Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 12/2

Top Pick Stats: 612 - 1844 / $3,360.10 (-$327.90)

Best Bets: 86 - 169 / $272.40 (-$65.60)

Spot Plays: 41 - 166 / $352.00 (+$20.00)

Best Bet: JADENSMAGICSTEEL (9TH)

Spot Play: CONTROL THE POWER (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,3/1,5,7/3,7/3,7/8,9 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 2,6,7/4,6,7/3,7/3/1,2,3,6,8 = $18

Early Pick 4: 3,7/8,9/2,6,7/4,6,7 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 4,6,7/3,7/3/1,2,3,6,8 = $6

Race 1: HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED FOR A PURSE OF $15,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 3 STARTS. (W/O $12,750 LAST 5 STARTS N/E) **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) COLLECTOR S was Macdonald’s choice over morning line favorite (1) SERENITY CRUISE here and the nod goes to the former, but both will be used in the early Pick 5. (5) CRYSTAL BALLER dropped and popped, and he fits well enough here to take a share. (7) DERF HANOVER finished 2nd to the choice on 11/15 and he will likely get position early here and stay for a share.

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Race 2: HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED FOR A PURSE OF $9,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 3 STARTS. AE: N/A $1,525 P/S IN 2024. AE: NW $37,500 IN 2024

(1) SAUBLE ACE raced well in defeat at Flamboro on Wednesday night, and he barely squeaks into the conditions of this race; top call. (7) NEEDABANKLOAN was first up last week and that isn’t his best trip. I think he blasts from the outside here and that makes him a threat. (5) PIPEWRENCH CHARLIE should improve vs. these, and he is another that I think will be more aggressive in this spot; using. (2) HUNTER HILL likely takes another following trip and stays for a share.

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Race 3: CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 TO $17,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000.

(7) MACH IMPACT raced well at a big price in several recent starts at this level now he gets Roy in the bike. He will get bet more tonight, but he has a big shot in this spot. (3) HERESTHATMANAGAIN steps up off two sharp wins, but he loses J Mac. The driver change will help his price and he should contend again; using. (1) MACH JACOBS is worth a look for the exotics on the barn change to Fellows tonight. (4) YOU CAN HAVE ITALL gets Macdonald and drops in for a tag, but based in recent form, I prefer to use him underneath.

Race 4: NW $2,500 LAST 5 STARTS. AE: NOT AVERAGING $985 PER START IN 2024 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: OPT. CLM. $20,000 - Pick 4

(3) MISTER MAGIC raced better last week and if he can find anything close to his best form, he will be tough to beat in this spot. (7) SPARKS FLY takes a big class drop here and Hensley will put him in play vs. these. He is an obvious contender that is hard to leave out. (8) KENOGAMI COCO gets a barn change and Roy in the bike, but she is an infrequent winner that is likely to take a slice here. (6) MSFRANNIE frequently finishes on the edges, and she is a good one to use on the bottom.

Race 5: PREFERRED. (HANDICAPPED BY MONEY WON LAST 5 STARTS)

This race should come down to (9) AMIGO VOLO and (8) FASHION FRENZIE, who will likely be racing 1-2 at the 1/2 then settle it in the lane. Edge goes to the former, but I’ll use both on multi-race tickets. (6) SAFE CONDUCT is around the money every week and he should be part of the exotic again. (2) PRINCE OF HONOR closed strongly last week, and he can sneak into the exotics despite the class rise tonight.

Race 6: NW $2,500 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $8,550 LAST 7 STARTS - Pick 5

(7) CONTROL THE POWER popped pocket heading to the 1/2 last week then couldn’t get past the leader. He moves to Team Cullen tonight and that can be the boost that he needs; top call. (6) MAJOR HILL races better (and more aggressively) with Roy driving and he should be the main threat getting that teamster back in the bike tonight. (2) JJ TOMMY comes off a win and gets J Mac who has driven him to victories at this track in the past. He is another in with a shot. (4) BEACHIN LINDY fired a sub-28 kicker last week and he can pass some of these and land in the exotics.

Race 7: NW $28,750 (F&M $22,500) IN 2024 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: NOT AVERAGING $1,615 PER START IN 2024 (MIN 10 STARTS) - Pick 4

(4) TWIN B ARCHIE raced better on the drop last week and he got picked off late. He should be the one to catch here. (6) GOLD EDITION should improve in this spot, and I could see Hudon making an aggressive move at some point of the mile; using. (7) RADIO LAB will likely be the other fast leaver in here and he fits well in this spot. He is the other one I’ll use on multi-race tickets. (5) DELCREST BRENT can pass a couple of these late and land in the bottom of the Super.

Race 8: CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 TO $17,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000

(5) LETS GET ROCKED set some fast fractions and survived last week and he gets the call to repeat as the probable closing speed again. (7) DOUBLE DOWN DUKE left, sat, took a shuffle and re-rallied when 2nd to the choice and he should be the main threat here; using. (4) BIG BULLY had a clear shot at the choice in the lane last week and he couldn’t gain once he popped out of the pocket. I’ll use him underneath. (6) BAD EYE BILL gets post relief here which can lead to him landing a share.

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Race 9: CLAIMING HANDICAP $30,000 TO $40,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000

(3) JADENSMAGICSTEEL gets away from streaking B Stoney here and he should be able to handle this group. (5) TREACHEROUS TOM, who finished 3rd behind the choice last time, likely completes the Exacta here. (2) TANGO SEELSTER got J Mac in the bike and immediately won, but this is a tougher spot; using underneath. (1) THRILLING TIMES raced okay at Flamboro on Wednesday night being parked a long way. He is in the exotics mix here.

Race 10: NW $8,000 LAST 5 OR $22,500 LAST 10 STARTS. AE: NW 7 (FM 9) RACES LIFETIME. AE: N/A $2,690 P/S IN 2023-24. AE: OPT. CLM. $50,000

(2) BELLA CAVALLA races tough every week and she gets post advantage on her main rival (8) ALL GAS NO BRAKES, who edged her last week. Nod goes to the former here. (6) PHEONIX shoots for the threepeat here and his sharp gate speed makes him a player. (1) MASS HYSTERIA will likely have a better late kick on the class drop tonight and she is one to consider at a price for late multi-race tickets. (3) P L RAINBOW DASH raced better last week when closing on the top two. Her 27-flat kicker makes her worth a look.