Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 12/6

Meet Stats: 387 - 1124 / $2,039.80 (-$204.60)
Best Bets: 57 - 102 / $197.90 (-$6.10)
Spot Plays: 26 - 103 / $184.00 (-$22.00)
Best Bet: CHEDDAR BAY (1ST)
Spot Play: PIKACHU HANOVER (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 2/3,5,6/3,6/5,9/4,9 = $4.80
Late Pick 5: 2,4,7/4,7/2,5/1,2/5,6,7 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 5,9/4,9/2,4,7/4,7 = $24
Late Pick 4: 2,5/1,2/5,6,7/2,3 = $24
Race 1: Pop-Up Event Consolation **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(2) CHEDDAR BAY made two moves in defeat last week but he stayed game and he looks best in this consolation. (10) SARATOGA BLUE CHIP was a good 2nd here Thursday night and he should be a threat on the quick return. (3) R BAZINGGA can pace a sub-28 kicker and that makes him worth a look in this spot. (4) UF BETTORS HANOVER was first up last week but that's not his trip. He should be better here and he is in the exotics mix.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: NW5 (F&M7) or $87,000 (F&M $100,000) LT AE: 3YO
(5) SPARTAN GENERAL, the lone four-year-old in this field, kicks home fast every week and he gets top billing vs. these. (6) AMAZONE DUHARAS may hold a tactical advantage here as there aren't many in here that typically leave hard and she is a must-use for me. (3) P L OPPORTUNITY could get a pocket ride tonight and that makes her a threat. She is another to consider for the early Pick 5. (1) URNTROUBLE HANOVER was excellent in the Harvest Series, but these are tougher; small share predicted.
Race 3: F&M Claiming $15,000 for NW $70,000 LT
(3) SOMETHING ROYAL is on a roll for Moreau and she looks good in here as she seeks a threepeat; top call. (6) COMING YOUR WAY looked loaded the entire mile last week and she sailed by to win when claimed. Driver Sorrie has been doing well here since getting more business recently and she should be the main danger. (7) KOUNNIS shows speed every week and she regularly takes shares. I'll use her underneath tonight. (1) GOLDEN LEADER could get a good trip racing near the front and take a share.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 4: NW $19,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000 - Pick 4
This race looks like one that will set up for a closer, and the improving (5) PIKACHU HANOVER gets the nod. (9) ONLY FOR JUSTICE got a brutal park job last week which will boost his price tonight. I'll use him as a multi-race price option. (4) REFI should go better here starting from an improved post and I see him closing for a share. (8) WHITE TIGER should be in the mix if he stays on stride tonight; using underneath.
Race 5: Pop Up Event Final
(4) MACHDAVID won from what looked like an impossible spot last week and his price should be good here because his final time was much slower than the other division winner. (9) INTRIGUED AGAIN changed barns after a private sale, added Lasix, raced out of the Auciello barn, and powered his way to a new lifetime mark. He is the one to beat tonight. (10) WILDRIVERBUMBLEBEE was no match for Intrigued Again last week and he draws worst here. At least his price will be much better if you still like him. (6) GREAT SOMEWHERE looked dynamite last week but that was the weakest division; small share predicted tonight.
Race 6: NW $8,500 L5 or $17,000 L10 OPT CLM $25,000 - Pick 5
(4) MR CONTESTANT jogged at this level two starts back when racing off the claim and he should be tough vs. this group. (2) GRANDMA HEIDI could be a big chalk on the multi-level class drop here and she will likely be the one to catch as McNair should be looking to control the pace. (7) GLOBETROTTING draws better and faces easier. She should be right there tonight if she stays flat; using. (5) SOMBRE can pass a few of these and close for a share.
Race 7: Harvest Series Final Ont. Sired 3YO Fillies
Trip didn't go (4) STONEBRIDGE STRONG's way last week but she is still the best filly in this series in my opinion and I see a more aggressive steer coming tonight; top call. (7) ALL MUSCLE N SASS got the trip to beat the choice but she is much-improved in the Cullen barn and she should be the main danger tonight. (2) EQUINOX ANNIE should be the pacesetter again tonight and stick around for a share. (1) DOING IT ALL should get another following trip and take a slice.
Race 8: Pop Up Event Consolation - Pick 4
(5) THRILLING TIMES paced a winning mile last week but there wasn't much he could do when one rival flashed home in 26-flat. He gets the nod here. (2) NIGHT WATCHMAN improved in the Moreau barn, but he wasn't going to win a 1:51 mile racing first up. Off that solid try, he rates highly tonight. (1) QUICK TOUR will be closing again and he should be part of the exotics. (4) CAPITANO ITALIANO should improve enough against these to take a small share.
Race 9: PREFERRED
(1) PERFETTO is the current king of this class and he seems to race better as the weather gets colder. He should prove tough to beat racing on the engine or out of the pocket. (2) ONEY HALL should be the main threat and he has handled the choice in the past; using. (3) ALL WRAPPED UP will be flying late again but he is at a tactical disadvantage in a short field; using underneath. (6) DREAM NATION is in super form right now and he should be part of the Super at a minimum.
Race 10: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000
(6) OUTKAST BLUE CHIP jogged two starts back when racing out of the Auciello barn and that trainer re-claimed him last week. He is the one to beat here. (7) MACH IMPACT should be the main threat for the hot Barrington barn; using. (5) LOVEMYROCKINBIRD was first up racing into the teeth of a 26 4/5 third 1/4 and that wasn't going to work. He should be closer tonight. (4) QUAN BLUE CHIP should close again for another share vs. these.
Race 11: NW $5,750 L5 or $10,100 L10
(2) POINTOMYGRANSON was game in defeat last week when trying to chase down the odds-on chalk. He can lead these all the way. (3) SIDDHARTHA is in sharp form and likely to be the one the choice needs to fend off late; Exacta factor. (10) CASIMIR RICHIE P should blast for position again and he is worth using underneath. (6) HERVEY HANOVER can take a share here on the class drop, likely passing horses late. (1) MAJOR HILL fits okay vs. these and he can land in the High-5.

