Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 2/14

Meet Stats: 60 - 200 / $331.10 (-$68.90)
Best Bets: 6 - 19 / $21.30 (-$16.70)
Spot Plays: 5 - 19 / $40.00 (+$2.00)
Best Bet: HARRY (9TH)
Spot Play: DO YOU SEE IT (6TH)
Early Pick 5: 3,4,5/3,6/3,5,8/1,6,8/4,9 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 5,7/7,8,9/1,2,6/1/1,2 = $7.20
Early Pick 4: 1,6,8/4,9/5,7/7,8,9 = $36
Late Pick 4: 7,8,9/1,2,6/1/1,2 = $18
Race 1: Pop-Up Leg 2nd Leg CLM $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(4) HERESTHATMANAGAIN was taken by Auciello out of a race where he was arguably best last week and he should be tough in here; top call. (3) BLUE MONK fits well here and he gets a good post to work from. He should be a threat racing from close range. (5) FINKLE IS EINHORN must be considered for the exotics moving into the Barrington barn off the claim. (7) ELROY SHINER was bet down to a ridiculous 1 to 5 off the Tierney claim and he couldn't convert. Another small share is likely for him here.
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Race 2: FAMILY DAY TROTTING SERIES 2ND Leg 3&4YO Colts and Geldings NW $60K LT as of 10/31/21
(3) TRUFFLES TOO was well-rated last week and he held his main rival (6) URNTROUBLE HANOVER at bay. More of the same is likely coming here tonight. (5) DEALIN WITH DEWEY was a distant third to the two choices last week and he can round out this Tri again. (1) ITSTIMETOGOHOME is capable of hitting the ticket if he stays flat this time.
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Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000
(8) SPORTY M THREE paced two good qualifying miles for this 2022 debut and I see him turning things around in this spot; top call. (5) BANKROLL SEELSTER didn't show much when he got bet last week but he was too far back and had too many horses in the flow for him to make a real impact. He draws better here and he is in with a shot. (3) HOWIES MAN is another that gets post relief who figures to go better. I can see Roy tripping this one out and rolling by late; using. (6) LE GEANT was only 1/2-length behind the choice on 1/28. He is worth a look for the exotics.
Race 4: NW $6,000 L5 or $14,000 L9 - Pick 4
(1) SHES GOT PIZAZZ raced okay from an outer post when coming off a month break and sick scratch. I'll give her the nod to upset here in a field with no standouts. (8) CINDY LYNN was bet like she couldn’t lose and she converted last week, never looking like she might get beat. The tote board usually tells you if this one is on "go". (6) O NARUTAC PERFETTO is capable of better and he can be dangerous if he gets out into the flow this time; consider for multi-race tickets. (7) GREAT MAGIC dropped and dominated weaker now he steps back up; small share predicted.
Race 5: CLM HDCP $8,500 to $10,000
(4) TAKE THE DEAL was a comfortable winner on Thursday night at Flamboro Downs and these aren’t much tougher; call to repeat. (9) MACHIN A TRICK paced a big mile in defeat last week when coming off a break in stride. Cullen speed blast coming tonight? (6) NOTETOSELF HANOVER passed six rivals in the final 1/4 last week in a decent effort. He can hit the ticket here. (1) SAM MCKEE HANOVER is worth a look for the bottom of the Tri and Super racing off the Hyatt claim.
Race 6: Popup Leg 2nd Leg CLM $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT - Pick 5
(5) DO YOU SEE IT gets McNair tonight and this is the type he can get turned around by being aggressive early. I'll tab him to beat likely favorite (7) THE AMAZINGSANDO, who is another that is likely to get put into this race early. (4) DRAGON THE LINE was a non-threatening 3rd last week and I can see him rounding out the Tri again. (3) SUCRETARIAT is a good one to use on the bottom of the Super. He has been 4th in three of his last four starts.
Race 7: NW $9,000 L5 or $20,000 L8 or NW $80,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $30K or Popup Starters NW $55K in 2021-2022 - Pick 4
(8) PHEONIX drops off a strong effort vs. better and Macdonald surely will be more aggressive with him in this spot; top call. (7) ZIG ZAG trotted a big mile last week but a tripped-out rival got past him late. He should be the main danger here. (9) MR CONTESTANT is interesting because he won at a higher level than tonight's only three starts back. He could go off as an overlay here. Too; using. (5) LIFE IS A FEAST should rally past some of these to take a small share.
Race 8: Popup Leg 2nd Leg CLM $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT
(1) DIAMOND ROCK was overloaded in the pocket last week as the leader tired, to the point where he was tossing his head. He found room eventually, but by then a rival was steamrolling down the middle of the track and it was too late. He should have a big shot tonight. (2) MAYHEM LIKE ME faces easier after cutting a wild 55 1/5 opening 1/2 last week. He should improve sharply vs. these; using. (6) SIR A was first up in the same race and he held well. He should be in the mix here. (3) SIGHTS ON YOU can rally for another small share in this spot.
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Race 9: NW5 or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT
(1) HARRY has developed a potent late kick and Macdonald deployed it to perfection last week. He faces similar here; call to repeat. (6) MAGIC WANDA rallied well last week and the shorter field should help her tonight; Exacta factor. (5) SPUN FROM MAGIC had a clear lead but he couldn't hold off the choice last week. More of the same is probably coming here unless he can find a faster final 1/4. (4) HONE THE TONE had a clear shot at the leader in the lane last week and he spun his wheels; using on the bottom.
Race 10: NW $21,000 L5 or $30,000 L10 or NW $140,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $70,000
(2) DREAM NATION just missed at a similar level two starts back then raced okay in the top class. He looks as good as any here and he will likely offer a square price; top call. (1) LOCATELLI edged the choice and he has done well for The Stable since being bought last fall; using. (9) ONLY FOR JUSTICE is capable at this level if he stays flat, but needed a clean line tonight means he will likely be driven conservatively. I look for him to rally late for a slice. (8) KINGS COUNTY looks good winning his local debut but he loses J Mac for A Mac now; small share predicted. (4) DERF HANOVER should be good for a share at this level, likely racing close to the front.

