Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 12/5

Meet Stats: 644 - 1945 / $3,227.10 (-$662.90)

Best Bets: 100 - 183 / $335.10 (-$30.90)

Spot Plays: 44 - 185 / $300.70 (-$69.30)

Best Bet: HP ROYAL THEO (6TH)

Spot Play: ROWLEN (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 1/2,8/3,5/1,5,9/7,9,10 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 4/3,5,7/5,6/6/3,7,8 = $3.60

Early Pick 4: 1,5,9/7,9,10/4/3,5,7 = $27

Late Pick 4: 3,5,7/5,6/6/3,7,8 = $3.60

Race 1: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) BETTOR NOTBITTER A was claimed by a hot barn that can move one up sharply immediately. This isn't a tough spot and he will be an early single for me in the Pick 5. (6) ROYAL RENEGADE cut a big opening 1/2 and he paid the price for it late in the mile. I see him getting an easier trip and lasting longer in this short field. (3) STATE OF PLAY will probably sit and rally late again for a slice. (4) ALLGONOWHOA briefly looked like he was going to light up the board as a 95 to 1 upsetter last week but he snatched defeat from the jaws of victory to remain winless in 2022. Another small share is likely for him tonight.

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Race 2: NW $12,000 L5 or $27,500 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $16,000 or less in 1 of L4 or NW $105,000 LT

(8) WHITE TIGER takes a big drop here and he should boss these on the engine. (2) HANG ON BABY is razor-sharp and she should be the main threat to the choice tonight. (5) THE LIONKING AS has been right there in two straight starts and he should be in the exotics mix again. (4) ITSTIMETOGOHOME should be close throughout and land in the Tri or Super.

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Race 3: CLM HDCP $11,000 to $14,000

(2) COIN FLIP goes for a hot barn racing off the claim and he gets the leading driver. He should be the one to beat in this spot. (5) MACH ART IN MOTION raced great winning off the claim last week and he is hard to leave out of the early Pick 5. (1) BIG JOURNEY has been closing well in recent races and he should be heard from late again here; using underneath. (7) SIGHTS ON YOU will probably flash speed again and stick around for a small share.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000 - Pick 4

(9) SIMCOE SEELSTER is in terrific form and he will likely offer a good price starting from a wide post tonight; call to repeat. Sophomore (5) LOOKS LIKE MONI is obviously fast enough to contend vs. these, but he has missed more than a month, so what price would you accept? (1) MAJESTIC J is another three-year-old that should be in the mix here but recency is also an issue here; your call. (2) BETTINA HANOVER is on a roll but these are tougher and she will likely finish on the edges this time.

Race 5: NW $2,480 L3

(7) TAYLORS CREDIT has been producing some big late wide moves in London recently and I'll take a price stab with him in a race with no standout. (9) BOOTLEGGER CHARLIE is in easier and Roy will put him into play leaving the gate. He is in with a decent chance in this spot. (10) MAXIMUMLOVIN raced better last week, laying close to fast fractions. He could be a speed threat here at a price. (5) POINTOMYGRANSON is capable vs. these on his best day but he has been getting some tough trips lately. I think he sits and rallies tonight.

Race 6: NW $12,000 L5 or $27,500 L8 or NW $105,000 LT AE: Starters for a purse of $16K or less in 1 of L4 - Pick 5

Last time (4) HP ROYAL THEO raced this low (9 starts back), he dominated from start-to-finish. He should be tough to beat as the chalk tonight. (3) RESOLUTE BAY continues to race well and he can be an Exacta factor here. (5) HAMMER TIME looks for the repeat at this level but these are tougher; small share predicted. (2) MUSCLE FASHION was first up last week and that's not his trip. He can leave for position, take a following trip, and land in the exotics tonight.

Race 7: NW $6,300 L5 or $13,600 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000 - Pick 4

This is a good spot for (5) ROWLEN, who should get a favorable trip racing near the front; top call. (3) ANDY OVER closed well now he gets off the rail. He should be heard from late here; using. (7) AUSSIE LOVER tripped out to beat easier but he is fresh and sharp. He’s in the mix here. (8) TEXACO MAN will likely rally from the back to take a small share.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000

(5) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ was on fire racing off the claim now he changes hands again. He is capable of maintaining his form in the new barn; a threepeat looms. (6) QUAN BLUE CHIP couldn’t be much sharper right now and he figures to be the main danger here. (2) REAL WICKED steps up off the claim but he is sharp and he can rally for a small slice here. (3) SPEAKING OF ART should rally late to land on the edges again.

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Race 9: PREFERRED

(6) H P MAMA B is a likely repeater here after dominating most of these last week. (1) LOGAN PARK broke in the lane but he was not going to hold off the choice if he stayed flat. I would demand a price here. (5) LOCATELLI is in solid form and he should produce a good rally here in this short field; exotics factor. (3) TRUFFLES TOO is sharp and his good tactical speed will get him in position to take another good share here.

Race 10: Popup Final NW $35,000 in 2022

(3) NEVER MIND N, an easy winner in both preliminary legs of this series, is strictly the one to beat here. (8) LOOK AT DAT KAT was closing last week but the choice was too strong. He could win here if there is some midrace battling. (7) SOUTHWIND CAESAR was first up in that same race and he didn't miss 2nd by much. He is worth a look at a price tonight. (2) AWORLDLY GOODTIMES was 2nd in the slower division last week and I see him closing for a slice tonight. (9) CASCADA stole some soft fractions last week now he draws widest. I’ll use him on the bottom of the High-5 tonight.