Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 3/13

Top Pick Stats: 114 - 349 / $565.60 (-$132.50)

Best Bets: 20 - 32 / $81.50 (+$17.50)

Spot Plays: 5 - 32 / $30.30 (-$33.70)

Best Bet: LOOK AT DAT KAT (1ST)

Spot Play: NUZZLE LOADER (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 3/3,4,6/3,6/4,7,8/5,9 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 5,6/3,4/2,9/4,6/5,6,7 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 4,7,8/5,9/5,6/3,4 = $4.80

Late Pick 4: 4,6/5,6,7/4,9/8,9,10 = $7.20

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) LOOK AT DAT KAT is one of the sharpest racehorses around right now and it will be hard to repel his wicked late kick as he shoots for a fourth straight win. (9) ILLUSIONAL set the pace, but he couldn't go with the choice late. Does J Mac look for a helmet this time? (1) STORM TROTTER was coming on late, but he never looked totally comfortable trying to rally up the pylons late. He rarely throws in a clunker, and he figures to take another slice tonight. (5) PUBLICITY SEEKER split the top two choices last week and he figures to be in the mix again.

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Race 2: Horses that have started for a purse of $7,500 or less in 1 of L4

(4) FINAL CHEESERECIPE gets McNair back tonight and he wins this if he can repeat last week’s good effort. (3) CYCLONE JOE gets into this race by racing for $7,500 once and he should get put into position early by J Mac. I could see him tripping out on the choice's back and capitalizing late. (6) NIGHT WATHCMAN fired off the gate last time in London, but he had company in a tough field. He eventually backed up, but this is an easier spot, and he is in with a chance tonight. (7) ICENEEDSWHISKEY can get position early here and ride it to a small share.

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Race 3: NW $14,000 L5

(3) OKEANOS keeps rolling and Roy has been a perfect pilot for him. I'll stick with him. (6) DERF HANOVER, 2nd to classy Pikachu Hanover last week, figures to be the main threat here. (5) TOKYO SEELSTER should move up on the driver change to Macdonald and he could upset with the right trip. (1) PATRIARCH HANOVER should be on or near the lead and he is in the exotics mix again.

Race 4: NEW HOLLAND TROTTING SERIES NW $150,000 in 2022 Leg 2 - Pick 4

(4) SERMON made an uncharacteristic break in the opening leg of this series. If he stays flat here, he will likely be tough starting from a good post. (8) RITSON was confidently driven to win by Young in the first leg and his sharpness and consistency make him an obvious player here. (7) HP MAMA B is another that broke last week that will contend here if she stays trotting. (2) ITSTIMETOGOHOME got a clear run up the inside in the lane and J Mac got him home at a big price. I prefer to use him underneath here, but he is one of several in with a shot in a good betting race.

Race 5: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $16,000

(5) JIM STRIKESITRICH is on a roll, and he should be very tough to beat if he stays as sharp as he has been the past two weeks. (9) STEWS WATCHING is the other razor-sharp horse in here in what appears to be a two-horse battle. (8) BETTORS VICTORY brings good form with him from Flamboro, and he picks up Roy, who will likely put him into play leaving the gate. I see him getting a good share here. (3) MISTER GODRO should sit a trip racing close to the front and land in the exotics.

Race 6: NW $9,200 AE: OPT CLM $45,000 or starters for a purse of $13,000 last start - Pick 5

(6) HAMMER TIME beat better two starts back, albeit riding a bias created by a snowstorm, and he figures to be the one to beat on the class drop tonight. (5) JACK FIRE is the other dropper that should improve sharply here. He should be the one to fend off late in the mile; using. (8) ROWLEN fits okay in this spot and Young will probably get him position early. He can take a share. (1) SIZZLEN HOT HERBIE couldn't be any sharper, but he faces tougher now and he will likely close late for a small share.

Race 7: NW $1,750 L3

(3) NUZZLE LOADER's most recent start in the snow (on a night where they canceled the second half of the card) is a toss. If he races back to his second line down on the page, he beats there. (4) ACTOR HANOVER paced a good back 1/2 into an accelerating late pace in a race won by a class dropper and he seems to fit well here; using. (9) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES drops but draws worst. I'll use him underneath. (6) GOOD AND SWEET got a great trip last week and he loomed at a big price at the head of the lane but then hung. Another small share is likely for him.

Race 8: NEW HOLLAND TROTTING SERIES NW $150,000 in 2022 Leg 2

(9) TOCCOA FALLS looked a winner, but he got picked off by a rival that never left the pylons. He figures to be sharper now and he should be tough in here. (2) LOCATELLI should be better in this second start back and he is the other one that I'll use in this second start back. (4) HP ROYAL THEO gets off the rail and he can get a better trip now racing closer to the front. He’s in the exotics mix. (6) DEALIN WITH DEWEY parlayed a perfect trip into and Exacta finish. He can get another good trip here and land in the Tri.

Race 9: NW $1,750 L3 - Pick 4

(4) SECOND BRUISER got a tough trip and missed a check last week, but that allows him to drop to this bottom conditioned level now; top call. (6) ISLANDSPECIALMAJOR is the other dropper that rates highly and I could see these two battling for the win here. (5) WORLD FOR TWO qualified nicely for this return. He figures to be part of the exotics. (1) ALMOST THERE BOSS was interestingly claimed by his breeders, and he is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics at a price here.

Race 10: CLM HDCP $25,000 to $30,000

(7) I AMA ROCKET got hung out and cooked early racing off the Schneider claim now he adds Lasix. I think he bounces back here. (6) FROWNIES MIRACLE is really sharp right now and he draws best. He should be a big threat tonight. (5) NIGHT CLUB HANOVER had no shot racing in a snowstorm from post 10. That race is best tossed, and he is a contender tonight picking up the leading driver. (4) SPEAKING OF ART frequently burns money. I'll play to beat him in the multis.

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Race 11: NW $9,200 L5 AE: OPT CLM $45,000 or starters for a purse of $13,000 Last start

(4) ONEY HALL got a great tightener in racing on the worst part of the track in the snow. Trying to lead all the way was mission impossible that night. He should be sharper here and he is the one to beat. (9) MUSCLE FASHION should blast on the class drop and I can see him getting a perfect trip following the choice. He is the second one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (5) MR CONTESTANT is another dropper that should contend for a share in this spot; using underneath. (3) TEXACO MAN is sharp, and he should rally again to land in the Tri or Super.

Race 12: CLM HDCP $17,000 to $22,000

This race looks like it will set up for a closer, and class dropper (8) FLASHY DUDE gets the nod to nail the speed. (9) COIN FLIP goes to Waxman via a claim after not firing last week. He is another that should be passing rivals late; using. (10) CHOREOGRAPHER will blast but he is likely to have some competition for the lead. He should offer a decent price and he isn't impossible in this spot. (7) ROYAL RENEGADE comes off a sharp effort at Flamboro on Thursday night and he is in the exotics mix here. (2) UNIQUE BEACH keeps flashing speed, and he should stick around to take another share tonight.