Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 1/16

Top Pick Stats: 17 - 53 / $90.20 (-$15.80)
Best Bets: 4 - 5 / $16.30 (+$6.30)
Spot Plays: 1 - 5 / $5.20 (-$4.80)
Best Bet: WHITE TIGER (2ND)
Spot Play: GOODGOLLYMISSMOLLY (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 5,7,10/2/5,7/1,4,5,8,9/1,8 = $12
Late Pick 5: 3,5,8,9/4/1,2,5,6/3,6/7,8 = $12.80
Early Pick 4: 1,4,5,8,9/1,8/3,5,8,9/4 = $8
Late Pick 4: 4/1,2,5,6/3,6/7,8 = $3.20
Race 1: CLM HDCP $11,000 to $14,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(5) COIN FLIP was about to drop in fourth just after the start last week when he ran into a rival's wheel and put himself off stride. He adds Lasix now and he should have a big shot if he gets an uneventful trip this time. (10) SIGHTS ON YOU was given a perfect steer by McNair last week, and it paid off with a win. That driver isn't shy to send one from a wide post and he could get a similar trip here; using. (7) BETTOR NOTBITTER A flew late last week and he could get a setup in this spot. He is another to consider for the early Pick 5. (9) PASSIONATE PRINCE, claimed by Auciello last week, is worth using in the bottom of the exotics.
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Race 2: NW $26,500 L5 or NW $150,000 LT
(5) WHITE TIGER drops coming off a solid effort in the top class and the leading driver opts for him over his stablemate. He should be tough in here. (4) RESOLUTE BAY has been ultra-consistent and I can see him completing the Exacta here despite stepping up in class. (2) WARRIOR ONE ships north from Freehold sharp and he can be an exotics factor vs. these. (6) PATRIARCH HANOVER is likely to take another small share in this spot.
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Race 3: NW $12,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $16K or less in 1 of L 3 or OPT CLM $65,000
(7) TYMAL RIGGS was a couple of strides short of upsetting the odds-on chalk last week and he looks best here; top call. (5) DERF HANOVER fits better in this spot and he figures to be the main threat racing on or near the lead. (4) TREASURED TEE is sharp but he is likely to take another slice vs. these. (1) JACK FIRE can improve enough at this level to finish in the bottom of the exotics.
Race 4: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4
(9) NIGHT CLUB HANOVER looked good dominating at this level last week when claimed by Marfisi. He gets the call to repeat in a race with several options. (5) OFFICER JONES was a victim of pace and trip and he could get a better setup here; using. (8) QUAN BLUE CHIP and (4) SPEAKING OF ART finished heads apart at this level and are two more possible for early multi-race tickets.
Race 5: Horses that have started for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of L4
(1) GOODGOLLYMISSMOLLY improved in her second start back and this is a field that she can handle when she is at her best; price play. (8) HEVENSDOR HANOVER is razor-sharp and he should get another aggressive drive from Jamieson. A threepeat is possible. (7) SIZZLEN HOT HERBIE comes back quick after winning in the top class in London. He can take a share vs. these. (4) SHADRACK HANOVER's good Indiana form should play well vs. these, but he has missed five weeks. I'm inclined to use him on the bottom this time.
Race 6: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000 - Pick 5
(8) MACH ART IN MOTION got a tough trip when claimed last week and he was never going to catch a tripped out winner that got the jump on him. He gets top billing here in this first start for Auciello. (9) ROYAL RENEGADE drops back to where he fits best and he figures to be the main threat. (5) TOUGHSONOFABEACH gets McNair racing off the claim and I can see him tripping out near the front and winning here. (3) STATE OF PLAY was used aggressively when claimed by Lester and he is another in with a shot in a contentious race.
Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO OPT CLM $50,000 - Pick 4
(4) GIGONDAS got the job done as expected last week and he gets the call to repeat facing similar. (3) DEALIN WITH DEWEY was handled by the choice but he can get another good trip and land in the Tri again. (8) STORMONT MABEL was better last week and she is in the exotics mix again here. (9) LILYS LASS should get positioned near the front early and ride a good trip to a spot in the Tri or Super.
Race 8: NW $12,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $16,000 or less in 1 of L3 AE: OPT CLM $65,000
(5) ROWLEN is razor-sharp and on a roll now and Young drives him well. A threepeat is very possible here. (2) HANG ON BABY was live at the wire last week but she had too far to come. The leading driver chooses her over (1) STAY CLOSE who comes off a win and that’s significant; using. (6) RITSON comes off a solid first-over effort and he is another obvious threat in this spot.
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Race 9: NW $5,000 L5 or $14,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000
(6) H P ROYAL THEO was used hard in the middle 1/2 last week as the odds-on chalk and he paid the price late. I can see him working out a trip and making amends here. (3) MR CONTESTANT is worth a look racing off the Fellows claim tonight; using. (1) WISHYOUDTELLME is a hard trier that can work his way into the Tri here. (7) THEE DESPERADO won easily last week but these are tougher; small share predicted.
Race 10: Horses that have started for a purse of $7,500 or less in 1 of L3
(7) WOODMERE FENN, racing off the West claim and adding Lasix, should improve sharply tonight and he gets top billing. (8) JIMMYACHANCE surely needed his start on January 9th considering he had missed more than a month. His 27 2/5 kicker indicates he will be a factor tonight. (6) CHOREOGRAPHER got the trip last week but he couldn't get past the leader late. He looks good in this field but I'd be careful to not take a short price. (9) HES GOT SWAGGER won in the slop on Thursday night at Flamboro Downs and he is in the mix here for Team Cullen. (5) HP MOMENTUM raced well first up last time and he should be part of the High-5 at a minimum.

