Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 1/8

Top Pick Stats: 8 - 20 / $46.70 (+$6.70)

Best Bets: 2 - 2 / $5.80 (+$1.80)

Spot Plays: 0 - 1 / $0.00 (-$4.00)

Best Bet: PATRIARCH HANOVER (4TH)

Spot Play: MACH ART IN MOTION (11TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,7,8/4,5,6/3,6,7,9/5/2,3 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 2,8/6,8/3,5,6/3,7,8/7,8 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 5/2,3/2,8/6,8 = $1.60

Late Pick 4: 3,5,6/3,7,8/7,8/3,6,9 = $10.80

Race 1: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT **Gtd $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) QUEBEC HANOVER blew up as a big chalk and finished with broken equipment after jogging at this level two starts back. I’ll side with him her expecting a better price this time. (8) MERCUTIO looked a sure winner at the 1/16th pole then (7) CRYATAL BALLER, who had an easier trip, kicked in and nailed him on the inside. Either is capable here depending on trip. (4) MATCH MEIF YOUCAN gets Roy in the bike here and she will likely show speed and stick around for a share.

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Race 2: CLM HDCP $30,000 to $40,000

(6) DONTPOKETHEDRAGON was a comfortable winner racing off the Fellows claim, and this field is no tougher; call to repeat. (4) INSTANTANEOUS gets a key driver change to Roy tonight and sharp improvement is likely. He is a possible upsetter to consider for the early Pick 5. (5) ST LADS BEAT IT raced well off the Marfisi claim but he was no match for the choice in the lane. He figures to be the one to catch again and he could improve in this second start off the claim. (7) LYONS KING will likely get positioned near the front early and stick around for a share.

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Race 3: CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000

(6) THEDOGINTHEFIGHT faces easier and draws best and he gets a slight nod to chase them down late. (3) HIGH FLYIN JAMIE is on a nice roll, and he just won at this level as the 1 to 2 chalk racing off the Puddy claim. He is the obvious one to fear. (9) CHOREOGRAPHER won by a football field last time he raced at this level, and he will likely blast and try to last on the class drop. He is another possibility for the early Pick 5. (7) ARTISTIC PICK is worth a look here coming off an improved effort with Macdonald in the bike when 2nd to a 1 to 9 shot.

Race 4: NW $8,500 L5 or $17,500 L8 AE: NW2 in 2023 or OPT CLM $50,000 - Pick 4

(5) PATRIARCH HANOVER couldn’t hold off a sharp class dropper last week, but he looks best here, and he will be a single for me tonight. (3) WALKONTHEMOON, 3rd to the choice last time, can get a good trip racing near the front and he is an Exacta factor. (6) RITSON was okay in his comeback race, and I see him landing in the Tri this time. (8) SOUTHWIND DOMINO is capable of better than he showed at Flamboro on Thursday night; using underneath.

Race 5: Horses that have started for a purse of $9,000 or less L3

(3) CONTROL THE POWER meets a field that he should beat here, and he figures to get an easier trip on the lead; top call. (2) ILLGETMYOWN THANKS gets Macdonald, who won six times here on Thursday night and has won with this gelding four times in the past. He is the other one that I’ll use on multi-race tickets. (10) BETTOR THAN PRIDE dropped to this level, and he was beaten less than two lengths. He is worth using underneath at a price. (1) BETTER BE GOUDA should find a good trip here and land a share.

Race 6: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT - Pick 5

(2) CENTURY JAGUAR has won easily in both starts at this level where he stayed flat, and he is the clear horse to beat here; call to repeat. (8) IF THE SHOE FITS set solid splits and stayed for 2nd behind the choice and he is the logical alternative to the choice. (6) YANK MY HALO produced a good closing kick last time and he should be good for another share here. (4) DELCREST BRENT rarely misses the top four and he is a good one to use on the bottom of Tri and Super bets.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $19,000 to $24,000

(8) DOC HOUSTON jogged and took a new lifetime mark, and the Waxman barn continues to run hot; call to repeat. (6) MUSIC TO MY GEARS was tripped out by Macdonald and he finished fast to also take a new life’s mark. These two will likely battle for the win here. (7) MACH IMPACT will probably close belatedly for another share in this spot. (3) SNAP TEST, racing off the Moreau claim, should be part of the exotics.

Race 8: Horses that have started for a purse of $15,000 or less L3 - Pick 4

(6) MACALLAN raced well in defeat vs. better last time and he is the clear one to beat here. (5) O NARUTAC PERFETTO won well with McNair in the bike here two starts back then made an uncharacteristic break at Flamboro. He would be tough if he can produce the effort from 12/22. (3) DOWEDEALINANDWHY produced his best race in a while last time and he finished fast. He is worth using on late multi-race tickets. (7) CROSSFIT can pass a few of these late and land in the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 9: NW $14,000 L5 or $34,000 L8 AE: OPT CLM $70,000

Class droppers (8) ONEY HALL and (7) TRUFFLES TOO will likely battle for the win here. Slight nod to the former who has finished 2nd in three of the last four Preferreds. (3) LOCATELLI got an aggressive drive last time and it paid off. He is capable of an upset on his best day. (6) WHITE TIGER is another that is dropping from the top class, and he should take a share this time.

Race 10: CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000

(8) FEAR THE DICE has the best form of any of these and the gate speed to get away well from the outside. He is the one to beat. (7) JITTERBUG FLIP probably went too fast to the 3/4 when claimed last week. Borth will put him in good position early and he should be a threat. (1) LIL RED SPORTSTAR often sneaks into the exotics at a big price, and he is worth using underneath here. (5) HES GOT SWAGGER should start quicker here and that makes him worth a look for Tri and Super bets.

Race 11: CLM $8,000

(9) MACH ART IN MOTION raced better last time now he drops in class. This could be a spot where he can pass them all in the final 1/4. Veteran (6) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ got a confidence-building win at Flamboro and he has tons of wins at this track. He would be no surprise here. (3) TRIDENT SEELSTER is capable in this spot and Macdonald will likely find him a good trip; using. (1) FLASH TO THE FINISH jogged with Roy driving three starts back but his next two starts were not good. He is obviously capable on his best, but I’d demand a price here. (5) STREET ART can get a small share here if he gets a better trip than last time.