Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 2/7

Meet Stats: 56 - 190 / $312.30 (-$67.70)

Best Bets: 6 - 18 / $21.30 (-$14.70)

Spot Plays: 5 - 18 / $40.00 (+$4.00)

Best Bet: ZIG ZAG (3RD)

Spot Play: RESPECT OUR FLAG (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,5,7/2,4,6/2/4,7/1,2,7 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 6,7/5,8/2,5,7/2,7,8,9/4,9 = $19.20

Early Pick 4: 4,7/1,2,7/6,7/5,8 = $24

Late Pick 4: 5,8/2,5,7/2,7,8,9/4,9 = $48

Race 1: Popup 1st Leg Claiming $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) ALWAYS BEEN CRAZY has won 10 of 21 starts since starting his career 0 for 12 and while he faces tougher tonight, he might be up to it; top call. (3) BELIEVE IN BRIAN was a good 2nd here on Thursday night to a strong winner who was notching his second straight victory. He should be the main danger. (7) THE SHINING had an impossible trip last time. He is capable of better and worth a look for the early Pick 5. (4) HOKIE DOKIE has won three of his last five facing easier in London; small share predicted.

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Race 2: Popup 1st Leg Claiming $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT

(6) ELROY SHINER, popular at the claim box last month, comes off a third-place effort in the final of one of these series and he faces easier here; top call. (2) DIAMOND ROCK brings good form in from the 'B' tracks and he figures to be a threat here racing on or near the front; using. (4) SIR A gets post relief and he faced tougher here in the claiming stakes series in January. He has upset possibilities tonight. (3) LET ME SEE should be good for another slice in this spot.

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Race 3: NW $9,000 L5 or $18,000 L8 or NW $50,000 LT AE: Popup Starters

(2) ZIG ZAG was an easy winner last time he raced in this class nine starts back and getting post relief here, I expect he will get an aggressive Henry steer. (3) MUSCLE FASHION made a couple of moves when 2nd at this level two starts back and he can be an Exacta factor here. (10) FREE WILLY HANOVER would be rated higher from a better post. From out there, I can only use him underneath. (6) L DEES PATRICK has been on a big roll but he faces much tougher here and this is where I think his bubble gets burst.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $9,000 LT - Pick 4

(4) P L PHEONIX raced better last week when 2nd to a big chalk and he should graduate at a short price here in a spot where he looks clearly best. (7) BANKROLL SEELSTER qualified nicely for this and he gets a better post. He should be an Exacta factor. (6) BELECHICK was used up early in the same race and he can land in the exotics here if he gets an easier trip, which seems likely. (5) MACHALKO figures to land another spot in the Tri or Super vs. this group.

Race 5: Family Day Trotting Series 3YO and 4YO Colts and Geldings

(7) TRUFFLES TOO has been in tough recently facing the likes of Phoenix and Locatelli. This is an easier spot and he is the one they will have to catch. (2) URNTROUBLE HANOVER has the best kick in here but he often is a victim of pace and trip. He has a good chance of rolling by in the lane tonight; using. (1) ITSTIMETOGOHOME wasn't far behind the two choices last time. He has upset potential tonight. (5) AWORLDLY GOODTIMES qualified okay for this after getting trounced on 1/24, likely the result of going too fast early. He can take a share racing close to the front.

Race 6: PREFERRED HANDICAP - Pick 5

There is no sharper trotter on these grounds than (7) SPARTAN GENERAL who seems to win from anywhere off any trip. He is the obvious one to beat here. (6) PATRIARCH HANOVER had clear sailing up the pylons in the lane but he couldn't chase down the choice. That was a good effort for his local debut and he can improve. He is the obvious threat. (5) ONEY HALL was better last week but he couldn't reach the two choices despite following the winner's live cover. I'll use him underneath here. (4) WHITE TIGER will likely get another good following trip and take a small slice.

Race 7: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 - Pick 4

(8) RESPECT OUR FLAG raced first up against a tough class dropper here Thursday night and he hung in there for a share. He looks best vs. these. (5) MAYHEM LIKE ME made a nice late charge in the same race and he gets a better post now. He should be the main danger. (9) IDEAL JET will likely blast off early and try to go down the road. I prefer to use him underneath in this spot. (4) ATTHEBEACH HANOVER finished behind the two choice on Thursday. I can see him rounding out the Super tonight.

Race 8: Popup 1st Leg Claiming $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT

(5) SLICK N SPORTY has won two straight impressively and a threepeat looms here in a spot where he will surely get claimed. (2) THE AMAZINGSANDO disappointed as chalk but he takes a big drop here coming up tagged and he is another that will likely get claimed tonight. He should rebound and he can be a threat. (7) SOUTHERN ROAD TRIP did all the heavy lifting only to be picked off by a rival that rode the pylons for the first 15/16ths of the race. That was a good effort and he is in the exotics mix here. (1) IM THINKING should sit a trip close to the front and he can hang around for a share.

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Race 9: NW $14,000 L5 or $27,500 L9 or NW $80,000 (F&M $105,000) LT AE: OPT CLM $40,000

Tough race here with many possibilities. I'll side with (2) NEVER MIND N who could sit a great trip just off the leader and pounce late. (8) PHOENIX faces tougher here but he is razor-sharp and he might be up to it; using. (7) BUCK DANCER has reached peak form and he isn't out of this but he will likely need a trip to beat these. (9) ALL WRAPPED UP was airborne late last week but he had to come from 4th-over and he could face the same challenge tonight; your call.

Race 10: CLM HDCP $8,500 to $10,000

(9) MISSION THREE got pinned in for most of the mile through no fault of his own last week when the two outside horses floated out and got stuck outside for the entire mile. He was then forced to alter course in the stretch and once he was fed racetrack, he closed fastest. He can beat these and drawing outside will help his price. (4) BOOTS N BRIAN was one of the rivals that kept the choice trapped, but he did race well parked the mile on cover and he was still pacing strong at the wire. He is in with a chance here. (6) ON CRUISE CONTROL got a better trip when racing off the claim and he converted. He is another in with a shot here; using. (5) OLD BUCK raced well off the claim but he was taken by a trainer that 0-3-6 from 29 starts in the past three years. I'll use him underneath here. (10) NO TIME AT ALL is in great from but from out there I can only use him on the bottom in this spot.