Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 2/20

Top Pick Stats: 88 - 248 / $462.80 (-$33.20)

Best Bets: 15 - 23 / $58.80 (+$12.80)

Spot Plays: 4 - 23 / $23.20 (-$22.80)

Best Bet: SHADRACK HANOVER (6TH)

Spot Play: UNIQUE BEACH (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 6,8,9/4,5/1,5,6/4,7/4,8 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 7/4,7,9/3,6/2,9/2,3,4,7 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 4,7/4,8/7/4,7,9 = $2.40

Late Pick 4: 3,6/2,9/2,3,4,7/1,4,9 = $9.60

Race 1: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO OPT CLM $50,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(8) ILLUSIONAL took a lot of action on the driver change to J Mac last time but he never really got into contention. Macdonald sticks and so will I in a race with no standout. (6) SHES BEER LEAGUE had a tough trip from a wide post now she draws best. She should improve here. (9) LILYS LASS took a share after setting some big fractions. She is in with a shot here if she can find a better trip. (10) SIMON GOT LUCKY exits some fast races and gets Roy back. I can see him closing for a share.

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Race 2: Claiming $7,000

I thought (5) ASSASSINS CREED raced decently vs. better last week and he should be tough here on the drop to the bottom claiming level. (4) POINTTO SWEET LOU raced tough here in an $8K claiming on 2/2 and last time he had three weeks between starts he was a winner. He should be the main threat. (7) R BAZINGGA raced well in the rain here on Thursday night. He is in the mix again but I'll use him underneath. (8) LEAVIN BRUISES raced well from the worst post in London last Wednesday. He is worth a look for the exotics here.

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Race 3: NW $8,000 L5 or $87,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(6) HAMMER TIME draws best in a race where there doesn't seem to be many that want to leave quickly. I think Filion blasts and tries to go right down the road tonight. (5) HANG ON BABY drops to a likely spot but her typical racing style often gets her in trouble. She is an obvious threat but she may get overbet. (1) JACK FIRE is another that should be sent forward leaving the gate and he is in with a chance vs. these. (3) AUSSIE LOVER should improve enough on the class drop to land in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 4: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4.

(7) NIGHT CLUB HANOVER took a new lifetime mark in his second start for Moreau in a dominant performance and he is the one to beat here. (4) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ didn't get the best trip in the Popup final but no one was beating the winner anyway. He should be a late threat here. (6) SPEAKING OF ART, 2nd to the choice racing off the Puddy claim, should be part of the Tri again. (9) ARUKIDINME CABBIE raced decently in the Popup final and he can close for another share here.

Race 5: CLM HDCP $11,000 to $14,000

(8) UNIQUE BEACH gets to dodge streaking Coin Flip and he races off the Auciello claim and I can see him wiring these. (4) MISTER GODRO paced his best mile in a while last week and he could score an upset if he can find the pocket early in this mile; using. (5) THEDOGINTHEFIGHT is in solid form and he can close for a slice here. (7) MACHAL JORDAN makes the sixth start of his final racing season as a 14-year-old and he seems likely to close for another small share.

Race 6: NW $16,000 L5 AE: Starters for a purse of $16,000 or less L4 or NW 6 LT - Pick 5

(7) SHADRACK HANOVER trotted a big mile in defeat last week and was unlucky, getting picked off in the final stride by a rival that had a much better trip. He'll be a single for me here getting back to a 7-day rotation. (9) ARRAKIS is very sharp and he has the speed to overcome the widest post. He can be an Exacta factor tonight. (2) TOKYO SEELSTER surged late to beat the choice and he was full of trot but he had an easy trip and found room just in time. I'll use him underneath here. (1) MR CONTESTANT was first up last week. I think he finds a helmet and rallies for a share this time.

Race 7: NW $1,500 L3

(4) WOODMERE FENN raced huge to beat similar two starts back and he gets McClure back tonight. He should be tough in here. (7) NATIONAL DEBT couldn't reach a class dropping winner last week but he kept grinding to the wire. He should be the main threat. (9) MAXIMUMLOVIN drops and he should get put into play early in the mile; using. (10) DANCE MACHINE is another dropper that is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 8: NW $25,000 L5 AE: NW $155,000 LT - Pick 4

This race will likely be a battle between (6) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE and (3) RITSON who were 2-3 behind tough Looks Like Moni last week. Slight nod to the former who was aggressively handled when beating the latter two starts back. (2) ITSTIMETOGOHOME moves into Auciello's barn here probably because Moreau has two others entered and can’t start three. His tactical speed should get him a share here. (5) DEALIN WITH DEWEY missed the top 4 for the first time this year last week. He can get back on track tonight.

Race 9: Horses that have started for a purse of $7,500 or less in 1 of L5

(9) BIG ACE is in easier for this third start back and I think he gets an aggressive Drury steer; top call. (2) NUZZLE LOADER raced tough off the bench in his first start of the year and he should be the main threat. (3) BUGSY MAGUIRE set strong splits as the 1 to 2 chalk last week but didn't have much fight late in the mile. I'll use him underneath here. (4) NONEYABIZZNESS should close for a slice in this spot.

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Race 10: NW $8,000 L5 or $87,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(7) SHESTHELUCKYONE gets the call to repeat here coming off a dominating win where she took a new lifetime mark. (4) TREASURED TEE figures to improve sharply on the class drop tonight and I'll use him on late multi-race tickets expecting an aggressive try. (2) MUSCLE FASHION can improve enough in this second start since returning north to land in the Tri. (3) RADIO LAB is in great form and he could beat this prediction if he gets a good trip.

Race 11: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000

(1) JIM STRIKESITRICH faces tougher tonight, but he will likely get a setup and I see him vaulting past late to score an upset win. (9) COIN FLIP is hard to leave out as he shoots for his sixth win in a row but he could be a bit vulnerable here starting from a wide post. (4) CHOREOGRAPHER got no breathers last week and he is worth a look here at a price. (2) DREW THE DRAGON raced okay when 2nd to the choice and he should be part of the High-5 here. (8) PROBERTS LEGACY was given every chance by Macdonald last week but he flattened out late. I'll use him on the bottom tonight.