Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 11/9

Meet Stats: 308- 998 / $1761.90 (-$234.10)
Best Bets: 51 - 88 / $166.40 (-$9.60)
Spot Plays: 15 - 90 / $121.30 (-$57.30)
Best Bet: FLUFF ME UP (6TH)
Spot Play: LANDRY SEELSTER (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,2,6/2,6,9/5,6/2,4,7/5,7 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 4,9/1,4/6,7,8/2,7/3,7,9 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 2,4,7/5,7/4,9/1,4 = $24
Late Pick 4: 6,7,8/2,7/3,7,9/1,6 = $36

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $31,000 LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) REAGAN BLUE CHIP was ready to fire his best shot coming off a break and while these are tougher, he might be up to it; slight nod. (6) MAKE IT COME TRUE produced a strong late brush in his first start for Hensley and he will likely be the one to hold off here. (1) DRAGON ROARS AGAIN is yet another who was ready coming off a break and he wasn't far behind Make It Come True at the wire. He could win this if the race falls apart late. (4) NOTAWORD N raced well last time at Flamboro against a winner that was just too tough on the front end. He is worth a look here for the exotics at a price.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: NW $8,500 L5 or NW $19,600 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(6) BUZZ was taken out of the race early last week when he was battling for position. I'll stick with him here as he returns in the same class. (9) VILLEFRANCHE AS takes a mighty class drop here and if she behaves this time, she likely will have no trouble overcoming the wide post; using. (2) R FIRST CLASS won last time he raced at this level which is an angle that produces plenty of winners week in, week out. He is another in with a shot. (7) KAMERAN HANOVER was close to winning a class higher two starts back but based on his weak win record this year I'll use him on the bottom only this time.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: NW $8,500 or NW $19,600 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(6) WILD AND CRAZY GUY came close at this level two starts back and I expect Macdonald to send him forward leaving the gate; slight nod in a tough race. (5) HOCKEY HANOVER is another who races better at this level and he should be forwardly-placed early. He should be in the mix vs. these. (1) MUSCLE FASHION was no match for class dropper Memo last week but that was a solid effort and he should be in the mix here. (9) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE is on a roll and he should be a good price again if you like him to notch the threepeat.

Race 4: F&M NW $3,100 L5 or $7,000 L10 - Pick 4

(2) LANDRY SEELSTER gets a barn change and picks up Henry for this and he should be sent forward leaving the gate; top call. (4) VILLAGE JAMIE raced decently twice in a row a level higher and she should be a speed threat in this spot. (7) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE had no chance when she dropped to this level two starts back, hampered by a slow start racing out of the second tier post. She is definitely worth considering here dropping back down to the lowest condition level and picking up McClure. (3) SAULSBROOK RAVEN appears to be in easier here and she should wake up with a better effort but I'll use her underneath.

Race 5: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(7) THE DOWNTOWN BUS produced his two best efforts of the year recently and he will win at this level soon now that he has rounded into form. I'll give him the nod over (5) PLAY JET RAY who was used up early last time racing higher and fits better here. (4) JKNR LIKETELL was closing fast at the wire last week and he should be in the exotics mix here but I prefer to use him on the bottom. (6) TIGERS WAY should be coming on late again to take another smaller share.

Race 6: CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 to $15,000 - Pick 5

(4) FLUFF ME UP sticks out here based on his past two starts at this level and he should be tough to beat in this field. Veteran (9) ZEUS LIGHTNING raced decently when coming off a long break and he is the most likely upsetter here. (6) TIKI TAKA is capable of contending at this level but needs a clean line. I see him closing late for a slice here. (10) JOHNNYS REVENGE has a similar profile in that he is capable on his best but he needs to get around without breaking so he is likely to be closing late if he stays trotting.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 7: NW $18,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: $50,000

(1) GRANDMA HEIDI raced very tough vs. the streaking Oney Hall last week and she should be tough in here with that rival not in the class this week. (4) COOL MUSCLE was simply too far back last week. Moving to a much better post here gives hi a decent shot at taking his fourth win of the year. (5) ONLY TAKE CASH used a devastating third 1/4 brush to get the job done vs. easier last week and she should contend for a share here. (10) ON THE ROPES is developing a nice late kick and he should be coming on for a share here.

Race 8: CLAIMING HANDICAP $25,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4

(7) MACHIN A TRICK controlled the race throughout vs. many of these last week and he looks good to repeat in this spot. (8) QUAN BLUE CHIP rallied well last week but too late. He could take this if he is in better position at the 3/4 pole. (6) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS is right there every week and is a tough one to leave off Pick 4 tickets. (1) U F BETTORS HANOVER closes every week but he probably won't be close enough to threaten the winner here after starting from the inside post.

Race 9: PREFERRED

(7) HEY LIVVY got back on track with a sharp win last week and she will be tough here again if she stays flat but the price will be small. (2) PERFETTO interestingly takes the trotting hopples off here following a narrow loss to the choice. Will it make the difference? I need a decent price to try him to find out. (6) MASS FORTUNE K is always in the exotics mix and he can land in the Tri or Super here. (3) P L JILL’s form has fallen off a bit after being great for many months. She can still take a share here.

Race 10: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(7) MARQUIS VOLO faced much better last time and he should get put into this race early and likely control the pace from the 1/2 onwards; top call. (9) ALEXUS EH understandably tired after setting strong fractions and she remains a viable contender likely at a great price here. (3) JUMPSHOT raced well but he was picked off by a sharp rival and he should contend here despite moving up in class. (2) CRUISING IN STYLE should be there early and stick around for a slice.

Race 11: NW5 (F&M7) or $70,000 (F&M $87,500) AE: ONT SIRED 3YO

(6) WINGS OF SPEED was a sharp winner here last week and when this barn gets them good, they can stack wins. I'll give him a slight nod over (1) DELILAH SEELSTER, who has raced well for many weeks and there is no reason to think that will not continue here. (5) TEQUILA TUESDAY has shown good speed in the Maritimes and he is worth a look here on the barn change to Moreau. (7) BABIDOU comes off a sharp effort in this class and he could better this placing if he gets a decent trip. (10) LIFE IS A FEAST fits well here but he does his best work racing on the engine and I'm not sure he will ever see the front here; using underneath.