Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 11/16/26

Top Pick Stats: 633/2044 (-$1,129.50)

Best Bets: 73/182 (-$61.00); Spot Plays: 38/186 (-$121.20)

Best Bet: EMCEE (Race 7)

Spot Play: CRUNCH HANOVER (Race 9)

Early Pick-5: 2,7,8/3,4/1,4/6,9/4,8 $9.60

Late Pick-5: 1,5,8/6/4,7/7/2,5,9 $3.60

Race 1: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(7) HP NESS comes off consecutive strong efforts against similar company, including a third-place finish on November 9, and looks capable of taking another step forward. (2) SEVERIAN owns back-to-back runner-up finishes which suggests he is knocking on the door, and the inside draw should help his chances. (8) IF POSSIBLE has consistently hit the board against competitive young trotters and possesses enough late speed to threaten with the right trip.

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Race 2: FILLIES & MARES CLAIMING $8,000 FOR NW $4,250 LAST 4 STARTS OR N/A $1,250 P/S IN 2026. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE.

(3) FUNNY BUSINESS closed strongly to finish second at this level last week and gets James MacDonald back in the bike. (4) TOPVILLE CHECKMEIN has been competitive in tougher claiming company and figures to secure another favorable stalking trip from post four. (2) MISS SOPHIA ROSE’s recent third-place finish against several of these rivals makes her a logical contender for another share.

Race 3: CLAIMING HANDICAP $20,000 TO $25,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000.

(4) VOLCANIC has been extremely sharp in this claiming category, finishing first and second in his last two starts while displaying excellent tactical speed. (1) ARSON SEELSTER returns after a solid third-place finish and draws the rail, giving him an opportunity to save ground and capitalize on his recent consistency. (5) CATITUDE has been competitive against fields at this level and could improve with a favorable trip behind the main contenders.

Race 4: HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $20,000 FOR NW 4 RACES OR $30,000 (OS $43,000) LIFETIME. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE.

(6) IDYLLIC STRANGER has shown consistent early speed against this claiming group and looks well-positioned to control the race or secure a favorable pocket trip. (9) TAHOE SEELSTER makes his second start on Lasix after showing clear improvement in his latest. Look for him to pass rivals late at a price. (8) LUNAR SPORT has been racing competitively at this level and possesses enough tactical speed to overcome the outside draw.

Race 5: HARVEST SERIES FINAL: ONT SIRED OR BRED 3 YO FILLIES, NW $60,000 LIFETIME OR NW $30,000 IN 2026 (MIN 5 STARTS) AS OF SEPT 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $30,000.

(4) LOOKSTOBEMAGIC was much better in last week’s Harvest Series tilt and possesses enough speed to get the job done with a clean trip. (8) JUST BUSINESS enters off an impressive rally and has demonstrated the combination of early speed and finishing ability needed to defeat this field when on her game. (2) SOCIAL WIZARD was a convincing winner in her latest start and is a major threat to repeat if allowed to dictate the fractions.

Race 6: FILLIES & MARES, 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(5) NORDIC DUTY enters off a runner-up finish at Mohawk and appears to be rounding into form against this level of competition. (8) WHT BLONDE HANOVER finished second and third in her last two starts and has shown the late speed to be a serious contender despite the outside post. (1) MY CLASSY QUEEN draws the rail following a third-place finish and could work out an ideal ground-saving trip.

Race 7: FILLIES & MARES, CLAIMING $20,000 FOR NW 5 RACES OR $30,000 (OS $37,500) LIFETIME. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE.

(6) EMCEE drops into a more manageable spot after facing stronger competition and could benefit considerably from the class relief. (5) ACEFORTYFOUR COCO comes off a victory at Flamboro and has been consistently competitive in recent starts, making her a logical choice near the top. (2) HP TOURMALINE has demonstrated enough early speed to be involved throughout and should benefit from the favorable inside starting position.

Race 8: 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 (FM 4) RACES OR $52,000 (OS $62,500) LIFETIME. AE: 3 YEAR OLD OPT. CLM. $60,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE.

(4) BUBBLE UP comes off a strong victory in this class and has the tactical speed to secure another favorable trip near the front. (7) VISTA VERDE has been consistently competitive against this group, including a strong recent performance, and figures to be one of the primary threats. (3) SHAKEOUT HANOVER has shown improvement in recent efforts and could capitalize if the top contenders engage in an early speed battle.

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Race 9: HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $8,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE.

(7) CRUNCH HANOVER could get a setup here at a price. Hard to trust early speed types in these claimers. They can easily falter. (4) DRAGON YOU ALONG gets the services of Louis Roy after some sharp form at Flamboro. He will look to carry it to the big track. (5) I AMA ROCKET has been competing against tougher claiming company and should appreciate the return to a more manageable level.

Race 10: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 (FM 3) RACES OR $20,000 (OS $25,000) LIFETIME.

(9) M E LAUREL has been extremely competitive in this class, including a recent victory and runner-up finish, and looks like the horse to beat despite the outside draw. (5) CUPID HALL has faced considerably stronger competition, including a third-place finish in the Harvest Series Final, and should appreciate the class relief. (2) D A MASSTERMIND has been hitting the board against similar company and draws an advantageous inside post that could help him secure another strong finish.