same soft first 1/2 tonight, but he does have upside and he can beat these. (1) NO PLAN INTENDED's head win was easier than it looks on paper and he figures to be the main threat to the choice. (4) CARD SWAP was no match for the choice last week but he wasn't beaten far, either. He should be in the exotics mix again. (5) MAKE SOME WAVES had a decent season racing on the Prairies last year but he faces some sharp rivals for this 2021 debut; using on the bottom.

Race 10: NW $13,800 L5 or $24,000 L10 or NW $95,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(7) HOT WHEELZ has been nicely tripped out by Jamieson to take two straight and the jump in class should ensure that he offers a square price again. He can notch the threepeat if he gets out into a live flow. (5) GRANDMA HEIDI put up some big fractions from the 8-hole and almost lasted. From a much better post she has a chance to get a breather and she should be the one to catch. (1) P L JILL would beat this field the majority of the time if she brought her best race. If she wakes up tonight. (4) ONLY FOR JUSTICE woke up on the class drop for a barn that has been going well lately and he isn't without a chance here. (2) TOCCOA FALLS is right there every week but this is a tougher spot tonight and I can only use him on the bottom.