Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/7

Meet Stats: 27/61 (-$30.30)

Best Bets: 4/7 (-$0.60)

Spot Plays: 2/6 (-$5.00)

Best Bet: Race 5 (2) TACTICAL STRIKE

Spot Play: Race 10 (1) PIKACHU HANOVER

Early Pick 5: 159/57/49/1910/2 $7.20 for 20c

Early Pick 4: 1910/2/268/12710 $7.20 for 20c

Late Pick 5: 268/12710/5/123/1 $7.20 for 20c

Late Pick 4: 5/123/1/58 $1.20 for 20c

Race 1: NW $8,910 LAST 5 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $50,000. AE: NW $90,750 LIFETIME

(1) ALL GAS NO BRAKES has been on fire recently with four straight wins. J Mac should move early again despite rail draw and look to bottom them out. (5) PASSARINO has a ton of class but has been off form in recent starts. Drop and no Lasix should help. (9) PATRIARCH HANOVER is another classy type that has been struggling. Speed he displayed two starts ago would help from this post. (10) NASEY was just second at this level but moves outside. Can he get involved early?

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Race 2: NW $16,750 LAST 5 STARTS. AE: NW $155,000 LIFETIME.AE: NW $48,000 IN 2024

(5) QUEBEC HANOVER wasn’t beating winner 9/23 but raced well in defeat. Perfect post to get a spot early here and trip out. (7) DISTANCE LEARNING has had a nice year at the top level. Couldn’t overcome a tough trip in latest. (4) PHOENIX is right there every week with solid back half speed. Use him in multi leg wagers. (3) STONEBRIDGE BRAVO has just been ok since adding Lasix. Has made 230k the past two seasons.

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Race 3: 3 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS: GRASSROOTS STARTERS

(9) NZURI was favored in grassroots Final despite being off since July. Raced well but couldn’t overcome trip, should improve here. (4) JACK N ABS was out posted in grassroots final vs tough one. Better draw here and worth using in all spots. (8) MAGIC DEALER tried a Gold in latest and grabbed a check. Kick is there to get a big piece of this race. (1) DEVILS KISS is an overnight type that usually is moving forward late.

Race 4: CLAIMING HANDICAP $19,000 TO $24,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000

(9) BAD EYE BILL comes out of a fast race which he notched his tenth win this year. I’m expecting aggression again. (1) HERESTHATMANAGAIN moves into a .425 barn after two blow out wins. He will be tested for class here. (10) FROWNIES MIRACLE was claimed two back and stepped up. He fits vs these but has drawn poorly. (7) ARUKIDINME CABBIE returns to big track off a better try 9/21. Could close up for a share here.

Race 5: 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 (FM 4) RACES OR $50,000 (OS $62,500) LIFETIME. AE: 3 YEAR OLDS OPT. CLM. $60,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE

(2) TACTICAL STRIKE gets a huge drop here after stakes tries. If flat supposed to beat these. (1) SATURDAY is sharp right now with six straight exacta finishes. Needs to get faster to threaten choice. (4) CRAFT MADE was 4/5 shipping in 9/23 but rallied too late. He’s lightly raced, and improving. (9) P P E ships up from KY with an ok qualifier in tow. Five year old may need a race.

Race 6: HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED FOR A PURSE OF $15,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 4 STARTS

(8) HEAD OF THE CLASS ships up from Hoosier with five wins in past six starts. Has missed a month but could be too sharp for this group. (2) TUSCAN PRINCE was 3/5 in latest but had an equipment issue. He made 240k at three but has had gait woes this season. (6) DEVILS ARCH is sharp with two straight wins but these are tougher foes. (3) MADE OF MAGIC has missed a few weeks but is grabbing checks vs solid competition.

Race 7: NW $2,000 LAST 3 STARTS (W/O $5,000 LAST 5 STARTS NE) OR 3 & 4 YO NW $ 13, 550 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $20,000. AE: NW $8,500 IN 2023- 24

(7) ESPLOSIONE drops and should find this group to be easier to contend with than recent starts. (10) CRYSTAL BALLER is another that gets class relief looking for a better effort. 8/20 line fits well here if he leaves from this post. (1) MISTER MAGIC always takes $ at this level but is hit and miss. Rail no picnic for him as he can get steppe at times. (2) TWIN B ARCHIE qualified well after being off since August.

Race 8: CLAIMING HANDICAP $30,000 TO $40,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000

(5) THRILLING TIMES has two straight blowout wins. He will be a big favorite again here and will take some beating. (1) BROOKDALE MIKI returned from Yonkers 9/30 and raced well with a 27 kick. No wins this season is concerning. (4) TANGO SEELSTER is another that lacks a win but is finishing up races well to grab shares. (6) HES SWIFT returns from a two month hiatus looking to pick up where he left off.

Race 9: PREFERRED

(1) FASHION FRENZIE was solid 9/30 after missing time. If he’s closer early can beat this bunch at a price. (2) AMIGO VOLO has his 2.5 million in class and two straight wins. Hard to leave off any ticket. (3) HASTY BID returns to overnight races with useful prep. His talent and connections are top notch. (6) OCEOLA has raced well this year at the top level. Could be involved early again from this post.

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Race 10: HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED FOR A PURSE OF $15,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 4 STARTS. (NW $21,250 LAST 10 STARTS)

(1) PIKACHU HANOVER needs this drop to get back to winning ways. Gritty win 9/9 here vs similar. (3) PRINCE ARCHIE is racing well at Preferred levels at Flamboro. He’s won here in the past and may have found the right spot. (4) RADIO LAB won despite broken equipment in last with a big move. Worth a use on deeper multi leg tickets. (6) MERCUTIO adds Lasix off a blowout Grand River win. This is a tougher spot but he’s another that has won over this track.

Race 11: HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED FOR A PURSE OF $9,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 3 STARTS. W/O $6,000 L5 N/E. AE: N/A $470 P/S IN 2024

(8) WHITECOOKIE is interesting here getting back to big track second-time Lasix. I think he’s aggressive here and could be tough to catch. (5) MAJOR HILL needed last and draws well. Classy guy looking to go over 700k lifetime. (3) JADENSMAGICSTEEL was claimed in latest now gets new surroundings. Capable of rally with a trip. (7) MARSHALL ZHUKOV has been solid at this level and gets back to regular pilot. (1) FABRIZIO has had a tough season but could use his speed to ride the rail into a check here at a big price.