Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 12/12

Meet Stats: 644 - 1947 / $3,237.10 (-$672.90)

Best Bets: 100 - 184 / $335.10 (-$32.90)

Spot Plays: 45 - 186 / $304.40 (-$67.60)

Best Bet: LOOKS LIKE MONI (5TH)

Spot Play: MR MACH JIMMY (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 3,4,7/4,5,8/5,6/4,6,7/8 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 2,4,8/1,4/1,3/2,3/5,6 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 4,6,7/8/2,4,8/1,4 = $3.60

Late Pick 4: 1,3/2,3/5,6/1,2,4,8,9 = $8

Race 1: Popup series Claiming $8,500 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) BET ON BRETT dropped, popped, and was claimed by a high percentage barn. He has a big shot to repeat here. (3) WOODMERE ROLLNPOP gets a big driver change to Roy tonight and its possible that he will move up sharply in this spot; price look. (7) KEVNDAN FRAUSTERS is another racing off the claim and he gets the potent "first time McNair" angle. He is hard to leave out. (8) BRIGHTSIDE MELVIN, coming off an impressive score in the opening leg, is another possibility for the Pick 5 in a race with several contenders.

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Race 2: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000

(5) MR MACH JIMMY raced better, and more aggressively, in his first start for the Cullen barn on Wednesday night at Flamboro and I'll give him the nod here expecting further improvement. (8) SPEAKING OF ART drops and he should be the main threat here; using. (4) ROYAL RENEGADE raced tough in defeat last week at this level and he is another in with a decent shot in a competitive field. (6) MODERN ROCK saved every inch of ground to win by a lip last week. I don't see him getting the same trip here. I'll use him underneath.

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Race 3: Popup series Claiming $8,500 2nd Leg

(5) DARK MOVES, claimed when falling just short in leg 1 of this series, gets McNair for a high percentage barn and he gets top billing here. (6) MYSTIC MESSENGER is in solid form and he picks up Cullen here. He figures to be a threat racing close to the front. (3) HOKIE DOKIE gets put into play every week and she should be in the exotics mix. (2) SOUTHWIND GOLIATH is worth using underneath getting Macdonald in the bike tonight.

Race 4: NW $12,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $16K or less L4 AE: OPT CLM $65,000 - Pick 4

(6) ITSTIMETOGOHOME is very sharp right now and he can use his good tactical speed to work out a nice trip here; top call. (4) RITSON was in a track record-equaling race last week and he drops to a spot where he fits much better here; using. (7) HANG ON BABY comes to play every week and she will be passing rivals late. She's hard to leave out. (8) HAMMER TIME’s strategy will be no secret. He will go as far as he can on the engine. I prefer to use him on the bottom in this spot.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000

(8) LOOKS LIKE MONI fired a 1:53 4/5 win despite having missed a month and he should be even sharper now. He will be a single for me tonight. (2) DEALIN WITH DEWEY exits a strong race that has a swift late pace that he couldn't close into. He can be an Exacta factor here. (9) MAJESTIC J set the pace for the choice but couldn't repel him late. From a wide post I'll use him on the bottom tonight. (10) UNBEATABLE KEMP was a decent 3rd to the choice last week and he will offer big odds from the widest post here; price look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 6: Popup series Claiming $8,500 2nd Leg - Pick 5

(8) R BAZINGGA was claimed by a trainer that has won at an incredible 46% (27 for 58) rate in 2022 and that's enough to get him the nod here in a wide-open race. (2) NINE WAYS should improve racing off the Moreau claim and he is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (4) AMERICAN SNIPER gets the leading driver who makes hay in these types of races. I'll include him in multi-race tickets. (9) HERCULE JM will probably blast for the front and try to go down the road. I think he sticks around for a small share.

Race 7: NW $5,000 L5 or $13.200 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(4) LOOK AT DAT KAT got an impossible trip in the Popup final and was still only beaten 5 lengths. I'll call him to upset here, expecting a better trip. (1) ALL WRAPPED UP last raced in class similar to this eight starts back and he was an easy winner. He is the one to beat as the probable chalk. (3) DERF HANOVER should flash speed again and stay for a share. (6) FRANKS ANGEL figures to close again here for a small slice.

Race 8: NW $2,800 L3 AE: NW1 L5 - Pick 4

(1) ALTA ENGEN A stepped off a fast winning mile at Flamboro Downs on Wednesday night and his trainer is running hot; call to repeat. (8) BOOTLEGGER CHARLIE flashed speed in a quick mile won by a classy veteran and he should be a speed threat here, too. (3) OUTKAST BLUE CHIP moves out of claiming handicaps and seems to fit well vs. these; using. (7) GIDDY UP MAX is a closer that figures to come on late to land in the Tri or Super.

Race 9: CLM HDCP $11,000 to $14,000

(2) COIN FLIP is logical here coming off a narrow loss now going for Moreau off the claim; top call. (3) MALVOLIO is razor-sharp and he also races off the claim while seeking a fourpeat. I like that he takes air and keeps advancing; using. (5) MACH ART IN MOTION will get bet with J Mac in the bike, but he goes for a trainer that has 15 lifetime wins and is 0 for 5 in 2022. I'll play to beat him here. (7) THE AMAZINGSANDO should close for a piece; using underneath.

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Race 10: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000

(5) UNIQUE BEACH's effort from two starts back wins this race if he can replicate it and he gets top billing here. (6) SNAP TEST was claimed by a trainer that has won close to 25% of his races so far this year and he picks up Cullen who should give him an aggressive steer. He is in with an upset chance. (7) REAL WICKED will likely get overbet on the driver change to Macdonald and he is one that I will try to beat out of the multi-race tickets. (1) NO TIME AT ALL wasn't terrible in a quick Flamboro Downs mile on Wednesday. He can land in the exotics.

Race 11: Horses that have started for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of L4

(2) L DEES PATRICK can string races together when he is on his game and he will get overlooked tonight facing better and losing J Mac; call to upset. (1) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE fits this condition perfectly having raced for a $13,500 purse four starts back then facing better in his last three. He should be a tough rival here. (4) P L OPPORTUNITY is Macdonald’s pick over the choice and his current sharp form makes him an obvious threat. (8) AUSSIE LOVER is really sharp and he is another in with an upset chance in a good betting race. (9) GOLD EDITION is in easier and he should be part of this High-5 at a minimum.