Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 12/21

Meet Stats: 382 – 1243 / $2,164.50 (-$321.50)
Best Bets: 60 – 111 / $194.80 (-$27.20)
Spot Plays: 22 - 114 / $180.40 (-$47.80)
Best Bet: BUCK DANCER (8TH)
Spot Play: LEVY TAYLORE (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,9/3,6,7/1,5,6/5/2,5,7 = $10.80
Late Pick 5: 1,6,7/1,5,6/2/1,3,4/4,5 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 5/2,5,7/1,6,7/1,5,6 = $27
Late Pick 4: 1,5,6/2/1,3,4/4,5 = $18

Race 1: F&M NW9 or $100,000 LT **$100,000 Pick 5**

(9) NIMBUS DEO easily beat many of these last week after starting from an outside post. She should be tough right back. (2) SWEET CHAPTER made a late move to nab 2nd to the choice last week. She could be closer this time if the choice gets stung early. (7) H P BRUXELLES should show speed again here and if she and the choice hook up early, it could set things up for a closer. (5) DELILAH SEELSTER has missed some time but she could pass a few of these and land in the Super.

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Race 2: CLAIMING HANDICAP $25,000 to $30,000

(7) CINNAMACK should get better position early in this short field and I'll give him the call to rebound in this spot. (6) CHOREOGRAPHER is a need-the-lead type who might get a better trip on the engine this week; using. (3) LEGAL BETTOR beat the two choices last week when claimed and he's hard to leave out off that gritty effort. (2) MACHIN A TRICK closed nicely for a share last week and I see the same for him tonight.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: 2YO and 3YO FILLIES NW1 or $9,800 LT

(5) BOTOX BEAUTY, a $50K Harrisburg buy, showed enough speed in her lone qualifier to contend at first asking and this isn't a tough spot; top call. (1) MY MOTHER PEARL shows the best recent form and she should contend, but the rail post here isn't the best for one that hasn’t shown much gate speed (as you can see from her most recent start from post #1). I won't take a short price with her. (6) BOTTOMOFTHENINTH was a nose behind the choice in the 12/11 qualifier and she has an experience edge on her. She is on my early Pick 5 ticket. (10) BETTOR COUNTRY will likely fare better here getting away from wide posts but a smaller share is likely for her.

Race 4: CLAIMING $8,000 - Pick 4

(5) LEVY TAYLORE was re-claimed by trainer West last time and he had him rolling at Flamboro Downs in his two previous starts. I'll give him the nod here. (8) AMERICAN RISK gets his nose back on the gate after being claimed and he figures to be a threat in this spot; using. (9) SIMON SAID is worth considering on the class drop despite drawing widest. He could get a more aggressive steer from Jamieson here, especially if there are claims entered on him. (10) DARKEST SECRET also drops and he should be good for a share here if he gets a reasonable start from the second tier.

Race 5: NW3 (F&M5) or $45,000 (F&M $56,250) LT

(7) MAJESTIC SUNRISE N was perfectly driven last week and he always looked the winner in the final 1/4. If he picks up live cover again tonight, he will be hard to hold off. (2) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE couldn’t find a spot to drop into early but it didn't matter as he parked the mile, made a late wide move and still got up to win. He should be a tough rival despite moving up one level. (5) TOCCOA FALLS broke while on the move and he isn't out of place in this spot. He is another in with a shot here. (4) FRANKS ANGEL is always in good position and that makes him a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri or Super.

Race 6: F&M NW5 or $87,000 - Pick 5

(7) TOWN DELINQUENT is razor-sharp right now and she gets the call to notch a threepeat. (6) LYONS TILT HANOVER was no match for the strong winner of the Harvest Series. She fits well here and she will be heard from. (1) WINGDING HANOVER gets post relief tonight and she should work out a better trip. She has upset possibilities here. (5) AMERICAN TOUR N tripped out perfectly to beat easier last week. She can get another good trip here and land in the Super.

Race 7: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,400 L10 - Pick 4

(6) ST LADS THRILLER was game in defeat in a fast mile last week and he gets top call vs. this group. (5) AMERICAN HUSTLE was a game 2nd two starts back at this level and he will likely be the one to catch here. (1) CARSONS SHADOW passed most of them after starting last and he gets an improved post here. He should be a threat this week; using. (2) FASHIONONTHEBEACH gets a driver change to the top teamster here in a spot where he seems to fit well and he is another in with a chance.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 8: NW6 or $75,000 (F&M $100,000)

(2) BUCK DANCER comes in off two first-over wins in a row which you almost never see at this track; a threepeat looms. (6) HAYEK has the speed to contend and he should be the main threat if he is sharp enough coming off a break. (3) NEVER MIND N was a distant second to the choice last week and he should be part of this Tri. (1) ARCLIGHT HANOVER can close for another small share in this spot.

Race 9: NW $30,000 L5 or $245,000 LT AE: OPT. CLAIMING $80,000

(4) EASY LOVER HANOVER looked terrific winning his second straight last week and with the sharp late speed he has been flashing he should be hard to hold off here, too; top call. (1) HAIL CHRISTIAN N was a solid 2nd to Sintra last time and although he missed a couple of weeks, he should contend here; using. (3) POINTS NORTH is right there every week and he should take at least a share in this field. (2) WHEELS ON FIRE can get a better start this week. He should be in the exotics mix.

Race 10: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $9,700 L9

(5) MACH MY KISS will likely be heavily bet here after finishing 3rd vs. better but she should prove tough to beat in this spot. (4) PREMIER CABERNET has been live in her past two starts but trip didn't work out here. She could surprise if she gets a better trip this time. (3) LYONS HEDGEABET drops to a spot where improvement is very likely but she is more apt to take a smaller share based on this year's record. (9) TAJMEALLOVER made nice late gains despite being out the route last week. She's a good one to use in the bottom exotics rungs at a price. (7) DONTBRUISECARRIE is likely to take a slice on the class drop.