Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 12/14

Meet Stats: 371 – 1201 / $2,120.40 (-$281.60)
Best Bets: 57 – 107 / $186.70 (-$27.30)
Spot Plays: 21 - 110 / $177.50 (-$42.70)
Best Bet: BUCK DANCER (9TH)
Spot Play: STATE OF MIND (1ST)
Early Pick 5: 1,7/3,6,7/9/1,3,10/6,7,8 = $10.80
Late Pick 5: 1,3,8/2,6,7,8/2,3,5,7/3/2,4 = $19.20
Early Pick 4: 1,3,10/6,7,8/1,3,8/7,8 = $54
Late Pick 4: 2,6,7,8/2,3,5,7/3/2,4 = $32

Race 1: 2 & 3YO FILLIES NW1 or $9,200 LT **$100K GTD Pick 5**

(7) STATE OF MIND missed time due to sickness between her last qualifier and her debut race but that didn't stop her from winning at first asking. She looks good to double up here but the price drops now. (1) MY MOTHER PEARL gained 8 1/2 lengths on the choice in the back 1/2 but she was just too far behind to threaten for the top spot. She is another whose odds will drop here but she should be the main danger. (5) PASSION N PEARLS flashed early speed vs. the choice and she can take a share here. (9) BETTOR COUNTRY is likely limited to another slice here starting from the outside again.

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Race 2: NW5 (F&M9) or $91,000 (F&M $100,000) AE: ONTARIO SIRED 3YO

(6) H P BRUXELLES was game in defeat last week and she has a good chance to lead these all the way. (7) NIMBUS DEO trotted a big mile considering she was out the route. She should be more aggressive here now that she got a needed clean line out of the way; the main danger. (3) LMC BUMBLE BEE got a rough ride in the Harvest series final. She certainly isn't out of this and she is likely to get a much better trip tonight. (2) SWEET CHAPTER's form is improving but I prefer to use her underneath in this spot.

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Race 3: CLAIMING HANDICAP $25,000 to $30,000

(9) CINNAMACK is hot right now and he has had no problem overcoming outside posts recently; a threepeat looms. (8) CHOREOGRAPHER is sure to be blasting early again and he is the one that will likely have to be caught. (1) U F BETTORS HANOVER is likely to deploy a closing style again and I see him landing in the Tri or Super here. (2) JEWELS DRAGON is another who will be closing late that should be used on Tri and Super tickets.

Race 4: NW3 (F&M5) or $45,000 (F&M $56,250) LT - Pick 4

(3) JULA SHES MAGIC was a strong 2nd in the Harvest series final and she looks best of this group; top call. (1) NORTHERN SULTAN made several moves last time when narrowly defeated and he could take this if he gets an easier trip this week. (10) MAJESTIC SUNRISE N can improve here getting off post 9; upset chance. (9) ROWLEN is hot but starting from out there I see him taking a small share here.

Race 5: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

This is a much easier spot for (7) DENALI SEELSTER and Filion is sure to put him into action early this week; top call. (8) OSBORNE SEELSTER was a good 2nd last time he raced at this level and he should be an exotics factor tonight at a price. (6) DREAMY FELLA continues to do enough every week to take a share. He'll pop one of these times; maybe tonight? (5) MAINTENANCE MAN is in solid form and he should make it into the Tri or Super again.

Race 6: PREFERRED - Pick 5

(1) ONEY HALL got bumpy late last time and rolled off stride, perhaps affected by the sloppy track. I'll call him to rebound here. (8) ITS ACADEMIC wasn't affected by shipping and missing 24 days and he should be the main threat again, (3) HEY LIVVY has the speed and talent to beat these at any time and she could be a great price tonight; using. (4) P L JILL is always in the mix for at least a share; using underneath.

Race 7: F&M 5YO and Younger NW5 or $90,000 - Pick 4

(7) MY BABY GIRL was airborne late last week and she need only start a bit better to get the job done tonight. (8) ALLEYESONME AS was following the choice and she could get more aggressive now that she got that clean line; using. (6) MARY KAT is always in the thick of the chase and she is often in the perfect spot coming down the lane. She's hard to leave out. (2) TUAPEKA JESSIE N should be sharper tonight coming back quicker and she is another possibility for the late Pick 4.

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Race 8: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(3) SMOKE N REACTOR N moves inside coming off a good effort and she gets the nod in a tough race. (2) GIGGLE HANOVER blasted, took a tuck into the pocket, then found herself behind a wall of mares in the lane. She has upset potential here. (5) MANHATTAN AGAIN got used up early racing a class higher. She can improve sharply here getting class and post relief. (7) FREE FLYIN TICKET tried to make a big move into an accelerating late pace in what was a good effort and she should get a piece of this.

Race 9: NW 5 (F&M9) or $91,000 (F&M $100,000) LT AE: ONTARIO SIRED 3YO

(3) BUCK DANCER was razor-sharp in his local debut despite missing a month and he gets the call to repeat facing similar. (5) WINGS OF SPEED gets post relief here and he figures to improve tonight; Exacta factor. (4) NEVER MIND N capitalized on a slowing late pace to roll by for a win last week. I see him taking a small share tonight. (6) MIKEY MASS flashed early speed last week and stuck around for a share; consider using on the bottom.

Race 10: F&M NW $5,200 L5 or $10,500 L10

(4) MAJESTIC VIRGIN continues to climb the class ladder and there's no reason to think she won't be tough here as she looks for a threepeat. (2) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN figures to improve on the class drop and she is the second mare that I'll use in the late Pick 4. (9) BETCHA BABY should get an easier trip tonight and she can work her way into the Tri. (1) OK JASMINE can sit a good following trip here and take a small share. (5) DONTBRUISECARRIE is another who figures to finish on the edges and she can round out the Super or High-5.