Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 12/13

Meet Stats: 395 - 1155 / $2,105.90 (-$204.10)

Best Bets: 58 - 105 / $200.70 (-$9.30)

Spot Plays: 28 - 106 / $194.10 (-$17.90)

Best Bet: BUCK DANCER (5TH)

Spot Play: SARATOGA BLUE CHIP (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 4,5/2,4/2,3,7/4,5,6,7/6 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 2,3,5/2,4,5/3/3,4/2,3,5,6 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 4,5,6,7/6/2,3,5/2,4,5 = $36

Late Pick 4: 2,4,5/3/3,4/2,3,5,6 = $24

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M5) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) STORMONT BARBEQUE always looked loaded on cover last week and he exploded to a big win despite having been off for more than a month. If he can repeat that mile, his rivals will be racing for 2nd tonight. (4) ALL MUSCLE N SASS has excelled since moving into the Cullen barn and she is the one to fear coming off a strong winning effort in the Harvest series final. (2) DEWY DEO is showing signs of improvement for trainer/driver Hudon. I can see him hitting the ticket tonight. (1) CASH HUDSON will likely look for a helmet to follow tonight. He should take a share.

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Race 2: NW $18,000 L5 or $29,500 L10 or NW 5 or $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000

(2) LOCATELLI was patiently driven in his first start for new connections and he made a nice late charge for 2nd despite having missed more than a month. I think he gets more aggressive now and he gets the nod tonight. (4) SPARTAN GENERAL got too good of a trip last week to be denied. He has really blossomed in the latter half of the year and he is the one to beat; using. (5) ZIG ZAG should be blasting for position here and he can get a good enough trip to land in the Tri. (1) ON THE ROPES should be part of the exotics if he stays flat this week.

Race 3: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000

(3) ROYAL RENEGADE comes up tagged for the first time since June 2019 when he won in 1:51 flat vs. similar company. He will likely be on go leaving the gate and he is the one to beat here. (2) MONTY MONO moves to the Auciello barn and that could lead to immediate improvement; using. (7) MACH IMPACT has been on a roll for a high-percentage barn and he is hard to leave out of the Pick 5. (6) OUTKAST BLUE CHIP can take a share racing off the Shepherd claim.

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Race 4: Claiming Pop Up Event for $15,000 Claiming who are NW $30,000 LT - Pick 4

(5) ALWAYS BEEN CRAZY has been in solid form for several weeks and driver Harris won a stakes series final with a big bomb here on Thursday night. He looks good in this field; top call. (4) WILLIAM ROSS is in an easier spot here and he should bounce back with a better effort racing on or near the front. (7) DIAMOND ROCK has yet to win in six starts for the leading trainer but he should wake up in this easier spot and take at least a share. (6) ESCAPE should pass a few of these late to take a slice.

Race 5: NW $8,500 L5 or $17,500 L5 or NW $60,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(6) BUCK DANCER, clearly the class of this field, was winning in the top class here in March for Auciello. He should handle this group. (1) REFI fits better at this level and he should be forwardly placed early. He should be an Exacta factor. (2) O NARUTAC PERFETTO returns to the big track and he should be good for a share in this spot. (4) POWERFUL SPIRIT didn't get a good start last week and it was game over for him. He is capable but quirky and I'll use him underneath.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 5

I like the way (5) P L OCTAVIUS finished off his comeback mile and I'll give him top call in this field. (2) SUEMACKS ANGEL blew the carbon out of his engine following a six-week break with a win over easier at Flamboro. He flashed higher speed here two starts back and he is a contender. (3) SHES WATCHING ME can improve getting post relief and teamster Sorrie for a return drive. He has upset potential here. (4) BOTTLE ROCKET is capable but no standout and he could get overbet based on some of his beaten times in NYSS action in the summer. I will play to beat him.

Race 7: Claiming Pop Up Event for $15,000 Claiming who are NW $30,000 LT Pick 4

(2) SARATOGA BLUE CHIP, 4th vs. better from the 10-hole last week, should be sent on a speed mission vs, these and he is the one to catch; top call. (4) BELIEVE IN BRIAN figures to wake up facing much easier here but he could get over bet. Let price be your guide here. (5) MELODY MAKER has been in solid form racing against $15K conditioned claimers for several weeks and Henry should supply an aggressive steer. He is the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (8) DETERMINED, claimed by trainer Dixon for this series, is worth using as a price in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 8: PREFERRED

It looks like current Preferred king Perfetto took a week off so that means this should be (3) ONEY HALL's turn and he gets top billing. (5) ROYALTY DEAL raced well first up when beaten a length by the choice last week and he should be in the mix again. (7) ALL WRAPPED UP seems to have better success when he closes from far back. Look for him to be coming on late to take a share tonight. (4) DREAM NATION is another closer that should take a slice tonight.

Race 9: Claiming Pop Up Event for $15,000 Claiming who are NW $30,000 LT

This should be an easy spot for (4) THE SHINING and I expect him to be sent right down the road. (3) DUSTY LANE MORGAN raced okay on the 9th. He is worth a look for late multi-race tickets. (8) IM THINKING left then took a shuffle here on the 26th. He could hit the ticket in this spot. (7) KINCAID SEELSTER comes off a nice Flamboro win and he is another that can make it into the bottom of the exotics.

Race 10: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,900 L10

(2) SPRINGBRIDGE JIM had a decent comeback race vs. tougher, now he draws the leading driver. He should be tough in here. (6) ILLGETMYOWN THANKS takes a class plunge and he is sure to get put into the race by Henry leaving the gate. He will likely be the one to catch. (3) GUINESS PANIC tripped out to win last week but he did take a new lifetime mark and he should be right there again tonight; using. This looks like an easier spot for (5) WESTLUCKY TERROR and he is the fourth one that I'll use on late Pick 4 and Pick 5 tickets. (4) ARUKIDINME CABBIE should be good for another small share in this spot.