Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 3/14

Meet Stats: 114 - 361 / $621.30 (-$100.70)

Best Bets: 14 - 33 / $45.40 (-$20.60)

Spot Plays: 12 - 33 / $81.80 (+$15.80)

Best Bet: SOVERATO (3RD)

Spot Play: SOMETHING ROYAL (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,4/2,4/6/3,5/2,3,9 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 2,5/1,2,3/3,5/5,7/3,6,7 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 3,5/2,3,9/2,5/1,2,3 = $36

Late Pick 4: 1,2,3/3,5/5,7/3,6,7 = $36

Race 1: NW5 (F&M7) or $82,000 (F&M $87,500) LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) IGLARE AM had a productive sophomore season and her 1:56-flat qualifier signals that she is ready to roll; top call. (1) HONE THE TONE easily handled some of these last time and he should be right there again racing on or near the front; using. (7) URNTROBLE HANOVER seems to fit well here but his racing style frequently puts him behind the eight ball; using underneath. (2) HARRY made an uncharacteristic break at the start last week, losing all chance. His typical rally gets him a share here if he stays flat.

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Race 2: NW $22,500 L5 or $30,000 L10 AE: NW7 or $130,000 LT

(4) LOCATELLI should get put into this race early on the class drop and I'll give him a slight nod vs. these. (2) ONEY HALL is obviously one of the best in here but he keeps breaking in about the same spot in the lane. Maybe returning driver Henry will have more luck with him tonight; using. (3) TRUFFLES TOO got a beautiful following trip and a clear shot at the winner last week and he couldn't get there. I'll use him underneath tonight. (1) ONLY FOR JUSTICE can pass a few of these and land in the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(6) SOVERATO was bet like he couldn't lose last Thursday but trip didn't work out. He was flying at the wire but ran out of racetrack. He should handle these at a very short price tonight. (2) MACHALKO wasn’t catching the leader last time but he did hold onto 2nd. A similar trip could be in the cards tonight; using underneath. (1) HIGHLAND SUNSEEKER was only a neck behind the choice and he should be an exotics factor again. (3) LE GEANT should be good for a small share here.

Race 4: NW $6,000 L5 or $16,500 L10 - Pick 4

(3) MISTER OF ALL drops again and his late rally should play well vs. these; top call. (5) STAY CLOSE, a new acquisition for The Stable, is an obvious good fit here, but he has missed close to a month and he could get overbet; your call. (2) GOLD EDITION takes frequent shares racing at this level and he should rally for a piece of this. (6) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE couldn't chase down a leader that has already come back to repeat. He should be part of the Tri or Super.

Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $22,000 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $15,000

Two horses stepping up off maiden wins stand out in this field. (3) HOWIES MAN used a big third 1/4 brush to dominate and he gets the call to repeat off that strong effort. (9) CAPTAIN MIKE DEO was confidently driven by Macdonald and he responded with a powerful late surge to grab the win. He should be the main threat despite drawing wide. (2) PICTONIAN THUNDER has shown enough speed in the past to compete with these but it's hard to know what to expect based on his qualifiers. The tote board might provide some clues here. (6) COOLSUNSHINE raced better last week. He could land in the bottom of the exotics again.

Race 6: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 - Pick 5

Foreign invader (2) ELIOTHROPE F qualified faster than tonight's opponents trot in races for purses. He should be tough to beat at a short price. (5) AUSSIE LOVER figures to be the main threat making a multi-level class drop and having won one level higher five starts back. (1) MAGIC WANDA made two moves but she couldn't get past the leader when it counted in the lane. She likely completes a chalky Trifecta here. (3) DEALIN WITH DEWEY, third in three straight, figures land in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 7: NW $9,800 L5 or $26,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000 - Pick 4

(2) KAMERAN HANOVER produced his best effort of the year last time when he stepped up to this level and he could be sitting on a win now; top call. (3) OKEANOS keeps firing sub-28 kickers and that late speed should play better tonight on the class drop; using. (1) ALL WRAPPED UP is sharp but the rail post is tricky for him because he will likely get outleft by several in here. He can win this, but I'd demand a price. (7) DANCER HALL should race better on the drop and land on the edges.

Race 8: F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $15,000

(5) SOMETHING ROYAL fires back quick after rallying for 3rd when facing better on Thursday night and she gets the nod vs. these. (3) BLINK AND GONE raced well in the Women Drivers race but she couldn't get to a class dropper. She figures to be a threat tonight. (4) YNOTHOS is in good form and she should rally for a share in this short field. (2) COCO BEACH DE VIE is capable of better than she showed last Thursday. Consider using her in the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 9: PREFERRED

(7) DREAM NATION is sharp as a tack and driver Young has been a good partner for him. He could go off as a bit of an overlay here and he has a big shot. (5) PERFETTO stole slow fractions, held the choice off, then missed a week. He is always the one to beat when he is in form. (3) PIKACHU HANOVER made a big middle move but he couldn't hold the choice off late. Another slice is probable for him tonight. (4) PATRIARCH HANOVER tried the front last week and it didn't work. He probably sits and rallies this time.

Race 10: NW $3,500 L5 or $7,000 L10

(7) YACHT SEELSTER returns home and faces much easier tonight. He should wake up in this spot and he could lead these all the way. Stablemates (6) HES SWIFT and (3) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER were game in defeat last week as part of a blanket finish. Either would be no surprise tonight. (5) JULERICA’S best effort puts him right there with these but it's hard to know what to expect in this 2022 debut. I think he’ll need one and he probably closes late for a share. (10) HERVEY HANOVER’s late kick can get him a share on the class drop tonight; using underneath at a price.