Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 11/1

Meet Stats: 320 - 943 / $1,716.70 (-$169.30)

Best Bets: 50 - 85 / $171.00 (+$1.00)

Spot Plays: 24 - 87 / $173.10 (-$0.90)

Best Bet: DAY TO PARTY (2ND)

Spot Play: REFI (10TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,4,9,10/4/1,2,8/2,6,8/3,5 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 4,6/5,8/1,2,9,10/4,5/6,8,9 = $19.20

Early Pick 4: 2,6,8/3,5/4,6/5,8 = $24

Late Pick 4: 1,2,9,10/4,5/6,8,9/2,10 = $48

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(10) KATIES BET had a decent debut and flashed with a 27 2/5 kicker; Roy speed blast coming from the widest post now? (9) DR JOE also draws outside, and he is now 0 for 20, but his form is good enough to make him a contender vs, these; using. (4) DROPTHERAKEFREDDY had the misfortune of facing Breeders Crown finalist Beach Glass in both starts. He should improve here, the catch being that he missed more than a month now. (3) PETER POOLE showed nothing at 2 to 1 last week. Perhaps he didn't like the wet track. He is another Pick 5 possibility.

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Race 2: HARVEST SERIES FINAL ONT. SIRED 2YO FILLIES

(4) DAY TO PARTY was never going to be challenged after McNair deftly moved her to the front in the 30 3/5 second 1/4 last week. She should be tough to beat here again. (2) QUEBECOISE couldn't stay with the choice late. She looks 2nd best again tonight. (3) JUST CALL ME SONG is capable of sneaking into the Tri late tonight as she always pacing strong to the wire. (6) MOMENTARILY could be closer early here and she is capable of bettering this prediction.

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Race 3: NW $12,000 L5 or $24,000 L10 or NW $80,000 LT AE: CLM $35,000

(1) NEVER MIND N is clearly on the upswing having taken a new life's mark while dominating easier last week and he gets the call to repeat here. (2) THREEFIFTYTWO blasted from a wide post racing in the slop and he came up just short in the end. He could trip out from the inside post tonight; using. (8) G P DREAMIN should get position early and hang around for a share. (4) MEMO is another one that will likely sit a trip and land a spot in the Super.

Race 4: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4

(6) SNAP TEST hasn't won a race in 2021 yet, but he has faced much tougher than these recently, and dropping into the claimer might be just what the doctor ordered; price play. (8) QUAN BLUE CHIP had little chance last week the way his trip went and racing in the slop. He should bounce back and get a better result in this spot. (2) CENTURY GIGALO is a threat because he will be on or near the front in what might be a paceless race; using. (1) RADLEY HANOVER is likely to take a small share stepping up off the claim.

Race 5: HARVEST SERIES FINAL ONT. SIRED 2YO FILLIES

This race got interesting when (5) GLOBAL NEWS showed an "injured" scratch last week because she is the fastest filly in here. If she starts, I will assume she is over the injury and she gets the nod. (3) LADYFLIX squandered a win when she broke last week, perhaps affected by the wet track. She should be the main danger. (10) SAUNDRA is improving and she can be a threat here at a square price starting from the widest post. (2) HER GRACE K figures to land in the bottom of the Tri or Super again.

Race 6: NW $20,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000 - Pick 5

(6) TEDDYS LITTLEANGEL is one of the sharpest horses on the grounds and she gets the nod to notch the threepeat here. (4) REIGN OF HONOR has raced well at this level but his preferred style conflicts with that of the choice. Maybe he'll be a pocket rocket tonight. (7) ALL WRAPPED UP should pass a few of these late and land in the Tri or Super. (2) ROYALTY DEAL has been a little hit and miss because of his gait issues but he should take a share here if he stays flat.

Race 7: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $12,000

(8) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL dominated many of these last week and she should be tough to beat right back. (5) WATCH ME DANCE tripped out to beat the choice two starts back and she gets post relief here. She is the logical alternative. (9) MOSTLY DALI comes back quick for a hot barn and her form is very good but she will likely have trouble getting past the choice tonight; exotics factor. (6) STREAKAZANA should be good for another small share in this spot.

Race 8: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 - Pick 4

(9) SARATOGA BLUE CHIP seems better spotted here in this bottom conditioned level and Filion is likely to put him into the race at the start; top call. (10) ROYAL RENEGADE raced okay in a fast mile at this level last week and he can be a threat here despite drawing widest; using. (2) SEA LAIRD produces a good late kick every week and he could vault past them all if the race falls apart late; price look. (1) CORTEZ THE KILLER, a winner at this level two starts back, should contend for at least a share tonight.

Race 9: PREFFERED

We renew the weekly battle between (5) ONEY HALL and (4) PERFETTO here which can go either way. I'll side with the former who will likely be leading at the 1/8th pole. (2) HEY LIVVY is back on home turf and she looks ready to roll based on her qualifier, but that came more than a month ago, so I’m going to give her a start here. (1) ONLY FOR JUSTICE should pass a few of these late again and take a slice.

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Race 10: NW $8,500 L5 or $17,000 L10 or NW $60,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(6) REFI drops and gets post relief, too, and I expect a more aggressive steer from Filion tonight; top call. (8) FREE WILLY HANOVER was close last time he raced at this level and he is another that will likely be leaving hard tonight; using. (9) IGLARE AM was on a roll until she broke last time. She is capable vs. these but I wonder if she will be carefully driven tonight to ensure she gets a clean line. (5) NIMBUS DEO should close for another small share.

Race 11: F&M CLM HDCP $13,000 to $18,000

(10) HALLSGLENSMAVIS got into some traffic in the back 1/2 last week and she closed willingly late. She remains a top contender and her price should be good this week; top call. (2) CENTURY GIANNA was a decent 2nd to a dominant winner and she should be a threat tonight. (4) ERIKAS SHADOW is in good form for a barn that has been doing well lately and she should be part of this Tri. (1) BAYWATCHING is capable of better and perhaps it was the slop that caused her issues last week; using underneath. (8) TUGGINGINCREDIT will get position leaving the gate and she should hang around for a share.