Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 11/23

Meet Stats: 330 - 1074 / $1890.90 (-$279.10)
Best Bets: 52 – 96 / $169.60 (-$23.40)
Spot Plays: 17 - 98 / $137.40 (-$57.20)
Best Bet: CLASSICA (8TH)
Spot Play: MANHATTAN AGAIN (1ST)
Early Pick 5: 3,4/1,3,8,10/2,6/4,7,8/6,9 = $19.20
Late Pick 5: 2,3,5/1,2,8/2,8/6,9/4,6,10 = $21.60
Early Pick 4: 4,7,8/6,9/2,3,5/1,2,8 = $54
Late Pick 4: 1,2,8/2,8/6,9/4,6,10 = $36
Race 1: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**
(4) MANHATTAN AGAIN paced a big mile to win last time she raced in this class in late September and she should be tough in here; top call. (3) VILLAGE JOULES hasn't raced this low since June and she was a big winner that night. She should wake up here on the drop. (7) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY races best at this level and she is another in with a shot but she is often trip dependent. (6) GOODNIGHT IRENE moved too late and a rival got a jump on her last week. She should be good for a share here.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: NW5 (F&M9) or $82,000 (F&M $100,000) LT AE: ONT SIRED 3YO
(1) SWEET CHAPTER made nice light gains when facing tougher now she draws better. I'll give her a slight nod here. (3) MIKEY MASS likely needed the race last week after missing five weeks. He can improve here and I'll use him in the early Pick 5. (10) BABIDIBOU made a couple of moves to win last week at this level and he is an obvious contender but I'm not sure that post 10 is great for him. I'll demand a price here. (8) WINGS OF SPEED has upset potential with his ability to get position early. He's another possibility in a wide-open race.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 3: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT
(6) BETTOR COUNTRY improved when coming off a break and Roy takes the return drive here. I'll give her the nod in what doesn't look like a tough spot. (2) ADMITYOUREWRONG finished ahead of the choice when falling just short last time but that ran her winless streak to 21. What price will you accept? (7) STATE OF MIND faces elders in this debut but it isn't the toughest field and she could land in the Tri or Super. (9) MARETRAFFICCONTROL has some things to like but from post 9 I'll use her underneath.
Race 4: NW4 (F&M5) or $42,500 (F&M $50,000) - Pick 4
(8) TOCCOA FALLS made a nice late charge last week and looked a winner briefly but the leader was too tough and he got rebuffed. I like him in this spot. (4) YOUR STILL UP has dropped a second in each of his past two starts and he has upset potential here. (7) CHARMBO PRINCE made up ground late last week. I have a feeling he will be put into this race earlier and that makes him a threat. (5) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER is a contender on paper but with one win in 40 starts, I'll play to beat him.
Race 5: CLAIMING HANDICAP $25,000 to $30,000
(9) CHOREOGRAPHER has shown many times that outside posts are no issue for him and he gets the call to repeat here. (6) MILITARY SECRET faces considerably easier here and while he is a contender, he might be overbet in this spot. (2) UF BETTORS HANOVER, stablemate to the choice, should come on for a share again. (8) QUAN BLUE CHIP can take a small share here in a spot where he figures to find some cover.
Race 6: NW $12,000 L5 or $24,500 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $25,000 - Pick 5
This race should come down to a battle of class droppers (2) IM THE MUSCLE and (3) ONLY FOR JUSTICE. I'll give a slight nod to the former who is likely to get the more aggressive steer and could get the jump on the latter, but I'll use both on multi-race tickets.(5) SUPERLATIVE got Jamieson last week on a last-minute driver change and she was an easy winner. That driver sticks and that makes her a contender in this field. (4) BAUTISTA is another dropper that figures to improve but I prefer to use him underneath.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 7: NW $8,000 L5 or $16,000 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $20,000 - Pick 4
(2) BUZZ made two moves last week in a decent effort and he can win this with a slightly better trip. (8) P L MATT is capable at this level if he is ready to fire his best shot coming off a break and he should be a good price here. I'll use him in the late Pick 4. (1) DANCER HALL was first up vs. tougher last time and he has upset possibilities here. (6) HOCKEY HANOVER will use his potent gate speed to get position and he should last to land in the Tri or Super.
Race 8: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT
(8) CLASSICA was a victim of circumstance last time, getting an impossible trip due to the way the race played out from the start. McNair did well to stickhandle her through the field in the lane to get third and she should have a big shot here with her nose back on the gate. (2) SPORTIKA won here at a huge price in the summer and she is in with a chance here in a race where she is unlikely to get bet much. (7) STEVIE SEELSTER brings solid form east from London and she is in the exotics mix here. (10) BRASSY BRITCHES was bet in both starts here and she showed little. I can see her coming on late to take a smaller share here.
Race 9: PREFERRED HANDICAP
(9) HEY LIVVY should get a contested pace in front of her and that will only help her tremendous late kick; top call. (6) ONEY HALL has been tremendous running off five straight wins here but he is unlikely to get the same front end respect racing for $36K in the top class. He is capable, but I wouldn't take a short price. (8) P L JILL is always a threat and she is one of the two best trotters on the grounds when she is on her game. I prefer to use her underneath tonight, however. (5) GRANDMA HEIDI should be the first leader and she should be in the Super when they hit the wire.
Race 10: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $34,500
In a race that screams "upset" I'll try (4) LETS GET PICKLED who is definitely capable if he brings his "A" game and he looks sharp enough now. (10) BIG SIR gets a notable barn change after just missing up the inside last week and he should be a big threat in here if he gets away decently from the second tier. (6) WALK IT TALK IT raced decently in the Harvest series and this is the type that Macdonald rolls by with deep in the land down the middle of the track; using. (2) MAKE IT COME TRUE made a threatening move that he couldn't sustain last week. With an easier trip he could be right there. (3) LOADED DECK steps back into the conditioned ranks off a claiming win but the way he closed that night suggests he can get a piece of this.

